Alex Advisories

Anonymous · #21 Postby **Anonymous** » Fri Jun 11, 2004 8:04 pm

I would say in the next week or so.

#22 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jun 29, 2004 7:15 am

Bumping this poll for a second chance to those who failed to say new first storm dates as june was quiet.I say july 13th for Alex to form.

chadtm80 · #23 Postby **chadtm80** » Tue Jun 29, 2004 7:17 am

Second Chance for this loser here ;-)

Going to say July 13th to the 17th for first Development

CocoaBill · #24 Postby **CocoaBill** » Tue Jun 29, 2004 1:12 pm

I vote Aug 4........... There appears to be a named storm in July only once every 1-2 years. So I am going with the low potential.

#25 Postby **HURAKAN** » Tue Jun 29, 2004 1:20 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Second Chance for this loser here

Going to say July 13th to the 17th for first Development

¡Nice bit! Looks like something will happen during that period, if not, the season will be dull. :lol:

#26 Postby **vbhoutex** » Tue Jun 29, 2004 1:37 pm

July 16th, probably a Gulfie, probably SW GOM.

Anonymous · #27 Postby **Anonymous** » Tue Jun 29, 2004 3:56 pm

Hmm couldnt you say Alex already formed as the first storm in the atlantic basin hit Brazil in March and earned Noname 01L in the Atlantic by the navy? Oh well guess the NHC doesn't agree.

Anyway, I said around the middle of July--say the 14th as an exact guess. 8-)

bahamaswx · #28 Postby **bahamaswx** » Fri Jul 02, 2004 3:38 pm

The Atlantic Basin doesn't include the South Atlantic. It would be illogical to include two areas in difference hemispheres as one "basin".

Anonymous · #29 Postby **Anonymous** » Fri Jul 02, 2004 6:30 pm

bahamaswx wrote:The Atlantic Basin doesn't include the South Atlantic. It would be illogical to include two areas in difference hemispheres as one "basin".

I sorta agree... The "Atlantic basin" as covered by the NHC only covers the N Atl, Carribean Sea, and Gomex... But only because the south atlantic dont-or didnt get hurricanes... It is still one body of water-the atlantic ocean and not seperated by any landmass-so If anything developed down there, it would be closer to the atlantic basin than the Pacific and when the storm was ongoing, the NRL navy site did catagorize it as an Atlantic storm 01L (which kinda means TD#1 has been used and it went on to become an unnamed hurricane)---but of course it was the wrong time of year and wrong hemisphere-totally different "hurricane season" all together. Well then, what if the S Atlantic starts seeing storms every winter-err summer for them---who would cover it? NHC or JTWC and I assume they would get there own names? Of course-just a what if lol.

#30 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jul 02, 2004 7:25 pm

bahamaswx wrote:The Atlantic Basin doesn't include the South Atlantic. It would be illogical to include two areas in difference hemispheres as one "basin".

Yes I should haved said North Atlantic Basin.

#31 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 12:51 pm

Bumping poll as I want the members to see how the poll is related to where we are in july.The majority already haved failed in their guesses as it looks like a late starter and a late season finisher.

southerngale · #32 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 2:13 pm

Well, I was off.

therock1811 · #33 Postby **therock1811** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 3:08 pm

I say July 20.

#34 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Thu Jul 08, 2004 5:11 pm

AUG 3 at 1:32 est,

#35 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 14, 2004 12:22 pm

Ok guys you have a second guess chance from today as nothing has formed yet and of course this poll is non- scientific about the dates.If you have voted already in the poll at an earlier timeframe you can have a second chance to say a date but about voting in the poll it is one chance only.

My second guess is august 11 my birthday date.

By the way Chris (wxman57) things are looking in your favor about activity starting in august as the days pass in july as it looks more and more like an august start.

chadtm80 · #36 Postby **chadtm80** » Wed Jul 14, 2004 1:29 pm

Well, this will be my Third guess lol... Aug 13th, and if It dosent happen I wont bore you with another guess

#37 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 14, 2004 1:33 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Well, this will be my Third guess lol... Aug 13th, and if It dosent happen I wont bore you with another guess

Hey chad dont cheet with a third guess no jk.

Typhoon_Willie · #38 Postby **Typhoon_Willie** » Wed Jul 14, 2004 1:48 pm

Well I would say August 15th!

#39 Postby **alicia-w** » Wed Jul 14, 2004 2:05 pm

i'm saying the week of 26 July

bahamaswx · #40 Postby **bahamaswx** » Wed Jul 14, 2004 3:01 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:
bahamaswx wrote:The Atlantic Basin doesn't include the South Atlantic. It would be illogical to include two areas in difference hemispheres as one "basin".

I sorta agree... The "Atlantic basin" as covered by the NHC only covers the N Atl, Carribean Sea, and Gomex... But only because the south atlantic dont-or didnt get hurricanes... It is still one body of water-the atlantic ocean and not seperated by any landmass-so If anything developed down there, it would be closer to the atlantic basin than the Pacific and when the storm was ongoing, the NRL navy site did catagorize it as an Atlantic storm 01L (which kinda means TD#1 has been used and it went on to become an unnamed hurricane)---but of course it was the wrong time of year and wrong hemisphere-totally different "hurricane season" all together. Well then, what if the S Atlantic starts seeing storms every winter-err summer for them---who would cover it? NHC or JTWC and I assume they would get there own names? Of course-just a what if lol.

Of course they would cover it, but including storms in the S. Atlantic in the N. Atlantic's numbers would be foolish.

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