EPAC: BONNIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#581 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 1:54 pm

Almost a hurricane.

EP, 04, 2022070318, , BEST, 0, 121N, 935W, 60, 993, TS
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

zeehag
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 172
Age: 75
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2011 9:49 pm
Location: mazatlan,sinaloa, mexico, fixing patricia's mess.
Contact:

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#582 Postby zeehag » Sun Jul 03, 2022 1:58 pm

wwizard wrote:
zeehag wrote:so this one gets to keep her name bonnie after crossover? dont they usually change names?
as for the blob, i have noticed here with ts, there is a second body or blob that makes as much mess as the actual storm. could this be same with this storm, that until it isa cane it keeps this extra body which as organization happens becomes part of the feed to center of storm? or are my observations faulty?


At the 22nd hurricane committee in 2000 it was decided that tropical cyclones that moved from the Atlantic to the Eastern Pacific basin and vice versa would no longer be renamed. Hurricane Otto in 2016 was the first storm to cross from one basin to another to apply under this rule. Bonnie is now the 2nd. This only applies to cyclones that remain a cyclone on the crossover.

Systems that degenerate to remnants then regenerate in another basin will get a new name, Grace becoming Marty last year. Agatha to Alex this year.


thankyou. somehow i managed to miss that.
the explanation of the secondary body of ts is almost an answer to my question. i keep watching. ikeep getting effects of secondary body when ts comes here.we always get secondary part of it not actual ts but has same characteristics as ts.
0 likes   
life is an adventure meant to be LIVED!!!

http://www.sksolitarybird.org

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2297
Age: 28
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#583 Postby galaxy401 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:11 pm

That large blog to the west is still there but it is gradually warming and should fade away later today. In infrared, Bonnie still looks messy but it is starting to look like a storm again. Should be a hurricane soon.
0 likes   
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#584 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:14 pm

Doing RI is a big possibility.

0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
DEMI-TITAN6
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2021 3:04 pm
Location: Tamarac, Florida

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#585 Postby DEMI-TITAN6 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:32 pm

To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:
1 likes   
Storm tracker since 1977 (47 years)
Formally King6 , KingBubbaCat6.

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1903
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#586 Postby Teban54 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:37 pm

Nascent eye and rotating hot towers:
2 likes   

User avatar
KirbyDude25
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 114
Age: 18
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2021 8:03 am

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#587 Postby KirbyDude25 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:39 pm

Teban54 wrote:Nascent eye and rotating hot towers:
https://imgur.com/7293DSD

Saw a gravity wave there too. There's also some ridiculous outflow on the western side
0 likes   
New Jersey, Rutgers '27
Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Fay 2020 | Isaias 2020 | Ida 2021

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#588 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:47 pm

DEMI-TITAN6 wrote:To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:


Being the first time this happens since my poll has been up since 2005, it will count.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7266
Age: 38
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#589 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun Jul 03, 2022 2:51 pm

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5523
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#590 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sun Jul 03, 2022 3:49 pm

While tops are still warm around the core, storm structure is definitely improving as that band gradually weakens. I think dmax tonight is going to help Bonnie get ready for some faster intensification.
0 likes   

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#591 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:02 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
KirbyDude25
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 114
Age: 18
Joined: Mon Sep 20, 2021 8:03 am

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#592 Postby KirbyDude25 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:16 pm


ERC in a tropical storm, that's something you don't see every day! Regardless, how would that affect its intensity? In stronger storms, this would slow it down, but I'm not sure how an ERC would affect a TS.
1 likes   
New Jersey, Rutgers '27
Irene 2011 | Sandy 2012 | Fay 2020 | Isaias 2020 | Ida 2021

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#593 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:19 pm

KirbyDude25 wrote:

ERC in a tropical storm, that's something you don't see every day! Regardless, how would that affect its intensity? In stronger storms, this would slow it down, but I'm not sure how an ERC would affect a TS.


It’s probably almost done if it isn’t already given the visible appearance and the fact the inner and outer eyewalls are close together even at mid levels on the old microwave.
1 likes   

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#594 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 4:54 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
skyline385
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2444
Age: 33
Joined: Wed Aug 26, 2020 11:15 pm
Location: Palm Beach County FL

EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#595 Postby skyline385 » Sun Jul 03, 2022 5:24 pm

cycloneye wrote:
DEMI-TITAN6 wrote:To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:


Being the first time this happens since my poll has been up since 2005, it will count.

For what it’s worth, Phil said on Twitter that Bonnie becoming a hurricane will go towards the EPAC count only.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#596 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 03, 2022 5:45 pm

skyline385 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
DEMI-TITAN6 wrote:To Cycloneye,
Question,
On the Storm2k 2022 Hurricane prediction...
If Bonnie turns into a hurricane, does it count in the storm prediction that I posted back in the 2022 poll? :roll:


Being the first time this happens since my poll has been up since 2005, it will count.

For what it’s worth, Phil said on Twitter that Bonnie becoming a hurricane will go towards the EPAC count only.


I am going to reverse what I said before and not count Hurricane Bonnie in the poll that is for the North Atlantic. Is the logical thing to do.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8029
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#597 Postby aspen » Sun Jul 03, 2022 6:39 pm

Bonnie’s hiccups today seem to be just about over. The giant blob is pretty much gone with the exception of a few bursts of convection, and there’s a ring of hot towers popping up around the larger eyewall. We could see some tropical fireworks tomorrow. Ironically, despite originally being an Atlantic storm, Bonnie has a good shot of becoming the strongest EPac storm this season so far.
4 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#598 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 03, 2022 7:18 pm

TXPZ25 KNES 032353
TCSENP

A. 02L (BONNIE)

B. 03/2330Z

C. 12.7N

D. 94.7W

E. THREE/GOES-E

F. T4.0/4.0

G. IR/EIR/VIS

H. REMARKS...1959Z AMSR-2 PASS SHOWS EYE LIKE FEATURE IN 36 GHZ WITH
FEATURE TRYING TO FORM IN 89 GHZ BUT NOT YET PRESENT. THUS, EMBEDDED
CENTER PATTERN WAS CHOSEN, WHICH YIELDS A DT OF 4.0 WHEN LLCC IS EMB IN
DARK GREY. MET IS 4.5. PT IS 4.0. FT IS BASED ON DT.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

NIL


...LEVINE
0 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8029
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#599 Postby aspen » Sun Jul 03, 2022 7:56 pm

Bonnie is now a hurricane on the 00z BT — 70 kt and 987mb
3 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
weeniepatrol
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 847
Joined: Sat Aug 22, 2020 5:30 pm
Location: WA State

Re: EPAC: BONNIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#600 Postby weeniepatrol » Sun Jul 03, 2022 7:57 pm

aspen wrote:Bonnie is now a hurricane on the 00z BT — 70 kt and 987mb


In 1996, Cesar became hurricane Douglas in the EPac, and ended up being its strongest storm of the season. Wonder if this could be similar? :lol:
0 likes   


Return to “2022”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests