EPAC: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#581 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 1:54 pm

Almost a hurricane.

EP, 04, 2022070318, , BEST, 0, 121N, 935W, 60, 993, TS
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#582 Postby zeehag » Sun Jul 03, 2022 1:58 pm

wwizard wrote:
zeehag wrote:so this one gets to keep her name bonnie after crossover? dont they usually change names?
as for the blob, i have noticed here with ts, there is a second body or blob that makes as much mess as the actual storm. could this be same with this storm, that until it isa cane it keeps this extra body which as organization happens becomes part of the feed to center of storm? or are my observations faulty?


At the 22nd hurricane committee in 2000 it was decided that tropical cyclones that moved from the Atlantic to the Eastern Pacific basin and vice versa would no longer be renamed. Hurricane Otto in 2016 was the first storm to cross from one basin to another to apply under this rule. Bonnie is now the 2nd. This only applies to cyclones that remain a cyclone on the crossover.

Systems that degenerate to remnants then regenerate in another basin will get a new name, Grace becoming Marty last year. Agatha to Alex this year.


thankyou. somehow i managed to miss that.
the explanation of the secondary body of ts is almost an answer to my question. i keep watching. ikeep getting effects of secondary body when ts comes here.we always get secondary part of it not actual ts but has same characteristics as ts.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#583 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:11 pm

That large blog to the west is still there but it is gradually warming and should fade away later today. In infrared, Bonnie still looks messy but it is starting to look like a storm again. Should be a hurricane soon.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#584 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:14 pm

Doing RI is a big possibility.

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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#585 Postby DEMI-TITAN6 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:32 pm

To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#586 Postby Teban54 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:37 pm

Nascent eye and rotating hot towers:
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#587 Postby KirbyDude25 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:39 pm

Teban54 wrote:Nascent eye and rotating hot towers:
https://imgur.com/7293DSD

Saw a gravity wave there too. There's also some ridiculous outflow on the western side
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#588 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:47 pm

DEMI-TITAN6 wrote:To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:


Being the first time this happens since my poll has been up since 2005, it will count.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#589 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:51 pm

Image
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#590 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Jul 03, 2022 3:49 pm

While tops are still warm around the core, storm structure is definitely improving as that band gradually weakens. I think dmax tonight is going to help Bonnie get ready for some faster intensification.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#591 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:02 pm

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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#592 Postby KirbyDude25 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:16 pm


ERC in a tropical storm, that's something you don't see every day! Regardless, how would that affect its intensity? In stronger storms, this would slow it down, but I'm not sure how an ERC would affect a TS.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#593 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:19 pm

KirbyDude25 wrote:

ERC in a tropical storm, that's something you don't see every day! Regardless, how would that affect its intensity? In stronger storms, this would slow it down, but I'm not sure how an ERC would affect a TS.


It’s probably almost done if it isn’t already given the visible appearance and the fact the inner and outer eyewalls are close together even at mid levels on the old microwave.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#594 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:54 pm

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EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#595 Postby skyline385 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 5:24 pm

cycloneye wrote:
DEMI-TITAN6 wrote:To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:


Being the first time this happens since my poll has been up since 2005, it will count.

For what it’s worth, Phil said on Twitter that Bonnie becoming a hurricane will go towards the EPAC count only.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#596 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 5:45 pm

skyline385 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
DEMI-TITAN6 wrote:To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:


Being the first time this happens since my poll has been up since 2005, it will count.

For what it’s worth, Phil said on Twitter that Bonnie becoming a hurricane will go towards the EPAC count only.


I am going to reverse what I said before and not count Hurricane Bonnie in the poll that is for the North Atlantic. Is the logical thing to do.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#597 Postby aspen » Sun Jul 03, 2022 6:39 pm

Bonnie’s hiccups today seem to be just about over. The giant blob is pretty much gone with the exception of a few bursts of convection, and there’s a ring of hot towers popping up around the larger eyewall. We could see some tropical fireworks tomorrow. Ironically, despite originally being an Atlantic storm, Bonnie has a good shot of becoming the strongest EPac storm this season so far.
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#598 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 7:18 pm

TXPZ25 KNES 032353
TCSENP

A. 02L (BONNIE)

B. 03/2330Z

C. 12.7N

D. 94.7W

E. THREE/GOES-E

F. T4.0/4.0

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...1959Z AMSR-2 PASS SHOWS EYE LIKE FEATURE IN 36 GHZ WITH
FEATURE TRYING TO FORM IN 89 GHZ BUT NOT YET PRESENT. THUS, EMBEDDED
CENTER PATTERN WAS CHOSEN, WHICH YIELDS A DT OF 4.0 WHEN LLCC IS EMB IN
DARK GREY. MET IS 4.5. PT IS 4.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...LEVINE
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#599 Postby aspen » Sun Jul 03, 2022 7:56 pm

Bonnie is now a hurricane on the 00z BT — 70 kt and 987mb
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Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#600 Postby weeniepatrol » Sun Jul 03, 2022 7:57 pm

aspen wrote:Bonnie is now a hurricane on the 00z BT — 70 kt and 987mb


In 1996, Cesar became hurricane Douglas in the EPac, and ended up being its strongest storm of the season. Wonder if this could be similar? :lol:
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