NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

[Owasso]

033830 1649N 07830W 6967 02817 //// +102 //// 099115 119 101 007 01
033900 1648N 07830W 6968 02754 //// +094 //// 098130 135 117 032 01
033930 1647N 07830W 6956 02682 //// +092 //// 098141 144 137 033 01
034000 1645N 07831W 6958 02571 //// +098 //// 098148 152 156 045 01
034030 1644N 07831W 6941 02463 //// +116 //// 097122 151 164 016 01
034100 1643N 07831W 6978 02331 //// +172 //// 096066 097 158 002 01
034130 1641N 07831W 6955 02312 //// +175 //// 089024 049 055 002 01
034200 1639N 07831W 6978 02272 //// +192 //// 313008 019 018 003 01
034230 1637N 07830W 6958 02305 //// +187 //// 260034 047 026 003 05
034300 1636N 07831W 6996 02290 //// +158 //// 270061 068 /// /// 05

[CrazyC83]

The heights are down slightly from last pass. Now we wait for the drop...

[CronkPSU]

Curious about a litte S2K history. Has there ever been a thread that hits triple digits in pages before landfall? Always impressed by this forum and collective knowledge.

yeah, I think Ian was over 250 pages before landfall at least and others that threatened CONUS were over 100 pages...

if this was ANY threat to CONUS at all, this thread would be closer to 200 pages at least right now

[zzzh]

From the heights it looks like the pressure is not dropping.

[aaaaaa]

Curious about a litte S2K history. Has there ever been a thread that hits triple digits in pages before landfall? Always impressed by this forum and collective knowledge.

Yes when big hurricane threat to landfall in usa like katrina, harvey, irma, ian

[Hurricane2022]

Looks like she has reached her big peak, as both IR and Radar are showing strong hints of an EWRC.

[Keldeo1997]

Another new record

[InfernoFlameCat]

Looks like she has reached her big peak, as both IR and Radar are showing strong hints of an EWRC.

The plane doesn’t show any sign of a double wind maxima

[rwfromkansas]

This is insane. I usually only watch hurricanes if there is a U.S. landfall, but this storm is terrifying.

[Jr0d]

The College of DuPage's "NT Microphysics" combined IR satellite shows the mesovortex in the eye.

Unfortunately with my cellphone I cant a reasonably sized Gif to post on here.

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=m ... =undefined

[Ptarmigan]

The satellite images of Hurricane Melissa are frightening as it is close to Jamaica.

[CrazyC83]

Highest flight level winds yet - 165 kt.

[zzzh]

165kt FL in the NE

[Owasso]

034630 1642N 07826W 6940 02488 //// +105 //// 155153 165 160 008 01
034700 1643N 07824W 6976 02589 //// +085 //// 155150 165 152 024 01
034730 1644N 07823W 6961 02702 //// +095 //// 152134 142 125 009 01
034800 1645N 07822W 6978 02755 //// +094 //// 153126 130 117 015 01

165KT FL

[Ptarmigan]

Jamaica in November 1909 had 135 inches of rainfall.
https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2022A ... K/abstract

The slow movement of Melissa is going to dump heavy rain over a large area.

[CrazyC83]

902/22. Pressure 900 mb.

[zzzh]

dropsonde 902mb 22kt. This supports 900mb

[Owasso]

902mb sonde with 22kts

[Travorum]

Dropsonde has 902mb with 22kt winds, that supports 900mb

[MarioProtVI]

900 sonde!!!