NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2401 Postby zzzh » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:06 am

Dropsonde 895mb 7kt
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2402 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:06 am

Just fyi 175kts = 200mph
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2403 Postby ROCK » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:08 am

Someone is going to lose a shingle with those winds speeds.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2404 Postby aspen » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:11 am

A modern day Labor Day Hurricane unfolding before us, holy cow.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2405 Postby sbcc » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:11 am

ROCK wrote:Someone is going to lose a shingle with those winds speeds.

Maybe more than a single shingle.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2406 Postby Extratropical94 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:12 am

219 knots on the eyewall drop. This is insane
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2407 Postby wx98 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:12 am

Looks like the AF plane is going home. Must be shaken up.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2408 Postby Hurricane2022 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:13 am

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2409 Postby zzzh » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:13 am

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This is just another level
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2410 Postby dukeblue219 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:13 am

wx98 wrote:Looks like the AF plane is going home. Must be shaken up.

Never got a VDM did we? And just a lone sonde in the eye? Must be crazy in there right now. I can only hope everyone is ok.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2411 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:13 am

Teban54 wrote:With an official intensity of 892 mb / 160 kt, Melissa now holds the records of:

  • 3rd lowest pressure, behind Wilma and Gilbert, and tied with Labor Day
  • 2nd highest wind speed, behind Allen, and tied with Labor Day, Gilbert, Wilma and Dorian
  • Lowest pressure and highest wind speed at landfall if maintained until then, tied with Labor Day for both (and Dorian for wind speed)

Wasn't Camille 200mph?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2412 Postby Teban54 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:13 am

:double:

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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2413 Postby Beef Stew » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:13 am

We're really about to get the (tied) most intense Atlantic landfall on record... in Jamaica of all places. Absurd.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2414 Postby Fancy1002 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:14 am

Extratropical94 wrote:219 knots on the eyewall drop. This is insane

Would that justify an upgrade to 190 or 195?
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2415 Postby Iune » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:14 am

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Teban54 wrote:With an official intensity of 892 mb / 160 kt, Melissa now holds the records of:

  • 3rd lowest pressure, behind Wilma and Gilbert, and tied with Labor Day
  • 2nd highest wind speed, behind Allen, and tied with Labor Day, Gilbert, Wilma and Dorian
  • Lowest pressure and highest wind speed at landfall if maintained until then, tied with Labor Day for both (and Dorian for wind speed)

Wasn't Camille 200mph?


Reanalysis in 2014 brought Camille's peak down to 175 mph. I believe it was 190 mph beforehand.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2416 Postby Fancy1002 » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:15 am

ScottNAtlanta wrote:
Teban54 wrote:With an official intensity of 892 mb / 160 kt, Melissa now holds the records of:

  • 3rd lowest pressure, behind Wilma and Gilbert, and tied with Labor Day
  • 2nd highest wind speed, behind Allen, and tied with Labor Day, Gilbert, Wilma and Dorian
  • Lowest pressure and highest wind speed at landfall if maintained until then, tied with Labor Day for both (and Dorian for wind speed)

Wasn't Camille 200mph?

No, highest is Allen at 190.
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2417 Postby USTropics » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:16 am

Extratropical94 wrote:219 knots on the eyewall drop. This is insane


Yesterday's dropsonde measurement of 210kt was the highest ever recorded (this just set the new record).
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2418 Postby Beef Stew » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:18 am

That's probably the craziest dropsonde I've ever seen
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2419 Postby MEANINGLESS_NUMBERS » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:18 am

zzzh wrote:https://i.imgur.com/WxAyAiP.png
This is just another level


That's one for the record books
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Re: NATL: MELISSA - Hurricane - Discussion: Update= 185mph/892mb at 10AM

#2420 Postby michelinj » Tue Oct 28, 2025 9:18 am

Fancy1002 wrote:
Extratropical94 wrote:219 knots on the eyewall drop. This is insane

Would that justify an upgrade to 190 or 195?

The dropsonde value was aloft not surface. And also those measuremnts are instantaneous. So they can find some even more extreme values than gust speed. Still incomprehensible however.
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