Charley Advisories

[The Dark Knight]

That sounds right to me.... Im sure that the NHC will issue some watches/warnings when Charley is approaching Florida.....

[Aquawind]

Looks like Charley is getting even closer to me!

Ft. Myers and I get blasted..

http://www.news-press.com/news/weather/ ... storm.html

[Blown Away]

WPEC Channel 12, John Mathews, 11pm news!

[Guest]

SORRY this is NOT correct. Not even close

I agree.... All odles and forecasts have Charley hitting East Florida then going up the east coast....

[jlauderdal]

WPEC Channel 12, John Mathews, 11pm news!

11 pm is old old news...disregard it.

[pavelbure224]

I emailed Derek about but i will ask everyone else
If Charley continues its forward speed will that push everything more east since the models havent been handling the forward speed that well or does the models have a better handle on it.

[The Dark Knight]

I think that the models have a pretty good handle on it...

[ncweatherwizard]

Jamaica, Cuba, Florida, GA/SC/NC. Track forecast is really pulling a string along the southeast coast as a tropical storm. But guidance hasn't really settled in yet--I'd imagine it would today, given the apparent continuity of Charley's movements.

http://www.geocities.com/weatherwizard88/charley.html

[ncweatherwizard]

Actually, guess you could make that five if you throw in the Isle of Youth.

[The Dark Knight]

This is my forecast!

[The Dark Knight]

The URL: http://www.geocities.com/capetropics/bo ... tracks.JPG

[Derecho]

The recon position is quite a bit south of what the center was thought to be.

Causes BAMD to DRASTICALLY shift westwards, with a track heading towards the Central FL Panhandle........

[Matthew5]

I see a eye forming way south of where the nhc thought it was earlier!

[Kennethb]

Could pass south of Jamica and follow the ULL into Belize.

[rockyman]

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_03.gif

BAMD even shows the system turning back to the NW into the central Gomex....although this is an outlier

[Hyperstorm]

The recon position is quite a bit south of what the center was thought to be.

Causes BAMD to DRASTICALLY shift westwards, with a track heading towards the Central FL Panhandle........

The recon position, indeed, is farther south than thought, but I wouldn't put MUCH if ANY trust in the BAMMS.

[Brent]

Any other models change Derecho? I'm alarmed not at the track, but the fact that the models can't decide where they want to take this.

[tracyswfla]

They just need to figure this out... I know that storms are unpredictable.

[ncweatherwizard]

This really makes sense. The satellite position was starting to get ahead of the main portion of the storm, and it didn't match up visually.

[The Dark Knight]

I don't think that the track will change any since the majority of the models have no change....