CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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TreasureIslandFLGal
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1201 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:31 am

Tracy,

If the storm does look like it will have a Flrodia impact, I'm sure your training will be at the least post-poned. I suggest driving up to it rather than flying, so if things do look like they will be bad for SW Florida, you can get the kids and Grandma to a safe place if need be.

Personally, I would suspect a storm to cross FL in the south and come out the west side. But it may not be known until late in the game whether it will cross at miami or cross at Cape Canaveral... if at all.

Advice is to watch the storm closely and keep plans tentatively. I suspect either the kids or you will not be staying were you currently intend to stay next week.
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#1202 Postby EyELeSs1 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:31 am

any word on whether or not the model runs have started??
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1203 Postby duris » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:32 am

weatherguru18 wrote:Ok...everybody is concerned about a strike on them...except me. I want that baby right here in Houston, TX. I've never been in a hurricane (Rita doesn't count although I went through the largest evacuation in U.S. history) and I want to experience one!!!


Yeah, I remember what I thought it was cool to experience a hurricane. But I was cured of that by Camille at age 7. Now at 44, after Katrina, I don't want anyone to get hit. I think maybe we should all chip in and rent a boat for those who want the experience, and we can put them in the middle of a fish storm when it happens.
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cyclonic chronic

Re: Re:

#1204 Postby cyclonic chronic » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:32 am

tgenius wrote:
storms in NC wrote:
punkyg wrote:I wanna see Dean do a loop dee loop like Jeanne did in 2004.


You are Sick. This is what she did. Now think about it.


He's a kid so he doesn't understand the ramifications of his words...


for the love of god, when does school start?!
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Re: T Storm Dean - Global Models=12z GFS starts at 11:30 AM EDT

#1205 Postby Extremecane » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:33 am

The noaa site is very slow can someone post a different link to the 12z gfs
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weatherguru18

Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1206 Postby weatherguru18 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:33 am

duris wrote:
weatherguru18 wrote:Ok...everybody is concerned about a strike on them...except me. I want that baby right here in Houston, TX. I've never been in a hurricane (Rita doesn't count although I went through the largest evacuation in U.S. history) and I want to experience one!!!


Yeah, I remember what I thought it was cool to experience a hurricane. But I was cured of that by Camille at age 7. Now at 44, after Katrina, I don't want anyone to get hit. I think maybe we should all chip in and rent a boat for those who want the experience, and we can put them in the middle of a fish storm when it happens.


Really?!?! :P
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1207 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:33 am

weatherguru18 wrote:Ok...everybody is concerned about a strike on them...except me. I want that baby right here in Houston, TX. I've never been in a hurricane (Rita doesn't count although I went through the largest evacuation in U.S. history) and I want to experience one!!!

Now if I lived in the islands or Puerto Rico, now is not the time to panic. Most of the islanders (I think) have storm shutters that can automatically lower during a storm. This thing is still days away. I'm not so sure that this will feel the weakness of a troph. It's far to the south, even more so than first thought, and is farther west than anticipated. Again, it's all about the timeing. I have a gut feeling that this thing may buzz right by Puerto Rico (north or south). The next 24 hrs are critical. Afterall, your "asking" a hurricane to hit a point over a thousand miles away.


I think you are extremely unaware of the socio-economic conditions of the majority of Puerto Rican residents. A strong storm will be devastating on that island.
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1208 Postby destruction92 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:34 am

weatherguru18 wrote:Ok...everybody is concerned about a strike on them...except me. I want that baby right here in Houston, TX. I've never been in a hurricane (Rita doesn't count although I went through the largest evacuation in U.S. history) and I want to experience one!!!

Now if I lived in the islands or Puerto Rico, now is not the time to panic. Most of the islanders (I think) have storm shutters that can automatically lower during a storm. This thing is still days away. I'm not so sure that this will feel the weakness of a troph. It's far to the south, even more so than first thought, and is farther west than anticipated. Again, it's all about the timeing. I have a gut feeling that this thing may buzz right by Puerto Rico (north or south). The next 24 hrs are critical. Afterall, your "asking" a hurricane to hit a point over a thousand miles away.


Ahhh. A fresh new case of "wishcastingitis". Don't get me wrong, there probably is a lot of it going on in this forum, but few actually admit to it. Thanks for your honesty.
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Re: Re:

#1209 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:35 am

cyclonic chronic wrote:for the love of god, when does school start?!


Soon sadly. :(
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#1210 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:35 am

Image

Looking quite interesting.
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weatherguru18

Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1211 Postby weatherguru18 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:35 am

destruction92 wrote:
weatherguru18 wrote:Ok...everybody is concerned about a strike on them...except me. I want that baby right here in Houston, TX. I've never been in a hurricane (Rita doesn't count although I went through the largest evacuation in U.S. history) and I want to experience one!!!

Now if I lived in the islands or Puerto Rico, now is not the time to panic. Most of the islanders (I think) have storm shutters that can automatically lower during a storm. This thing is still days away. I'm not so sure that this will feel the weakness of a troph. It's far to the south, even more so than first thought, and is farther west than anticipated. Again, it's all about the timeing. I have a gut feeling that this thing may buzz right by Puerto Rico (north or south). The next 24 hrs are critical. Afterall, your "asking" a hurricane to hit a point over a thousand miles away.


Ahhh. A fresh new case of "wishcastingitis". Don't get me wrong, there probably is a lot of it going on in this forum, but few actually admit to it. Thanks for your honesty.


Eh what can I say...I'm a weather junky. I get geeked up over a cold front. Can you imagine what it's like now??
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1212 Postby CourierPR » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:35 am

terstorm1012 wrote:storms in nc, thanks for saying what needed to be said.

As for the rest I'm really surprised that the new model is so aggressive with Dean intensity wise. Wouldn't a storm that ramps up quickly be more inclined to move poleward?
Andrew, in 1992, ramped up quickly, but kept moving west due to high pressure.
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Re: Re:

#1213 Postby punkyg » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:36 am

tgenius wrote:
storms in NC wrote:
punkyg wrote:I wanna see Dean do a loop dee loop like Jeanne did in 2004.


You are Sick. This is what she did. Now think about it.


He's a kid so he doesn't understand the ramifications of his words...
For your information i wanna see the loop dee loop to happen away from the islands not near them where people can get hurt and also why does every one think i'm a boy! i'm so heated right now i need a hug.
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Re: Re:

#1214 Postby storms in NC » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:36 am

...[/quote]

for the love of god, when does school start?![/quote]

Yesterday would have been good LOLOLOLOLOL
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#1215 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:36 am

Image

Looking quite interesting.
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Re: Re:

#1216 Postby destruction92 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:36 am

You are Sick. This is what she did. Now think about it.
[/quote]

He's a kid so he doesn't understand the ramifications of his words...[/quote]

for the love of god, when does school start?![/quote]

roflmao!!! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

Alright, let's get back to topic. This is "talkintropics" forum, and we need to be talkin' Dean.
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1217 Postby JTD » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:37 am

Some good news for all:
1. Shear still taking a toll on this system.
2. Looking at satelite, cloud tops are warming.
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1218 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:38 am

A monster in the making folks:

Image
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1219 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:38 am

jason0509 wrote:Some good news for all:
1. Shear still taking a toll on this system.
2. Looking at satelite, cloud tops are warming.


Is that really good? It will develop soon or later...but the longer it takes the longer we wait for the WNW turn.
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Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) - Discussions, Analysis and Sats

#1220 Postby skysummit » Tue Aug 14, 2007 10:39 am

jason0509 wrote:Some good news for all:
1. Shear still taking a toll on this system.
2. Looking at satelite, cloud tops are warming.


HUH? A nice CDO has developed directly over the LLC. It's still being affected by shear right now, however, that'll be changing over the next 24 - 48 hours.
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