NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

[MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS]

Latest WV eye temp is -3.39C. Warmest yet

-3.1C! https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/1083741758648766484/1432687267851407450/goes19_g19meso1_wv_20251028110428.png?ex=6901f57e&is=6900a3fe&hm=1b17ca0e0c0554449fef06d73d6534e80f0d2eab47bb90179f29e6b64e70f1d3&=&format=webp&quality=lossless&width=853&height=824

Edit: Up to -3.1C again just now.

This is a historically intense storm. For landfall to be happening at its absolute peak is so unfortunate

[Kazmit]

C’mon recon…

[Beef Stew]

Looks like the eye is growing larger? I thought they usually constricted before landfall

The eye was contracting late last night/early this morning, but over the past few hours seems to have stabilized if not outright expanded. My thought is Melissa underwent an eyewall meld in the early morning hours, and recently has stabilized following this, and may now even be strengthening again.

[Kazmit]

Latest WV eye temp is -3.39C. Warmest yet

-3.1C! https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/1083741758648766484/1432687267851407450/goes19_g19meso1_wv_20251028110428.png?ex=6901f57e&is=6900a3fe&hm=1b17ca0e0c0554449fef06d73d6534e80f0d2eab47bb90179f29e6b64e70f1d3&=&format=webp&quality=lossless&width=853&height=824

Edit: Up to -3.1C again just now.

This is a historically intense storm. For landfall to be happening at its absolute peak is so unfortunate

I think, given its satellite appearance and landfall near peak intensity, that Melissa will be referred to as the “Haiyan of the Atlantic” in years to come.

[grapealcoholic]

best the storm has ever looked

next couple hours will be interesting

[Hypercane_Kyle]

If there was an EWRC last night, it appears to have finished at the worst moment - Melissa appears to be making one final push for peak intensity. CDO temps aren't quite as cool but it is much more round with the eye as clear as it's ever been.

[GCANE]

Eye does appear to be growing before landfall.
This is the most intense lightning rate I have seen so far.

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... itgefs=Off

[michelinj]

If there was an EWRC last night, it appears to have finished at the worst moment - Melissa appears to be making one final push for peak intensity. CDO temps aren't quite as cool but it is much more round with the eye as clear as it's ever been.

https://i.imgur.com/B2P3sF7.png

The sun is coming up at the moment and probably causing that slightly less cool CDO, no reflection on the storm I'd imagine, unfortunately

[michelinj]

-3.1C! https://media.discordapp.net/attachments/1083741758648766484/1432687267851407450/goes19_g19meso1_wv_20251028110428.png?ex=6901f57e&is=6900a3fe&hm=1b17ca0e0c0554449fef06d73d6534e80f0d2eab47bb90179f29e6b64e70f1d3&=&format=webp&quality=lossless&width=853&height=824

Edit: Up to -3.1C again just now.

This is a historically intense storm. For landfall to be happening at its absolute peak is so unfortunate

I think, given its satellite appearance and landfall near peak intensity, that Melissa will be referred to as the “Haiyan of the Atlantic” in years to come.

Make that -2.97C

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Eye dryness has risen to -2.97C. Significantly dryer than any tropical cyclone ever recorded. Don't know how much that matters in the grand scheme of things but it's worth noting.

[Beef Stew]

We're about to see the sunrise over one of the most impressive hurricanes ever in the Atlantic. The "incredible satellite images" thread is about to have some stunning entries.

[ouragans]

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/527rWTSZ/Jamaica1.jpg [/url]

[url]https://i.postimg.cc/Fsnbr4wr/Jamaica2.jpg [/url]

Melissa aiming for the Black River to Crane Corner area...

Do you consider a NNE track or a NE turn before landfall?

[chris_fit]

[mrbagyo]

For what it's worth, this will be another upper echelon DAY TIME landfall.

[grapealcoholic]

880s still in play

[syfr]

Flightaware now mentions that NOAA42 is expected to depart in 20 minutes. Perhaps something is wrong with the other planes and NOAA42 is going again instead. I don't know, all we can do is wait and see.

These planes have taken a beating in the past few days.

[tolakram]

Saved loops, a few bad frames unfortunately.

[Kazmit]

For what it's worth, this will be another upper echelon DAY TIME landfall.

The storm chaser videos could rival Dorian.

[Category5Kaiju]

Well, just woke up and expected to see a storm that was somewhat weaker than last night.

Boy was I wrong....901 MBAR?! And it still looks like a super typhoon. Melissa seems to be one of those extremely rare storms that steadily intensify and continue to fend off any major disruptive EWRCs. Praying for Jamaica during this moment.

[Beef Stew]

880s still in play

If she's in the 880's I'll be beyond shocked. She certainly has (and has had, for nearly the past 24 hours) the satellite appearance for it though.