ATL: BERYL - Advisories

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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#61 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 06, 2024 3:42 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF TEXAS...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS, LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, AND HEAVY
RAINS EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.9N 93.0W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the Texas coast from
Baffin Bay northward to Sargent.

A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the Texas coast
north of Sargent to High Island.

A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from North Entrance of
the Padre Island National Seashore northward to San Luis Pass,
including Corpus Christi Bay and Matagorda Bay.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued along the Texas coast east of
High Island to Sabine Pass.




Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

Beryl's convective organization has increased since the last
advisory, with a ragged band forming in the western semicircle.
However, this band is best organized around what appears to be a
mid-level center to the north or northeast of the low-level center.
Earlier aircraft data indicated that the maximum winds were near 50
kt and the central pressure was in the 997-999 mb range, and since
that time various objective intensity estimates have shown little
change. Thus, the initial intensity remains 50 kt. The next
aircraft missions into the cyclone should arrive around 2300-0000Z.
Beryl is still being affected by shear and dry air entrainment,
which helped produce a large arc cloud that was visible for most of
the day to the south and southwest of the convection.

The initial motion is now 310/11 kt. Water vapor imagery
continues to show a developing mid-latitude trough over the central
United States that is opening a break in the subtropical ridge over
Texas. Beryl should move northwestward for the next 24 h or so,
then gradually turn north and move into the break. This motion
should lead to the cyclone making landfall on the Texas coast
between 36-48 h. Recurvature to the northeast is subsequently
expected after 60-72 h. There has been a little bit of a northward
shift in the guidance and track, due mainly to a more northward
initial position. While this has produced only a small change in
the forecast landfall location, the landfall time is now a few
hours earlier than in the previous advisory. It should be noted
that some erratic motion could occur tonight due to possible center
reformations.

While Beryl remains in an area of southerly vertical shear and mid-
to upper-level dry air, the convection has been persistent during
the past several hours. The shear is forecast to decrease by
Sunday morning, which should allow Beryl to re-intensity as
shown by all of the guidance. The intensity forecast calls for
Beryl to regain hurricane status Sunday or Sunday night, and to
reach an intensity of around 75-kt near the time of the Texas
landfall. This intensity is based on the regional hurricane models,
which have landfall intensities ranging from 65-85 kt. After
landfall, Beryl is expected to weaken, with the system forecast to
decay to a remnant low pressure area by 96 h.

It is important to note that the average NHC track error at 36
hours is about 50-60 miles and the average intensity error is close
to one category. Users are reminded to consider these uncertainties
when using the forecast information.


Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
late Sunday night and Monday along the coast of Texas from the north
entrance to the Padre Island National Seashore to San Luis Pass.
Residents in that area should follow any advice given by local
officials and follow evacuation orders.

2. Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to
portions of the lower and middle Texas coast late Sunday night and
Monday. A Hurricane Warning is now in place from Baffin Bay to
Sargent. Preparations should be rushed to completion before tropical
storm conditions begin late Sunday.

3. Flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally
considerable, is likely across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and
eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through the middle of next week.
River flooding is also possible.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
the weekend across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed
warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials
before venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 06/2100Z 23.9N 93.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 07/0600Z 24.8N 94.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 07/1800Z 26.0N 95.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
36H 08/0600Z 27.5N 96.3W 75 KT 85 MPH
48H 08/1800Z 29.1N 96.7W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND
60H 09/0600Z 30.8N 96.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
72H 09/1800Z 32.4N 95.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
96H 10/1800Z 35.0N 91.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 11/1800Z 38.0N 88.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND

$$
Forecaster Beven
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#62 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 06, 2024 6:54 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 33A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
700 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

...BERYL FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE
LANDFALL...
...STORM SURGE WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD ALONG THE TEXAS COAST...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 93.7W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Watch has been upgraded to a Storm Surge Warning
from San Luis Pass to High Island, including Galveston Bay.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The Texas coast from Baffin Bay northward to Sargent

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio
Grande River
* The Texas coast north of Sargent to San Luis Pass

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Texas coast south of Baffin Bay to the mouth of the Rio
Grande River
* The Texas coast north of Sargent to High Island
* The northeastern coast of mainland Mexico from Barra el
Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande River

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* North Entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore to High
Island, including Corpus Christi Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston
Bay

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* The Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande River northward
to North Entrance of the Padre Island National Seashore
* San Luis Pass to Sabine Pass, including Galveston Bay
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#63 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 06, 2024 9:49 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

...BERYL FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE
LANDFALL...
...HURRICANE AND STORM SURGE WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
TEXAS COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 94.0W
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 34
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 PM CDT Sat Jul 06 2024

Beryl has not changed much over the past few hours. Satellite
images still show that the storm has a compact central dense
overcast pattern, and radar and dropsonde data from the NOAA
aircraft indicate that the circulation remains tilted to the
northwest with height. Both the NOAA and Air Force Hurricane Hunter
aircraft have reported a slight drop in minimum pressure to 993 mb,
but the flight-level wind data suggest that the initial intensity is
still around 50 kt.

The storm is moving northwestward at 11 kt on the western periphery
of a mid-level ridge. A turn to the north-northwest with a slight
decrease in forward speed is expected as the system moves toward a
trough over the south-central U.S., taking the core of Beryl to the
middle Texas coast early Monday morning. The shifts in the models
have been decreasing, and the new NHC track forecast is just a touch
to the right of the previous one through landfall. After landfall,
a faster motion to the north and northeast is predicted.

Beryl is currently in an environment of about 10 to 15 kt of
southerly vertical wind shear and surrounded by dry air, especially
on the south side of the circulation. However, the storm is expected
to move into an area of decreasing wind shear, and the global models
show the moisture increasing near the core. In fact, the SHIPS
model shows the shear decreasing to very low levels (less than 5 kt)
just prior to Beryl reaching the coast. These conditions combined
with a diffluent upper-level wind pattern should support notable
strengthening just prior to landfall. In fact, the hurricane
regional models HAFS-A, HAFS-B, HWRF, and HMON all show only gradual
strengthening during the next 12-24 hours, followed by significant
intensification just hours before Beryl makes landfall. Based on
the guidance and large-scale factors, there is a chance of rapid
intensification if Beryl becomes better vertically aligned, and it
is possible that it strengthens more between the 24- and 36-h
predictions.

It is important to note that the average NHC track error at 36
hours is about 50-60 miles and the average intensity error is close
to one category. Users are reminded to consider these uncertainties
when using the forecast information.


Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
late Sunday night and Monday along the coast of Texas from the north
entrance to the Padre Island National Seashore to High Island,
including Corpus Christi Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay.
Residents in those areas should follow any advice given by local
officials and follow evacuation orders.

2. Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to
portions of the lower and middle Texas coast late Sunday night and
Monday. A Hurricane Warning is in effect from Baffin Bay to Sargent.
Preparations should be rushed to completion before tropical storm
conditions begin late Sunday.

3. Flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally
considerable, is likely across portions of the Texas Gulf Coast and
eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through the middle of next week.
River flooding is also possible.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
Monday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed
warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials
before venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/0300Z 24.7N 94.0W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 07/1200Z 25.7N 95.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 08/0000Z 27.1N 96.0W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 08/1200Z 28.8N 96.6W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
48H 09/0000Z 30.7N 96.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
60H 09/1200Z 32.6N 95.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 10/0000Z 34.5N 93.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 11/0000Z 37.8N 89.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 12/0000Z 41.3N 84.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#64 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 4:33 am

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 AM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

...BERYL STILL FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AGAIN BEFORE LANDFALL
IN TEXAS...
...ADDITIONAL HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FURTHER UP THE TEXAS
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.3N 94.6W
ABOUT 245 MI...390 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES




Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 35
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 AM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

The convective structure of Beryl continues to wax and wane, with
some deep convection now attempting to redevelop on the western and
southern side of the circulation, as evident on both GOES-16
satellite and radar imagery out of Brownsville, TX. The Air Force
Hurricane Hunter aircraft that departed the storm a few hours ago
provided a last fix with 700-mb winds of 56 kt in the northeastern
quadrant and a pressure of 995 mb. Since there has not been much
meaningful change to the tropical storm's structure since that time,
the initial intensity will remain 50 kt for this advisory.

Beryl continues to move northwestward, though a little more poleward
than before estimated at 320/10 kt. Over the next 24 hours, Beryl is
expected to turn north-northwestward or even northward before the
system makes landfall along the Texas coast in a little more than 24
hours. The track guidance this cycle has made a shift eastward and
is a little faster, and the NHC track forecast has also shifted in
that direction, in between the latest TCVN and HCCA consensus aids.
It is worth noting that some guidance, such as the GFS and HAFS-A
are even further east. After Beryl moves inland, the latest guidance
shows the system accelerating farther northeastward, ultimately
phasing with a mid-latitude trough over the Ohio Valley while it
transitions into a post-tropical cyclone.

Even though Beryl has not intensified over the past day, vertical
wind shear is in the process of decreasing below 10 kt over the
storm this morning, which should provide it with a 24-30 hour window
to start intensifying as it mixes out the dry air that prevented
persistent organized convection around the core. The fastest rate of
intensification is likely to occur right before landfall, and the
latest intensity forecast still shows Beryl becoming a hurricane
again in 24 hours, with some additional intensification possible
right up until landfall. This forecast is consistent with the
hurricane-regional models that also show the most significant
intensification right before Beryl makes landfall. There also
remains some potential that Beryl could rapidly intensify before
landfall, with the latest SHIPS-RII suggesting this possibility is
2-3 times above climatology.

It is important to note that the average NHC track error at 24-36
hours is about 30-50 miles and the average intensity error is close
to one category. Users are reminded to consider these uncertainties
when using the forecast information. Based on changes to the
forecast track this advisory, Hurricane Warnings have been extended
northward up to San Luis Pass.


Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
late tonight and Monday along the coast of Texas from the north
entrance to the Padre Island National Seashore to High Island,
including Corpus Christi Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay.
Residents in those areas should follow any advice given by local
officials and follow evacuation orders.

2. Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to
portions of the Texas coast late tonight and Monday. A Hurricane
Warning is now in effect from Baffin Bay to San Luis Pass.
Preparations should be rushed to completion before tropical storm
conditions begin late today.

3. Flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally
considerable, is expected across portions of the middle and upper
Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas today through Monday night. River
flooding is also expected.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
Monday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning
flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before
venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/0900Z 25.3N 94.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 07/1800Z 26.3N 95.4W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 08/0600Z 28.1N 96.1W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 08/1800Z 30.2N 96.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 09/0600Z 32.5N 95.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
60H 09/1800Z 34.7N 93.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 10/0600Z 36.7N 91.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 11/0600Z 40.5N 87.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 12/0600Z 43.5N 83.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND

$$
Forecaster Papin
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#65 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 7:00 am

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 35A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
700 AM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
THE STORM...
...BERYL STILL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 94.9W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#66 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 12:04 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 AM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

...BERYL BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND FORECAST TO BECOME A
HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL...
...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 95.1W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Storm Surge Warning has issued for the coast of Texas from High
Island to Sabine Pass.

The Storm Surge Watch has been discontinued from the mouth of the
Rio Grande to Baffin Bay, Texas.

The Tropical Storm Watch for the Texas coast east of High Island to
Sabine Pass has been upgraded to a Tropical Storm Warning.



Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 36
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 AM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

Beryl has become better organized this morning. Satellite images
show deep convection becoming more symmetric around the center, and
Brownsville radar has been showing an eyewall forming, although
still open on the northwest side. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft recently reported maximum flight-level winds of 62
kt with the central pressure falling to 992 mb, so the initial wind
speed is raised to 55 kt.

Further intensification is likely as Beryl moves over very warm
waters within light shear conditions. Rapid intensification is a
distinct possibility if the core can become isolated from the dry
air that has been inhibiting intensification during the last day or
so. While there are no changes to the intensity forecast based on
the latest guidance, we are expecting Beryl to be intensifying up
until landfall early Monday, and people should be preparing for the
possibility of a category 2 hurricane landfall.

Beryl continues to move northwestward at 9 kt. The storm
should turn north-northwest this afternoon and make landfall
along the middle Texas coast early on Monday. The new forecast
is very close to the previous one, just a shade to the east. After
Beryl moves inland, the latest guidance still shows the system
accelerating farther northeastward and become a post-tropical
cyclone. This should bring the threat of flash flooding well into
Missouri.


Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
along the coast of Texas from the north entrance to the Padre Island
National Seashore to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and
Galveston Bay. Residents in those areas should follow any advice
given by local officials and follow evacuation orders.

2. Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to
portions of the Texas coast tonight and early Monday. A Hurricane
Warning is in effect from Baffin Bay to San Luis Pass. Preparations
should be rushed to completion before tropical storm conditions
begin late today.

3. Flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally
considerable, is expected across portions of the middle and upper
Texas Gulf Coast and eastern Texas today through Monday night.
River flooding is also expected.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
Monday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning
flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before
venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/1500Z 25.9N 95.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 08/0000Z 27.1N 95.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 08/1200Z 29.2N 96.2W 75 KT 85 MPH...INLAND
36H 09/0000Z 31.4N 95.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 09/1200Z 33.6N 94.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
60H 10/0000Z 36.2N 91.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 10/1200Z 38.6N 89.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 11/1200Z 42.8N 83.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 12/1200Z 46.0N 79.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND

$$
Forecaster Blake
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#67 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 1:01 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 36A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
100 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

...BERYL EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL...
...PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 95.3W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#68 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 3:52 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

...BERYL FORECAST TO BRING DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING
AND STRONG WINDS TO TEXAS OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.8N 95.5W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 37
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

Satellite images indicate that Beryl continues to gradual organize
with more banding features near the center, expanding outflow and
strong bursts of convection rotating around the eyewall. However,
dry air is still present within the inner core, keeping the
intensification slow at this time, with only a broken banded
eyewall structure. While the central pressure reported by an Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has fallen to 988 mb, there
hasn't been much change in the winds reported, so the intensity
remains 55 kt.

The intensity forecast is tricky because the environment is
becoming quite favorable for significant intensification as Beryl
should be moving over sea-surface temperatures near 87F tonight and
light shear, plus even an enhancement of jet dynamics north of the
storm. All of the model guidance respond to these conditions by
showing a large increase in deep convection near the center and
higher winds. However, some less predictable factors could prevent
a big increase in winds, including dry air in the inner core, a
somewhat large radius of maximum winds, and slightly faster landfall
timing. Given that the regional hurricane models still show
significant deepening, the official forecast continues to call for
near rapid intensification through landfall.

Beryl has turned north-northwest at about 10 kt. The storm should
turn northward overnight before making landfall along the middle
Texas coast early on Monday before dawn. The new forecast is very
close to the previous one through landfall. After Beryl moves
inland, the latest guidance turns the system northeastward late
tomorrow and it becomes a post-tropical cyclone. The long-term
track is a bit faster and east of the last one, consistent with a
blend of the ECMWF and GFS models.


Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
along the coast of Texas from the north entrance to the Padre Island
National Seashore to Sabine Pass, including Matagorda Bay and
Galveston Bay. Residents in those areas should follow any advice
given by local officials and follow evacuation orders.

2. Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to
portions of the Texas coast tonight and early Monday. A Hurricane
Warning is in effect from Baffin Bay to San Luis Pass.

3. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected tonight
through Monday night across portions of the middle and upper Texas
Gulf Coast and eastern Texas. Minor to isolated major river flooding
is also expected.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
Monday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning
flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before
venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 07/2100Z 26.8N 95.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 08/0600Z 28.3N 95.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
24H 08/1800Z 30.4N 95.9W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
36H 09/0600Z 32.6N 94.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 09/1800Z 34.9N 92.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 10/0600Z 37.2N 89.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 10/1800Z 39.7N 86.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 11/1800Z 43.5N 80.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#69 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 6:50 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 37A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
700 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BERYL SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT IN PORTIONS OF TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.1N 95.6W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning south of Port Aransas has been changed to a
Tropical Storm Warning.

The Storm Surge Warning south of Port Aransas, including Corpus
Christi Bay, has been discontinued.

The Tropical Storm Warning south of Port Mansfield has been
discontinued.
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#70 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 9:56 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

...BERYL FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL AS A HURRICANE ALONG THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COAST EARLY MONDAY...
...CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE OVERNIGHT WITH DANGEROUS STORM SURGE,
FLASH FLOODING, AND STRONG WINDS EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 95.6W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM E OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Watch from San Luis Pass to Port Bolivar has been
upgraded to a Hurricane Warning.

The Hurricane Warning south of Mesquite Bay has been changed to a
Tropical Storm Warning.



Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 38
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 PM CDT Sun Jul 07 2024

Radar and satellite trends suggest Beryl is becoming better
organized tonight. Deep convection has increased near the center,
with new convective elements emerging around the northern and
southern portions of the circulation. Tail Doppler Radar data from
the NOAA aircraft suggest the radius of maximum wind has contracted
a bit, and the vortex has become more vertically aligned. However,
the eyewall is open to the west, where there is still some evidence
of dry air in the circulation. The intensity was raised to 60 kt
based on earlier Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter flight-level
wind data (66 kt at 700 mb), and the most recent aircraft pass
through the northeast quadrant still supports the 60-kt intensity
for this advisory. The minimum pressure has continued to slowly
fall, with the latest dropsonde data supporting 986 mb.

The environmental and oceanic conditions remain quite favorable for
intensification while Beryl approaches the Texas coast overnight.
The recent structural changes noted above are expected to allow
Beryl to re-strengthen into a hurricane overnight, and the potential
for significant intensification leading up to landfall is still
indicated by some of the regional hurricane guidance, particularly
the HWRF and HMON. At this point, time is the greatest limiting
factor as the storm is less than 12 h from landfall. While the 12-h
forecast point shows a 65-kt hurricane inland over Texas, the peak
intensity is expected between now and the 12-h forecast point, and
is thus not explicitly shown in this forecast. After landfall, rapid
weakening is expected while the system moves farther inland.

The long-term motion of Beryl is north-northwestward at about 9 kt,
but recent radar and aircraft fixes have shown a motion just east of
due north. A northward motion overnight is expected to bring the
center of Beryl inland along the middle Texas coast roughly between
Matagorda Bay and Freeport early on Monday morning. The short-term
NHC track forecast is just slightly east of the previous one. After
landfall, Beryl is forecast to accelerate northeastward ahead of a
mid-latitude trough while transitioning to a post-tropical cyclone.


Key Messages:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation
along the coast of Texas from Mesquite Bay to Sabine Pass, including
Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay. Residents in those areas should
follow any advice given by local officials and follow evacuation
orders.

2. Beryl is forecast to bring damaging hurricane-force winds to
portions of the Texas coast early Monday. A Hurricane Warning is in
effect from Mesquite Bay to San Luis Pass.

3. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected tonight through
Monday night across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf
Coast and eastern Texas. Minor to isolated major river flooding is
also expected.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
Monday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed warning
flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials before
venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0300Z 27.6N 95.6W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 08/1200Z 29.2N 95.8W 65 KT 75 MPH...INLAND
24H 09/0000Z 31.5N 95.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
36H 09/1200Z 33.7N 93.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 10/0000Z 36.0N 90.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 10/1200Z 38.4N 87.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 11/0000Z 40.4N 84.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#71 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 07, 2024 11:02 pm

Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1100 PM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024

...BERYL IS AGAIN A HURRICANE...

Data from the National Weather Service Doppler radar near Houston,
Texas, and reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft indicate that Beryl's maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h). Based on these data, Beryl is
upgraded to a hurricane. Additional strengthening is expected
before landfall on the Texas coast.

NOAA buoy 42019 recently reported sustained winds of 60 mph
(97 km/h) and a wind gust of 74 mph (119 km/h). The buoy also
reported a pressure of 992.2 mb (29.30 inches).

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM CDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 95.7W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM E OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Beven
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#72 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 4:15 am

BULLETIN
Hurricane Beryl Advisory Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

...CENTER OF BERYL MAKES LANDFALL NEAR MATAGORDA TEXAS...
...DANGEROUS STORM SURGE AND STRONG WINDS OCCURRING WITH FLASH
FLOODING EXPECTED...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 96.0W
ABOUT 0 MI...0 KM N OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES




Hurricane Beryl Discussion Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
400 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

The strengthening forecast by the regional hurricane models began
in earnest just after the last advisory was issued. Doppler radar
and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicate that
Beryl regained hurricane strength near 04Z, and intensification
continued until the just-occurred landfall of the 28 n mi wide eye
on the Texas coast. The landfall central pressure was near 979 mb,
and the maximum winds were near 70 kt.

The initial motion is 355/10. Beryl should move northward for the
next 12 h through a break in the subtropical ridge, with the
center moving through eastern Texas. After that, the cyclone
should turn northeastward with an increase in forward speed, with
the cyclone accelerating across the lower Mississippi Valley and
into the Ohio Valley until dissipation occurs between 72-96 h.
The new forecast track is similar to the previous forecast.

Now that Beryl is moving inland, it should quickly weaken, with the
system becoming a tropical storm in the next few hours and a
tropical depression in a little over 24 hours. After that, the
cyclone should merge with a frontal system over Mississippi Valley
and become an extratropical low before it dissipates.


Key Messages:

1. There is a continuing danger of life-threatening storm surge
inundation along the coast of Texas from Mesquite Bay to Sabine
Pass, including Matagorda Bay and Galveston Bay. Residents in those
areas should follow any advice given by local officials.

2. Beryl is bringing damaging hurricane-force winds to portions of
the Texas coast this morning. A Hurricane Warning is in effect from
Mesquite Bay to Port Bolivar.

3. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected today into
tonight across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and
eastern Texas. Minor to isolated major river flooding is also
expected.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
Tuesday across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed
warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials
before venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/0900Z 28.6N 96.0W 70 KT 80 MPH...ON COAST
12H 08/1800Z 30.4N 95.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
24H 09/0600Z 32.7N 94.4W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
36H 09/1800Z 35.0N 92.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
48H 10/0600Z 37.5N 89.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 10/1800Z 40.0N 85.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 11/0600Z 42.0N 83.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#73 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 5:23 am

Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
500 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND STRONG WINDS OCCURING IN EAST
TEXAS...
...500 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

Beryl is moving inland over eastern Texas. Life-threatening storm
surge and heavy rainfall is ongoing across portions of Texas.
Damaging winds ongoing along the coast, with strong winds moving
inland.

A mesonet station (SRDT2) in San Bernard recently reported a
sustained wind of 52 mph (84 km/h) and a gust of 91 mph (146 km/h)

A mesonet station (FRPT2) in Freeport recently reported a wind gust
of 92 mph (148 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 500 AM CDT...1000 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 96.0W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM N OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SSW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Kelly
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#74 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 7:13 am

BULLETIN
Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 39A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
700 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING
RAINFALL OVERSPREADING SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS FROM BERYL...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 95.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNE OF MATAGORDA TEXAS
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#75 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 8:06 am

Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
800 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING
RAINFALL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS...
...800 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

A mesonet station (FRPT2) in Freeport recently reported a wind gust
of 94 mph (151 km/h).

A National Ocean Service (NOS) station (GNJT2) at the entrance to
Galveston Bay recently measured a sustained wind of 73 mph (117
km/h) and a gust of 82 mph (131 km/h).

A USGS gauge at Galveston Railroad Bridge recently reported an
inundation of 3.6 ft above Mean Higher High Water (MHHW).

