EPAC: AGATHA - Remnants

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#101 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 27, 2022 7:13 pm

Remains at 1.5.

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE (91E)

B. 27/2330Z

C. 12.7N

D. 97.7W

E. FIVE/GOES-E

F. T1.5/1.5

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...3/10 BANDING YIELDS A DT OF 1.5. THE MET IS 1.5 BASED ON
A SLOW DEVELOPMENT TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE PT IS ALSO 1.5. FT
IS BASED ON MET SINCE THE BANDING FEATURES WERE NOT CLEAR CUT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...COVERDALE
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#102 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 27, 2022 7:30 pm

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#103 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 27, 2022 7:38 pm

00z Best Track has pressure down to 1006 mbs and winds up to 30kts.

EP, 91, 2022052800, , BEST, 0, 128N, 977W, 30, 1006, LO
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#104 Postby DorkyMcDorkface » Fri May 27, 2022 7:44 pm

cycloneye wrote:00z Best Track has pressure down to 1006 mbs and winds up to 30kts.

EP, 91, 2022052800, , BEST, 0, 128N, 977W, 30, 1006, LO

Very odd, this is a clear tropical cyclone if microwave is anything to go by. I guess we'll have to wait and see if they override it with an advisory at 03z.
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Last edited by DorkyMcDorkface on Fri May 27, 2022 7:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#105 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri May 27, 2022 7:44 pm

EP, 91, 202205280000, 10, DVTS, CI, , 1270N, 9770W, , 3, 30, 2, 1009, 2, DVRK, , , , , , , , , , , , , , E, TAFB, JL, VI, 5, 2020 /////, , , GOES17, CSC, T, (2) previous 24 hour Final T changes are 1.5 so MET
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#106 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri May 27, 2022 7:47 pm

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#107 Postby Kingarabian » Fri May 27, 2022 8:02 pm

I'm really interested in the reasoning behind not classifying this yet. It's been a TC for about 8 hours at least.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#108 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri May 27, 2022 8:15 pm

* GFS version *
* EAST PACIFIC 2021 SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE *
* INVEST EP912022 05/28/22 00 UTC *

TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
V (KT) NO LAND 30 35 41 49 57 70 79 81 73 66 58 58 58 58 58 58 57
V (KT) LAND 30 35 41 49 57 70 79 81 73 50 36 30 28 27 27 27 27
V (KT) LGEM 30 33 36 40 43 51 60 65 65 48 35 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

SHEAR (KT) 5 5 3 5 2 3 1 4 4 7 8 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
SHEAR ADJ (KT) -2 0 -1 -2 0 0 5 3 0 -5 -4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
SHEAR DIR 210 210 205 138 169 167 291 315 43 215 264 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
SST (C) 30.5 30.7 30.9 30.9 30.9 30.8 30.5 29.9 29.1 28.7 28.0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
POT. INT. (KT) 168 169 168 167 167 167 167 163 154 149 141 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
200 MB T (C) -52.6 -52.9 -53.2 -52.6 -52.3 -52.9 -52.4 -53.0 -52.3 -52.9 -52.3 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
200 MB VXT (C) 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
TH_E DEV (C) 7 6 5 5 5 4 6 5 7 5 6 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
700-500 MB RH 76 74 78 78 77 75 74 75 75 78 81 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
MODEL VTX (KT) 9 11 12 14 16 16 19 18 13 10 7 LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST LOST
850 MB ENV VOR 7 7 15 25 33 39 53 65 103 100 114 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
200 MB DIV 81 80 112 135 143 156 122 80 81 96 131 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
700-850 TADV 0 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -6 -2 0 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
LAND (KM) 345 352 360 350 340 298 248 155 24 -32 -91 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
LAT (DEG N) 12.8 xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x xx.x
LONG(DEG W) 97.7 xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x xxx.x
STM SPEED (KT) 5 4 2 1 1 2 4 7 7 5 4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
HEAT CONTENT 46 53 60 61 60 56 42 25 14 12 8 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

