ATL: ISAAC - Models

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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4761 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:49 pm

12z Euro Initialized

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4762 Postby Pearl River » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:50 pm

I'm going against the grain and say east, PCB area. Just a hunch based on the 12z from yesterday, which I figured would shift west and didn't.

I am not a pro-met and this is just a guess.
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Re:

#4763 Postby perk » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:50 pm

rainstorm wrote:euro will take isaac back east to the bahamas, then north to wilmington as a cat5



You really should have put one of these :D behind this post.
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#4764 Postby HurricaneBrain » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:52 pm

Euro final landfall should shift west, maybe around Morgan City.
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#4765 Postby Comanche » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:55 pm

Thing is definitely gaining convection now...

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/imagery/atmosphe ... mexico/LC/
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4766 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:55 pm

Western shift towards NOLA is my call on EURO. (SELA).
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4767 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:56 pm

12z Euro +24

Image
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4768 Postby Vandymit » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:56 pm

12Z GFDL

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR



TROPICAL STORM ISAAC 09L



INITIAL TIME 12Z AUG 26



DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT

REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD

NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC

OFFICIAL FORECAST.





FORECAST STORM POSITION



HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)



0 23.3 80.2 300./17.1

6 23.8 81.3 295./11.7

12 24.6 82.5 306./13.3

18 25.2 84.0 292./15.3

24 25.7 85.2 292./11.7

30 26.3 86.3 299./11.3

36 26.7 87.4 289./10.5

42 27.0 88.5 285./10.1

48 27.3 89.3 289./ 7.8

54 27.6 89.7 305./ 5.0

60 27.9 90.1 310./ 4.2

66 28.2 90.6 303./ 5.5

72 28.6 91.1 304./ 6.2

78 28.9 91.6 303./ 5.0

84 29.2 92.0 308./ 4.5

90 29.7 92.7 308./ 8.1

96 30.4 93.3 314./ 8.3

102 31.2 94.0 321./10.2

108 32.2 94.4 335./11.0

114 33.4 95.1 332./13.0

120 34.8 95.3 352./13.9

126 36.3 95.1 6./15.4
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#4769 Postby Ntxw » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:57 pm

It's slower than 0z, I sense a west shift coming
Last edited by Ntxw on Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#4770 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:57 pm

rainstorm wrote:euro will take isaac back east to the bahamas, then north to wilmington as a cat5


Thats Bastardi's prediction :lol:
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#4771 Postby Zeno8 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 12:58 pm

upper tx
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4772 Postby Sabanic » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:00 pm

Towards SELA & then possibly the MGC
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4773 Postby ATCcane » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:00 pm

Euro Looks a bit slower than the 00z hard to tell with only 24hr frames though...
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4774 Postby Jevo » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:02 pm

12z Euro +48

Image
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#4775 Postby deltadog03 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:02 pm

12z euro looks like its VERY close to last nights 00z run.. maybe a hair W
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4776 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:03 pm

Initialization looked to be superb, I will say that.
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#4777 Postby BigB0882 » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:06 pm

Now is when it gets telling. Does the new frame have it going N or more NW or even WNW? This is where the difference has been occurring between Euro and the GFS models.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4778 Postby thatwhichisnt » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:06 pm

looks like LA/MS border for the Euro so far.
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Re: ATL: ISAAC - Models

#4779 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:06 pm

What I want to see if it drifts west in the end...
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#4780 Postby rockyman » Sun Aug 26, 2012 1:07 pm

The heading between 24 and 48 hours is more northward than the heading between 0 and 24 hours.
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