CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[KFDM Meteorologist]

6 HR 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_006l.gif

[Ivanhater]

Ok reviewing the 500mb charts...there is is trough crossing the central US as Dean crosses the gulf..Look at the 00UTC 500mb chart at 204..showing shortwave trough breaking the high in 2...

Look at the 500mb chart on the 06UTC

Trough still coming across the US..however Dean is moving much faster in that run...Timing is everything..but looks like the ridge will erode over the gulf, just when?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

6 HR 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_006l.gif

[cycloneye]

6 HR 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_006l.gif

Posted in the wrong thread.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_006l.gif

[KFDM Meteorologist]

24 HR Surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_024l.gif

[Scorpion]

We must all remember what happened with Ernesto as the models significantly overplayed the strength of the ridge. Not letting my guard down just yet.

[PTrackerLA]

Will be interesting to see whether this run has it going into Mexico again or not. Could we really have a westward runner all the way through?

[whereverwx]

An eye-like feature is becoming more apparent on the infrared.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

24 Hr 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_024l.gif

[HURAKAN]

Now we're talking.

[Sanibel]

My NHC satellite wasn't loading due to traffic so I had to use RAMSDIS which was on such an oblique angle that it exaggerated the wobble. I finally got an NHC overhead and see it is just a CDO wobble within the forecasted track. It IS pulling up, but on NHC's gradual curve.

IMO, flames aren't necessary. They're unprofessional.

The way to tell it is a wobble is to look at the outside surface bands that stay steady west.

[Scorpion]

Wow... I think Dean becomes a hurricane this afternoon

[Scorpion]

Latest image:

[artist]

Just want it known that I am watching an praying with you all on the islands as well.
Hopefully Drek will give you updates as needed here and other mets as well.

[redstick]

We must all remember what happened with Ernesto as the models significantly overplayed the strength of the ridge. Not letting my guard down just yet.

Not likely, considering the amount of strengthening that is forecasted.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

36 HR

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_036l.gif

[x-y-no]

36 hours:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml

Looks like a slightly more northerly track so far this run.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

36 500

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_036l.gif

[KWT]

Yep the 12z is faster still then the 06z, about 6hrs faster if that makes sense. its also a touch further north in comprasion to the 06z run, the 12z run as far north at 24hrs as the 06z at 36hrs, so not a lot but a touch.