CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[canegrl04]

If this becomes a cane before Friday,once again the NHC underestimated it's strengthening.I know it is diffucult to get a handle on hurricane strength forecasting,but they always err on the conservative side

[miamicanes177]

If this stinker cuts up the length of Cuba after flirting with Hispaniola you can put a fork in it.

[SouthFloridawx]

Yeah I think people forget how the forward speed, while getting easterly shear... actually helps it out quite a bit. 30kts of shear - 18kts forwards speed = 12kts of shear.

[Weatherfreak14]

150

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_150l.gif

Little slower and a tad east from 12Z

Could this be a hint that the models may run this slower and also maybe the models jump back up north to the bahmas.

[marcane_1973]

The big problem with this storm is its been in a hurry from the get go and has never been able to hold a decent LLC for a long period of time. Dean needs to sloooooow down. Seems like he was given a major dosage of speed and crack before he left Africa.

I knew thats what they use to seed storms.LOL

I think they did the same to the other invest that was in the Caribbean. Was it 90L??? Anyways...... He thought he was in the Daytona 500.

[SouthFloridawx]

This is really all going to depend on the Amplification of that trough.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

162 Hr

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

[KFDM Meteorologist]

162 500.....500 weakness over New Orleans.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_162l.gif

[Opal storm]

162 Hr

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

Wow, I thought it was about to take it north through the Bahamas looking at the previous run.

[stormchazer]

162 Hr

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_162l.gif

Almost looked like it is pulling a Charley. Looked mind you! Not going too!

[PTrackerLA]

This run looks to be headed for the northwestern/northern gulf coast.

[weatherguru18]

If this stinker cuts up the length of Cuba after flirting with Hispaniola you can put a fork in it.

Not so fast! Does this look familiar?


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:1900 ... _track.png

This hit as a Cat. 4 and killed 8,000+ people.

[Blown Away]

Cleo

[shannon]

One of our local weather guys just said that with the new models out, this was much better for us (here in Palm Beach County) because it looked like it would go into the Florida Straits. I just wonder why they say things like that when it's so far out. I remember he was the same one who told us that Francis was not coming our way as well. Just seems a little early to say anything one way or the other in my opinion.

[Brent]

If this stinker cuts up the length of Cuba after flirting with Hispaniola you can put a fork in it.

Oh really?



It was the worst hurricane on the Alabama coast until Ivan.

[Wx_Warrior]

174

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/images/gfs_ten_174m.gif

[PTPatrick]

Whats JB's take on all the fun with GFS today?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

174 hr back to FL Panhandle possibily

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_174l.gif

[DESTRUCTION5]

Cuba don't Kill storms DR does...

[destruction92]

lookout Charley