ATL: Ex INVEST 97L - Discussion

[skyline385]

18z GFS continues to close it off. Could see a name out of this.

18Z GFS also had the data from G-IV which flew out to Sal yesterday

 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1557126024646852608

[cycloneye]

18z GFS continues to close it off. Could see a name out of this.

18Z GFS also had the data from G-IV which flew out to Sal yesterday

https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1557126024646852608

They flew today. Another mission will go on Wednesday.

[wxman57]

I thought that the disturbance might have a shot at developing a few days ago, but it looks like that won't happen. It's embedded in a giant SAL dust vortex. We may well make it past August 20th without Danielle. If we do, then the forecast numbers need to drop again by 2-3.

[Blown Away]

LLC developing @12.8N/32.4W, mostly void of convection moving WNW.

[OuterBanker]

Where is Bones? isn't it time to declare?

BTW, new Star Trek is very good.

[Nuno]

Where is Bones? isn't it time to declare?

BTW, new Star Trek is very good.

It aint December 31st. I remember Bones being declared then Dorian became a cat 5. Cmon man.

[al78]

One of those years where the first half of the season reminds me of this:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hNYWcVq_h8g

[cheezyWXguy]

Where is Bones? isn't it time to declare?

BTW, new Star Trek is very good.

It aint December 31st. I remember Bones being declared then Dorian became a cat 5. Cmon man.

I think he’s calling it for 97L, not for the season

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands has decreased since yesterday. This system is expected to
move westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic during the next several days, and significant
development is becoming less likely.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

[cycloneye]

Winding down.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing limited and disorganized shower
activity. Upper-level winds are expected to become increasingly
unfavorable for development during the next couple of days while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across
the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Reinhart

[MGC]

Zero % Poof,,,,,,MGC

[Michele B]

Soooooo guess I have to start paying attention to the ol’ tropics again huh? Was quite the “vacation” over the last Month! Lol

It was nice! But we all knew it couldn't last.

[Iceresistance]

Goodbye

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 11 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Tropical Atlantic:
Shower activity is limited in association with a tropical wave
located roughly midway between the west coast of Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Development of this system is not expected
due to unfavorable environmental conditions while it moves
west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi

[Kingarabian]

We can see the inhibiting factors on visible in regards to Ex 97L. Strong airliner level westerlies to its NW and just north of it, is very dry air. Still looks pretty good though.