ATL: IAN - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9863
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2461 Postby Blown Away » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:47 pm

18z GFS, likely another E shift coming.
1 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05...
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2462 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:48 pm

trend
Image
4 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

ncapps
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 105
Joined: Wed Aug 15, 2018 7:53 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2463 Postby ncapps » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:49 pm

Weaker on GFS and maybe going over Cuba?
1 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2464 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:50 pm

Image
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2465 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:52 pm

trend
Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
toad strangler
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4165
Joined: Sun Jul 28, 2013 3:09 pm
Location: Earth
Contact:

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2466 Postby toad strangler » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:52 pm

Trough looks to be slightly dug deeper again early on 18z GFS
2 likes   

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9863
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2467 Postby Blown Away » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:52 pm

Image
GFS keeps speeding up and catches trough, I think the reason for E trends.
1 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05...
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2468 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:53 pm

Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1915
Age: 21
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2469 Postby Kazmit » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:53 pm

Noticeable east shift again.

Image
1 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14933
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2470 Postby NDG » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:53 pm

The trend to right by the GFS continues.
1 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2471 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:54 pm

trend Big right shift from 12Z
Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7282
Age: 43
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2472 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:54 pm

NDG wrote:The trend to right by the GFS continues.


Caving to the Euro it seems
2 likes   

User avatar
jfk08c
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 150
Joined: Mon Jun 11, 2018 4:36 pm
Location: Lakeland, FL

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2473 Postby jfk08c » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:54 pm

Oh boy. GFS comes off Cuba and ditches the slight NW jog for a more direct North trajectory. Could get interesting
1 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2474 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:55 pm

Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

Pelicane
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 51
Joined: Tue Sep 13, 2022 1:52 pm
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2475 Postby Pelicane » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:56 pm



Image

Trough digs in way more on this run.
1 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2476 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 4:59 pm

Image
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9863
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2477 Postby Blown Away » Sun Sep 25, 2022 5:00 pm

The is climatology taking control.
1 likes   
Hurricane Eye Experience: David 79, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05...
Hurricane Brush Experience: Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22…

shah83
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 269
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2016 4:55 pm

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2478 Postby shah83 » Sun Sep 25, 2022 5:00 pm

GFS really needs more work somewheres. Second time this year it insisted on some improbable dynamics for a long time before accepting reality.
5 likes   

User avatar
CronkPSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1900
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 10:44 pm
Location: Avalon Park, FL

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2479 Postby CronkPSU » Sun Sep 25, 2022 5:01 pm

ooooooffffff getting closer and closer to some model agreement around Tampa...good luck everyone
3 likes   
Just like Jon Snow..."I know nothing" except what I know, and most of what I know is gathered by the fine people of the NHC

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19165
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: IAN - Models

#2480 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 25, 2022 5:01 pm

Crawling north
Image
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.


Return to “2022”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 21 guests