Ivan Advisories

[LAwxrgal]

[Hurrilurker]

I do not care what ANYONE SAYS! This storm is weird and it has not played by anyones rules.....Everyone should pay attention!!

That's the smartest thing I've heard anyone say about Ivan yet.

[rjgator]

I think the NHC has had trouble predicting the 24 hour motion of this storm over the last 72 hours. I think it would be a huge mistake to take your shutters down until this storm is to the north of your latitude. If they are up they will not hurt you to leave them that way for another week. On the other hand if you take them down you may be sorry. Just my opinion. Let me post a quote from the 11:00 AM NHC Discussion today. "THERE
REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY AS TO JUST WHEN AND WHERE...AND AT
WHAT INTENSITY...IVAN WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE UNITED STATES IN
THE LONGER TIME PERIODS." I do not think that makes me feel comfortable enough to take mine down!!! I know it looks better but noone is out of the woods.

[seannymac]

I felt that the people in the Keys were right to evacuate when they did. You need time to get everyone out, and at the time they saw the models passing over the keys by Sunday. If you wait too late it coul be disaster.

[Guest]

WEST, it keeps going WNW, how many times do we have to say it.... take out your map and plot the entire run through the carribean....wnw, wnw, the trend hasn't stopped yet, we will see the storm push through the yucatan channel, before a nw turn.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

I do not care what ANYONE SAYS! This storm is weird and it has not played by anyones rules.....Everyone should pay attention!!

That's the smartest thing I've heard anyone say about Ivan yet.

[abajan]

May be a bit premature. I mean, this thing is a monster. I for one would keep mine up until it makes U.S landfall and weakens - permanently!

Besides, it a real nuisance taking down shutters only to put them up again.

[mobilebay]

WEST, it keeps going WNW, how many times do we have to say it.... take out your map and plot the entire run through the carribean....wnw, wnw, the trend hasn't stopped yet, we will see the storm push through the yucatan channel, before a nw turn.

I know its like sometimes I wonder if everyone is looking at the sme data. The eyes see what they want I guess.

[Guest]

wrong, it has not played by NHC forecast!

[alicia-w]

So why the heck are all the meteos in the peninsula of Florida and not up here?

The local paper this morning (Northwest Florida Daily News) said to be prepared to evacuate. Also said that the local HD had sold 2000 sheets of plywood. Wow, that's only about 200 folks.

[Portastorm]

Raynpa ... if this were August or even July with a more static upper-air pattern in the tropics, your thought on a Texas landfall might be a real consideration. But if you search through the board enough, you'll see enough threads that provide sound scientific (and synoptic) reasoning as to why Texas is a very unlikely candidate for Ivan's eventual landfall.

If we see anything in the Lone Star State this next week of a tropical origin, it might be upper-level moisture from Tropical Storm Javier off the Mexican Pacific coast.

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

So why the heck are all the meteos in the peninsula of Florida and not up here?

The local paper this morning (Northwest Florida Daily News) said to be prepared to evacuate. Also said that the local HD had sold 2000 sheets of plywood. Wow, that's only about 200 folks.

I was wondering the same thing??

[stormtrackerFDK1]

You're right about that...Neil Frank was the Zell Miller of the NHC

I thought this Frank guy was supposed to be smart? Sad to know he's a blithering racist bitter old man too

[melhow]

WEST, it keeps going WNW, how many times do we have to say it.... take out your map and plot the entire run through the carribean....wnw, wnw, the trend hasn't stopped yet, we will see the storm push through the yucatan channel, before a nw turn.

Which could mean a whole host of new scenerios including one that has been brought up locally for the west coast of Florida, which could be a sharp turn of the system East (directly to West Central FL) following the trough that is coming down into the Gulf.

Anyone???

[nicdeedoop]

alicia, drove by the HD in Destin this a.m., you wouldn't beleive the line already. (that was about 8:30)

[Ivanova]

....thirdly, we should all know better than to mess with mother nature!

I remember reading an article in the Wall Street Journal
back in 1997 about Malaysia thinking of ordering a small
man-made cyclone to blow away it's smog !

I will see if I can find that article on the net.


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[das8929]

Omg please.... this is NOT going to Texas! If it would be, that would be NHC's greatest blunder of all time! It has much chance of going to New Orleans as it is going to Texas, so you know thats very low. This is a Panhandle storm.

[Guest]

if anything, this storm could slip under a trough and bend back to mexico

[Opal storm]

I don't know why they are still all over S Florida,it's not going to hit here.Here in the peninsula we will see very small impacts,if any,from Ivan.

[Ivanova]

It has much chance of going to New Orleans as it is going to Texas...

How about the oil drilling facilities in the Gulf... aren't most of them
off the shores of east Texas and Louisiana ??

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