ATL: IAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4441 Postby Texas Snowman » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:32 am

Not that anyone watching this unfold is surprised by this statement, but hurricane chaser Josh Morgerman (@iCyclone) is in Punta Gorda right now and clearly seems a little edgy. Said on his video a few minutes ago that he’s afraid this could be one of the worst hurricanes in American history.

Since he filmed Dorian at ground zero in the Bahamas and has been in 63 hurricane eyes and counting, that is horrific to hear…
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4442 Postby hurricaneCW » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:34 am

MississippiWx wrote:Wow. Satellite alone would not lead you to believe this is bordering on Cat. 5. Messy looking eye on satellite, but wow at the winds! What a beast. Hoping for the best for you guys in Florida.


Moderate wind shear makes it look messier than it is.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4443 Postby Fancy1001 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:35 am

Why does it look like NOAA2 is going home after one pass.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4444 Postby kassi » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:39 am

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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4445 Postby KirbyDude25 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:39 am

Fancy1001 wrote:Why does it look like NOAA2 is going home after one pass.

They're going back in, it looks like they just flew around in a circle for a bit
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4446 Postby wx98 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:43 am

KirbyDude25 wrote:
Fancy1001 wrote:Why does it look like NOAA2 is going home after one pass.

They're going back in, it looks like they just flew around in a circle for a bit

I believe they were supposed to deploy some type of unmanned instrument at 11:30z, which is when they were circling.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4447 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:43 am

Likely a cat 5 landfall IMO. radar presentation continues to improve.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4448 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:45 am

Appears to have been just drifting around the past our or so.

Image
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4449 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:46 am

WOW. I can't say we were expecting this. Reminds me of Michael. Feeling sick this morning.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4450 Postby Zonacane » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:46 am

tropicwatch wrote:Appears to have been just drifting around the past our or so.

https://tropicwatch.info/iandrifting.gif

Looks like 5 mesovorts in the eye. Pressure will drop like a rock as those get ingested.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4451 Postby wzrgirl1 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:49 am

I’m in far western Pembroke Pines near highway 27. We had several Tornadoes last night and early this morning. Would it be wise to at least close my upstairs Hurricane shutters? I live in a two story house and I’m also worried about some of the outer bands as the storm works it’s way inland. I’m about 90 miles from Naples. Thanks.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4452 Postby TallyTracker » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:50 am

I was afraid of this. With Ian moving with the shear vector, the shear is largely assisting with ventilation to the north. The results are not the most pristine looking hurricane ever, but can still be a Cat 5 nonetheless.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4453 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:51 am

wzrgirl1 wrote:I’m in far western Pembroke Pines near highway 27. We had several Tornadoes last night and early this morning. Would it be wise to at least close my upstairs Hurricane shutters? I live in a two story house and I’m also worried about some of the outer bands as the storm works it’s way inland. I’m about 90 miles from Naples. Thanks.

Yes. do so immediately. There is no drawback to closing them.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4454 Postby IcyTundra » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:52 am

Unreal….
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4455 Postby RevanTheJedi96 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:54 am

Zonacane wrote:
tropicwatch wrote:Appears to have been just drifting around the past our or so.

https://tropicwatch.info/iandrifting.gif

Looks like 5 mesovorts in the eye. Pressure will drop like a rock as those get ingested.


Not sure if it'll have time for that
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4456 Postby Cpv17 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:54 am

I’m thinking this will come in around Venice.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4457 Postby UTSARoadrunner4 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:55 am


If I’m not mistaken, it looks like is going to smack right into Bradenton if it doesn’t make that NE turn already. I figured this thing would touch 150 mph, but I didn’t think 160 was in the cards…Lord Have Mercy
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4458 Postby AdamFirst » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:56 am

I'm not really a praying person. If you are, pray for the people in southwest Florida today. We all love huge storms, but this is really something no one wants to see and that no one should ever have to experience.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4459 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:56 am

Just took another look, might go into the Cape Coral area.
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Re: ATL: IAN - Hurricane - Discussion

#4460 Postby wzrgirl1 » Wed Sep 28, 2022 6:56 am

InfernoFlameCat wrote:
wzrgirl1 wrote:I’m in far western Pembroke Pines near highway 27. We had several Tornadoes last night and early this morning. Would it be wise to at least close my upstairs Hurricane shutters? I live in a two story house and I’m also worried about some of the outer bands as the storm works it’s way inland. I’m about 90 miles from Naples. Thanks.

Yes. do so immediately. There is no drawback to closing them.


Good point. Going to close all of them. Thank you for your response.
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