CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
KFDM Meteorologist
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1314
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County

#1741 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:10 pm

102 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_102l.gif
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#1742 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:10 pm

Huh? Euro takes it into Florida and then the GOM as a very intense hurricane, NOGAPS never really did anything with it, and GFDL has it going into the Caribbean as a 970ish hurricane
0 likes   
Top
Derek Ortt

#1743 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:11 pm

wont be losing money now
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38098
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1744 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:11 pm

GFDL and the Euro do not dissipate this(FAR FROM IT). NOGAPS has never developed it. What are you talking about?!

Don't people remember the last 2 afternoons, convection waned, people declared it dead, and it came back.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1745 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:12 pm

GFS shows in interesting feature off the coast of florida in 96 hours. This feature extends down into the 500mb map also.
Image

Image
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#1746 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.8 /1002.0mb/ 41.0kt
0 likes   
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1747 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm

Explain what that means SFWX...?
0 likes   
Top
destruction92
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 312
Joined: Sun Jul 22, 2007 10:43 pm

Re:

#1748 Postby destruction92 » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm



this graphic shows a trough off the east coast near the bahamas.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KFDM Meteorologist
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1314
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County

#1749 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:14 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_114l.gif

114 HR
0 likes   
Top
Extremecane
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 70
Joined: Sat Aug 11, 2007 1:22 pm

Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1750 Postby Extremecane » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Maybe that flareup is a start of somethig also its now in diurnal maximum
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KFDM Meteorologist
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1314
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County

#1751 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

114 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_114l.gif
0 likes   
Top
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1752 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Extremecane wrote:Maybe that flareup is a start of somethig also its now in diurnal maximum


Still about 10 hours away from D-max.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#1753 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Guess who is coming back:

Image

Image
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#1754 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:16 pm

Jamaica bound perhaps?
0 likes   
Top
Javlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1620
Age: 64
Joined: Fri Jul 09, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: ms gulf coast

Re: Tropical Storm Dean (pg.28) Discussions,Analysis and Imagery

#1755 Postby Javlin » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

Brent wrote:GFDL and the Euro do not dissipate this(FAR FROM IT). NOGAPS has never developed it. What are you talking about?!

Don't people remember the last 2 afternoons, convection waned, people declared it dead, and it came back.


My sentiment also Dean actually seems to be relaxing in the sense the lack of E shear on the system.I might be wrong but I think it might perk up a bit later and get something going.just have to wait and see.
0 likes   
Top
Wx_Warrior
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2718
Joined: Thu Aug 03, 2006 3:58 pm
Location: Beaumont, TX

Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1756 Postby Wx_Warrior » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

126

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_126m.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KFDM Meteorologist
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1314
Joined: Tue May 16, 2006 9:52 pm
Location: Upper Texas Coast/Orange County

#1757 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

126 HR

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_126l.gif
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38098
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1758 Postby Brent » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:17 pm

What is that off Florida?
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#1759 Postby Scorpion » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:18 pm

Structure is looking great on nighttime vis
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

Re: Tropical Storm Dean - Global Models=18z GFS is being posted

#1760 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 14, 2007 5:18 pm

Looking at this run, again we see a mid-upper level feature off the coast of Florida. I think it might be a cut off upper level low. I wonder if it will put a dent in the ridge?

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/index_500_lu_loop.shtml
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2007”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests