#331 Postby Nuno » Thu Oct 06, 2022 4:01 pm
It appears being so close to Venezuela has only helped tighten up the storm, much like we see when storms zig zag around the Antilles sometimes.
wxman57 wrote:Still just a disturbance. Disturbances/waves can produce tropical storm-force winds and heavy rain. The Caribbean has been fortunate this season that so few waves have traversed the area. Development likely in 24-36 hrs after clearing Venezuela. Could be a hurricane prior to reaching Nicaragua Sunday evening. Normally, an "High" chance of development would result in the NHC issuing PTC advisories. However, I'm not sure it issues watches for the A-B-C Islands or Venezuela. If not, then no PTC advisory until tomorrow afternoon when it's within 48 hrs of Nicaragua. Doesn't really make any difference if/when the NHC issues advisories, does it?
Um...yes it matters? Given that the NHC is in the field of public safety and have just come off major criticism after the way watches and warnings were handled after Ian? Hopefully proto Julia isn't anywhere near that kind of storm.
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