FORECAST TRACK FROM OFPI INITIAL HEADING/SPEED (DEG/KT):265/ 7 CX,CY: -6/ 0
T-12 MAX WIND: 25 PRESSURE OF STEERING LEVEL (MB): 633 (MEAN=587)
GOES IR BRIGHTNESS TEMP. STD DEV. 50-200 KM RAD: 9.9 (MEAN=14.5)
% GOES IR PIXELS WITH T < -20 C 50-200 KM RAD: 91.0 (MEAN=65.0)
PRELIM RI PROB (DV .GE. 35 KT IN 36 HR): 70.0

INDIVIDUAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO INTENSITY CHANGE
6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144 156 168
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAMPLE MEAN CHANGE 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 1. 1. 0. -0. -1. -2. -2. -3. -4. -4.
SST POTENTIAL -0. -1. -1. -0. 4. 11. 18. 25. 29. 31. 34. 37. 40. 43. 45. 49.
VERTICAL SHEAR MAG 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 7. 9. 10. 10. 10. 11. 12. 12. 12. 13. 12.
VERTICAL SHEAR ADJ 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 0. -0. -0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0. 0.
VERTICAL SHEAR DIR -1. -1. -2. -2. -4. -6. -7. -6. -6. -7. -7. -7. -7. -6. -5. -5.
PERSISTENCE 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.
200/250 MB TEMP. 0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -2. -2. -3. -4. -4. -3. -3. -2. -1. -0. -0.
THETA_E EXCESS -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -2. -2. -2. -2. -2. -2. -2. -3. -3. -4.
700-500 MB RH 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 2. 2. 2. 3. 3. 4. 6.
MODEL VTX TENDENCY 0. 2. 3. 5. 5. 9. 11. 5. 0. -3. -3. -3. -3. -2. -2. -2.
850 MB ENV VORTICITY -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1. -1.
200 MB DIVERGENCE 0. 1. 1. 1. 2. 4. 5. 7. 7. 8. 8. 7. 4. 1. -1. -3.
850-700 T ADVEC -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0.
ZONAL STORM MOTION -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. 0.
STEERING LEVEL PRES 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 0.
DAYS FROM CLIM. PEAK -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -0. -1. -1. -2. -2. -2. -2. -3. -3. -4. -5.
GOES PREDICTORS 1. 2. 3. 3. 3. 2. 2. 2. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 0. -0.
OCEAN HEAT CONTENT 0. 0. 0. 0. 1. 2. 3. 1. 1. 0. -0. -1. -2. -3. -5. -7.
RI POTENTIAL 2. 5. 9. 13. 21. 19. 11. 3. -3. -7. -11. -12. -13. -12. -12. -11.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL CHANGE 5. 11. 19. 27. 40. 49. 51. 43. 36. 28. 28. 28. 28. 28. 28. 27.

CURRENT MAX WIND (KT): 30. LAT, LON: 12.8 97.7

** 2021 E. Pacific RI INDEX EP912022 INVEST 05/28/22 00 UTC **
(SHIPS-RII PREDICTOR TABLE for 30 KT OR MORE MAXIMUM WIND INCREASE IN NEXT 24-h)

Predictor Value RI Predictor Range Scaled Value(0-1) % Contribution
POT = MPI-VMAX (KT) : 137.6 40.5 to 149.3 0.89 17.1
12 HR PERSISTENCE (KT) : 5.0 -22.0 to 44.0 0.41 9.0
D200 (10**7s-1) : 110.2 -33.0 to 159.5 0.74 13.3
850-200 MB SHEAR (KT) : 4.2 19.6 to 1.3 0.84 14.4
MAXIMUM WIND (KT) : 30.0 22.5 to 132.0 0.21 2.9
STD DEV OF IR BR TEMP : 9.9 37.8 to 2.1 0.78 9.4
BL DRY-AIR FLUX (W/M2) : 20.8 800.8 to -82.5 0.88 -11.9
HEAT CONTENT (KJ/CM2) : 56.0 2.7 to 106.7 0.51 5.2
%area of TPW <45 mm upshear : 0.0 56.6 to 0.0 1.00 3.8
2nd PC OF IR BR TEMP : 0.5 2.2 to -2.3 0.39 0.8

SHIPS Prob RI for 20kt/ 12hr RI threshold= 17% is 2.7 times climatological mean ( 6.3%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 25kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 76% is 6.0 times climatological mean (12.5%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 30kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 64% is 7.4 times climatological mean ( 8.6%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 35kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 52% is 8.4 times climatological mean ( 6.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 40kt/ 24hr RI threshold= 0% is 0.0 times climatological mean ( 4.2%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 45kt/ 36hr RI threshold= 82% is 12.2 times climatological mean ( 6.7%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 55kt/ 48hr RI threshold= 87% is 14.8 times climatological mean ( 5.9%)
SHIPS Prob RI for 65kt/ 72hr RI threshold= 80% is 17.1 times climatological mean ( 4.7%)

Matrix of RI probabilities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI (kt / h) | 20/12 | 25/24 | 30/24 | 35/24 | 40/24 | 45/36 | 55/48 |65/72
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SHIPS-RII: 16.7% 75.6% 64.0% 51.8% 0.0% 81.8% 87.2% 80.3%
Logistic: 20.6% 77.7% 69.0% 59.6% 31.4% 88.0% 87.6% 63.7%
Bayesian: 3.2% 42.0% 39.4% 18.6% 3.1% 36.1% 20.7% 34.4%
Consensus: 13.5% 65.1% 57.5% 43.3% 11.5% 68.6% 65.2% 59.5%
DTOPS: 4.0% 38.0% 16.0% 13.0% 6.0% 32.0% 30.0% 32.0%

## ANNULAR HURRICANE INDEX (AHI) EP912022 INVEST 05/28/22 00 UTC ##
## STORM NOT ANNULAR, SCREENING STEP FAILED, NPASS=2 NFAIL=5 ##
## AHI= 0 (AHI OF 100 IS BEST FIT TO ANN. STRUC., 1 IS MARGINAL, 0 IS NOT ANNULAR) ##
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#109 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 27, 2022 8:19 pm

I am noticing some repetition of posts. Look up to see if what you are going to post is already there to not have repetition of the same thing. Thank you.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#110 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri May 27, 2022 8:25 pm

Image
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#111 Postby aspen » Fri May 27, 2022 8:26 pm


Is that an eyewall already trying to form? Or just a random curved band?

So far the BT still keeps this as 91E, but this has got to be upgraded tonight, right?
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#112 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri May 27, 2022 8:31 pm

I think the nhc is waiting for an ascat showing a well defined LLC. ;)
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#113 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri May 27, 2022 8:36 pm

Sciencerocks wrote:I think the nhc is waiting for an ascat showing a well defined LLC. ;)


NHC ATCF already acknowledges a well defined LLC by giving it the LO designation so I don’t think that’s the issue.

I think they’ll just classify at 3z. They lowered the pressure and upped the intensity 5 knots for a reason.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#114 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri May 27, 2022 8:43 pm

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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#115 Postby skyline385 » Fri May 27, 2022 8:53 pm

That is a LOT of moisture

Image
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#116 Postby Yellow Evan » Fri May 27, 2022 8:59 pm

Image

Image

Some signs of a primitive inner core. Giving this and the burst of deep convection, this looks likely to intensify really quickly over the next 8-12 hours. Unless sneaky mid level shear gets in the way, we’ll probably have a hurricane or near hurricane at this time tomorrow.
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#117 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Fri May 27, 2022 9:10 pm

Im certain that they will upgrade this at the 11 PM EDT outlook. Regardless, this storm will sure be fun to watch!
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#118 Postby Nancy Smar » Fri May 27, 2022 9:15 pm

EP, 01, 2022052800, , BEST, 0, 128N, 977W, 30, 1006, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 150, 40, 0, 0, E, 0, , 0, 0, ONE, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 003, TRANSITIONED, epA12022 to ep012022,

https://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/ATCF/NHC/bep012022.dat
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Re: EPAC: INVEST 91E

#119 Postby Nancy Smar » Fri May 27, 2022 9:49 pm

WTPZ31 KNHC 280248
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression One-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022
1000 PM CDT Fri May 27 2022

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS...
...FORECAST TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE
EARLY NEXT WEEK...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.8N 97.9W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SSW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of
the depression. Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches will likely be
required for portions of the coast of southern Mexico Saturday
morning.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression One-E
was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 97.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue through early Saturday,
followed by a slow turn to the north later this weekend and then a
slightly faster northeastward motion on Monday. On the forecast
track, the center of the cyclone is forecast to approach the coast
of southern Mexico on Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Steady strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and the
cyclone is forecast to become a tropical storm early Saturday and a
hurricane on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression One-E is expected produce heavy
rains over portions of the southern Mexican states of Oaxaca,
Chiapas, and eastern Guerrero through Tuesday night. Rainfall
totals of 6 to 12 inches are expected with isolated maximum amounts
of 16 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur. Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are
expected with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible over
portions of the southern Mexican states of Veracruz and Tabasco.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

