Frances Advisories

[Valkhorn]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

Comments?

It translates to about 117mph winds. It's another major hurricane.

[Josephine96]

Boy the major hurricanes are developing 1 after the other aren't they lol

[Brent]

[Weatherboy1]

The last few IR satellite shots have shown very cold, deep-red cloud tops competely circling the eye. Overall, I expect Frances to fluctuate quite a bit in the major hurricane range over the next couple of days. I just hope it doesn't maintain that strength when it's closer to land.

[Pebbles]

Outflow is quite lovely IMHO....wish she would turn around and go away.

[Josephine96]

Amen to that Mike.. if it's a Category 4/5 barreling down on Central/South Florida or anyone for that matter..

Prepare for definite destruction

[Anonymous]

Notice the Charley-type eye. Looks like it is caving in, but it is contracting.

[Brent]

Whew...

WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI,FL.
0200 PM EDT FRI 27 AUGUST 2004
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z AUG 2004
TCPOD NUMBER.....04-090

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA OFF SOUTH CAROLINA
FLIGHT ONE
A. 28/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01DDA INVEST
C. 28/1600Z
D. 31.5N 80.0W
E. 28/1700Z TO 29/0030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6HRLY FIXES ON HURRICANE FRANCES
NEAR 19.5N AND 56.0W AT 29/1800Z. A GIV MISSION FOR 30/0000Z
DEPARTING AT 29/1800Z AND WC130 SURVEILLANCE MISSION DEPARTING
AT 29/1800Z. PSBL INVEST SOUTH OF BERMUDA NEAR 31N AND 70W
FOR 29/2100Z.

[Josephine96]

I thought it couldn't go out to Frances till she reached 55?

[Pebbles]

Do you think the reason we are seeing unusally small eye's could be due to warmer then normal water temps? ...thoughts??

[Brent]

I thought it couldn't go out to Frances till she reached 55?

It's not going til Sunday when Frances is at 56 W.

[OtherHD]

By the 29th she will be

[MWatkins]

Models have been kicked off at 100 knots making Frances a major hurricane. I suppose as soon as the models are out we can put them here.

MW

[Steve Cosby]

As fast as TD 7 seems to be pulling itself together, they better try to fly in the next 6-12 hours rather than 24!

(I'm not real good with UTC - I hope that's the correct interpretation)

[Pebbles]

someone remind me how many hours off zulu is from Central..forgot.

[chadtm80]

YOWSERS.. She sure didnt wast any time

[Brent]

As fast as TD 7 seems to be pulling itself together, they better try to fly in the next 6-12 hours rather than 24!

(I'm not real good with UTC - I hope that's the correct interpretation)

Your right, Subtract 4 hours from UTC to get EDT. The 28 is the day of the month the flight is scheduled.

[Josephine96]

Ok.. that now makes 3 majors this season?

Alex, Charley, and Frances

[c5Camille]

possibly...
if she keeps this up we'll start to see
the eye contract... colapse and reform
larger... contract, etc... typical of cat3+
in open water with no interfearence...

i believe this is going to be a show for the
next 10 to 15 days...

[Anonymous]

Word to the wise...

Stay alert to this storm for those on the SE Coast and start making plans now to be safe.