ATL: IAN - Models

[jfk08c]

with the GFS having pressure at 934 and the front lifting out, I don't see how this storm would continue NW for so long and not lift N/NE sooner is a little confusing

[NDG]

12z GFS so far is the strongest with Ian, entering the GOM as a Cat 4.

[gatorcane]

78 hour GFS trend, slightly SW:

[NDG]

And still strengthening over the SE GOM.

[gatorcane]

Wow CAT 5?

[NDG]

Strong Cat 4

[gatorcane]

The GFS once again shifts west well west of the west coast of Florida

[PandaCitrus]

So now panhandle is on the table? The west shifts continue

[cjrciadt]

Its not happy hour right? This looks like a GFDL model run from the old days goodness

[gatorcane]

12Z GFS IR loop, a monster but way out in the Gulf. Looks to start weakening at the end some:

[Pelicane]

Here comes the dry air to save the day.

[ncapps]

Would be amazing to watch top out at Cat 5 and make landfall as TS...

[gatorcane]

Wow totally collapses in the NGOM

[AmandaInDestin]

Would be amazing to watch top out at Cat 5 and make landfall as TS...

I'll take this option all day and twice on Sunday!

[ronjon]

12z GFS landfalls near Destin Florida.

[Poonwalker]

If that pans out Florida is saved! What a nail biter that would be though.

[gatorcane]

The GFS landfalls in the FL panhandle

[Ivanhater]

Another huge shift West. Looks like Pensacola/Navarre

[gatorcane]

Another huge shift West. Looks like Pensacola/Navarre

[StPeteMike]

I’m not convinced of the rapid collapse. All the other models at least have a slow decrease in strength on approach and holding strength.

I’ll say it, throw this 12z in the trash lol