WTPZ21 KNHC 280247
TCMEP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012022
0300 UTC SAT MAY 28 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THE DEPRESSION. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO ON SATURDAY
MORNING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 97.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 97.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 97.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.8N 98.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 13.2N 98.9W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 13.7N 98.9W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 14.2N 98.7W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.7N 98.1W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 70NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 15.7N 96.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 17.2N 95.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 97.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART

WTPZ41 KNHC 280249
TCDEP1

Tropical Depression One-E Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022
1000 PM CDT Fri May 27 2022

The satellite presentation of the low pressure system that the NHC
has been monitoring south of the southern coast of Mexico for the
past several days has greatly improved this evening. Earlier
microwave data and visible satellite imagery showed increased signs
of curved convective bands wrapping around the low-level center.
More recently, SSMIS microwave data suggest the inner-core structure
of the cyclone has improved, and very cold infrared cloud tops have
spread over the center. The system has achieved sufficient
convective organization to be designated as the first depression of
the 2022 Eastern North Pacific hurricane season. The initial
intensity is set at 30 kt based on a subjective T2.0/30 kt Dvorak
classification from TAFB, although the initial intensity is somewhat
uncertain given the lack of recent scatterometer data.

The system is moving westward at 265/6 kt, and this general motion
is expected to continue for the next 12 h or so. A deep-layer trough
is forecast to amplify across the western U.S. this weekend, which
will weaken the ridge to the north of the cyclone. This will allow
the system to slowly turn northward on Sunday and then move
northeastward on Monday as it approaches southern Mexico. The
track models generally agree on this scenario, although the GFS is
somewhat further east than the rest of the guidance. The official
NHC forecast lies toward the center of the guidance envelope,
roughly in between the HFIP corrected-consensus approach (HCCA) and
the multi-model consensus aids.

Sea-surface temperatures greater than 30 deg C, weak deep-layer
vertical wind shear, and abundant mid-level moisture are expected to
support significant intensification of the cyclone this weekend. In
fact, all of the intensity guidance shows steady strengthening
during the next few days, and many models including the consensus
aids bring the cyclone to hurricane intensity within 48 h. The GFS
SHIPS-RII highlights the potential for rapid intensification of this
system, with a 52 percent chance of a 35-kt intensification in 24 h.
The official NHC intensity forecast shows steady strengthening
during the next few days, with the cyclone becoming a hurricane by
late Sunday with continued strengthening anticipated as it
approaches the coast on Monday. This forecast lies between the IVCN
and HCCA aids through 48-60 h, then falls on the higher end of the
guidance at 72 h as the official forecast track remains just off the
coast.

Tropical Storm and/or Hurricane Watches will likely be required
Saturday morning for portions of the coast of southern Mexico, and
interests in this region should closely monitor the progress of this
system.

Key Messages:

1. There is an increasing risk of tropical-storm-force and
hurricane-force winds along portions of the southern coast of Mexico
early next week, and Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches will likely
be required Saturday morning. Interests in this area should closely
monitor the progress of this system and updates to the forecast.

2. Heavy rains associated with Tropical Depression One-E will
develop over portions of southern Mexico this weekend and continue
through Tuesday. This will pose a threat of flash flooding and
mudslides. For more information, see products from your local
weather office.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 28/0300Z 12.8N 97.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 28/1200Z 12.8N 98.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/0000Z 13.2N 98.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 29/1200Z 13.7N 98.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
48H 30/0000Z 14.2N 98.7W 70 KT 80 MPH
60H 30/1200Z 14.7N 98.1W 80 KT 90 MPH
72H 31/0000Z 15.7N 96.9W 80 KT 90 MPH...NEAR THE COAST
96H 01/0000Z 17.2N 95.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 02/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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Re: EPAC: ONE-E - Tropical Depression

#120 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 27, 2022 9:59 pm

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