ATL: FIONA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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sikkar
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1481 Postby sikkar » Thu Sep 22, 2022 11:02 am

Looking better with every frame. Hope Bermuda and Canada are ready.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1482 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 22, 2022 11:39 am

Fiona has really improved since this morning’s recon. The next flight won’t be until tonight, I believe around 7-8pm EST like yesterday. Hopefully Fiona doesn’t collapse before recon can get there.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1483 Postby Hurricane2022 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 11:45 am

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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1484 Postby skyline385 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 12:14 pm

Iceresistance wrote:


Wow! Saildrone #2 into Fiona! I wonder when we're going to get good videos from these.

This was hilarious :D

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1572961760424120324





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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1485 Postby skyline385 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 12:28 pm

Looks like we will be getting tons of recon this weekend and probably much better model runs

 https://twitter.com/andyhazelton/status/1573000974872055808





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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1486 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 22, 2022 1:20 pm

Tonight's recon can't come soon enough. This is the best Fiona has looked in a while, and it might be a stronger Cat 4 now.
Image
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1487 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Sep 22, 2022 1:49 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1488 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 22, 2022 2:14 pm

18z BT keeps this at 115 kt, but I think it’s worthy of a slight upgrade to 120 kt based on the vastly improved satellite presentation compared to this morning. Too bad recon is still like five hours away.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1489 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 2:57 pm

This is the best she's ever looked imo.

Likely to begin slowly weakening any time now, before the nasty, potentially historic trough interaction takes place.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1490 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:01 pm

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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1491 Postby Category5Kaiju » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:04 pm

aspen wrote:18z BT keeps this at 115 kt, but I think it’s worthy of a slight upgrade to 120 kt based on the vastly improved satellite presentation compared to this morning. Too bad recon is still like five hours away.


I agree, it definitely looks more 140 mph than 130 mph. Maybe even 145 mph. Who knows though
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1492 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:13 pm

Does anyone know the exact time recon is scheduled. I think it’s similar to last night but I don’t know for sure.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1493 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:15 pm

aspen wrote:Does anyone know the exact time recon is scheduled. I think it’s similar to last night but I don’t know for sure.


Plane departs around 4:30 PM EDT.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1494 Postby PavelGaborik10 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:22 pm

cycloneye wrote:
aspen wrote:Does anyone know the exact time recon is scheduled. I think it’s similar to last night but I don’t know for sure.


Plane departs around 4:30 PM EDT.


Blah we will likely miss her peak winds by the time they arrive.

That sucks.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1495 Postby sikkar » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:23 pm

aspen wrote:Does anyone know the exact time recon is scheduled. I think it’s similar to last night but I don’t know for sure.

Plane in the air.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1496 Postby Teban54 » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:31 pm


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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1497 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:33 pm

PavelGaborik10 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
aspen wrote:Does anyone know the exact time recon is scheduled. I think it’s similar to last night but I don’t know for sure.


Plane departs around 4:30 PM EDT.


Blah we will likely miss her peak winds by the time they arrive.

That sucks.

I think they’ll arrive in time. Fiona has been holding steady for a while, and the plane should get there in 2-3 hours. Even if they miss the max winds, they’ll probably find any pressure drop that may have occurred.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1498 Postby sikkar » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:38 pm

Still has a healthy core.
Last edited by sikkar on Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1499 Postby sikkar » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:40 pm

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Re: ATL: FIONA - Hurricane - Discussion

#1500 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 22, 2022 3:49 pm

Currently at 20.3N and traveling at 377 kt, probably ~400 nm from where they’ll descend to operational altitude. We’ll probably have the first center fix in roughly an hour and a half or so.
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