SUMMARY OF 800 AM CDT...1300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 95.8W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#76 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 9:02 am

Hurricane Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
900 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...DAMAGING WINDS AND FLOODING RAINFALL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS INCLUDING THE HOUSTON AREA...
...900 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU) recently reported a sustained wind of
58 mph (93 km/h) and a gust of 84 mph (135 km/h).

A National Ocean Service (NOS) station at Morgans Point recently
measured a sustained wind of 66 mph (106 km/h) and a gust to 77 mph
(124 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 900 AM CDT...1400 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.7N 95.7W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#77 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 9:51 am

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Advisory Number 40
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND FLOODING
RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.8N 95.7W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM WNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES





Tropical Storm Beryl Discussion Number 40
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1000 AM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

Despite being overland for about 6 hours, NWS radar and surface
data indicate that the system has only slightly weakened, with a
fairly well-defined eye present. The initial wind speed is set to
60 kt, as a compromise of Doppler wind velocities and surface
observations. While Beryl is no longer a hurricane, there are
still many life-threatening hazards associated with the storm, and
these are detailed in the Key Messages below.

Beryl should remain a potent wind gust producer for the next few
hours with recent observations in the eastern eyewall reporting
wind gusts above 70 kt. As more of the circulation moves inland
later today, Beryl is forecast to steadily weaken and become a
tropical depression tonight or overnight. No change to the
intensity forecast has been made.

The storm is moving north-northeastward, now a little faster at 11
kt. Beryl should turn northeastward and accelerate across the
lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley during the next couple
of days until dissipation occurs between 72-96 h. The new forecast
track is similar to the previous forecast, a bit to the east.

Key Messages:

1. Life-threatening storm surge inundation will continue through
this afternoon along the coast of Texas from Port O’Connor to Sabine
Pass, including the eastern portion of Matagorda Bay and Galveston
Bay.

2. Damaging wind gusts near the core of Beryl will continue to
spread northward within the Tropical Storm Warning area, including
the Houston metro area, for the next several hours.

3. Considerable flash and urban flooding is expected today into
tonight across portions of the middle and upper Texas Gulf Coast and
eastern Texas. Minor to isolated major river flooding is also
expected.

4. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
Tuesday across portions of the northern and western Gulf coasts.
Beachgoers should heed warning flags and the advice of lifeguards
and local officials before venturing into the water.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 08/1500Z 29.8N 95.7W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND
12H 09/0000Z 31.5N 95.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
24H 09/1200Z 33.9N 93.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
36H 10/0000Z 36.7N 89.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
48H 10/1200Z 39.7N 86.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
60H 11/0000Z 42.2N 82.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
72H 11/1200Z 44.0N 78.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#78 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 11:56 am

Tropical Storm Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1100 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Corrected Header

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND
FLOODING RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS...
...1100 AM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

Houston Bush Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) recently reported a
sustained wind of 59 mph (95 km/h) with a gust to 82 mph (132 km/h).

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM CDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.1N 95.6W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Blake
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#79 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 12:05 pm

Tropical Storm Beryl Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
1200 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AND
FLOODING RAINFALL PERSISTING OVER EASTERN TEXAS...
...1200 PM CDT POSITION UPDATE...

Montgomery County Airport in Conroe (KCXO) recently reported a wind
gust to 81 mph (130 km/h).

This is the last hourly position estimate for Beryl. The next
information will be the regularly scheduled 1 PM CDT Intermediate
advisory.


SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CDT...1700 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.3N 95.6W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM NNW OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES

$$
Forecaster Blake
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Re: ATL: BERYL - Advisories

#80 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 08, 2024 12:59 pm

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 40A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
100 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

...FLASH FLOODING AND GUSTY WINDS CONTINUING OVER EASTERN TEXAS...
...USE CAUTION AFTER THE STORM AS DEADLY HAZARDS REMAIN INCLUDING
DOWNED POWERLINES AND CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING FROM IMPROPER
GENERATOR USE...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 95.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
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