CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[canegrl04]

Everyone from Texas to MS should be watching Dean the most.By the weekend the models should give us a reliable guidance for where he is headed.One thing is for sure-he will be a monster

[Brent]

Dean "The Screamer" (2007 ABHS).....In hope that is not the final nickname... .

or mean Dean...

How 'bout Jimmy Dean...


Sorry couldn't resist.

[cycloneye]

Derek,give us a evening brief summary of the latest about the track and intensity of Dean.

[cycloneye]

Ok folks,lets return to discuss about a very serious situation that may unfold in the comming days.

[HurryKane]

And yes, my slant is to wish cast a fish, so my observations may be tainted.

Does that make it fishcasting? Aaah I slay me.

[cycloneye]

Ok folks,lets return to discuss about a very serious situation that may unfold in the comming days.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

18Z 6 Hr

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_006l.gif

[killah]

Good gawd man, this thing looks like it is going to be a monster. If this thing gets into the gulf as a cat 2, without windsheer, it will mess something up big time.

[Opal storm]

Everyone from Texas to MS should be watching Dean the most.By the weekend the models should give us a reliable guidance for where he is headed.One thing is for sure-he will be a monster

How can you narrow it down to 500 miles of coastline when it's over a week away? This thing could still miss the GOM and hit Florida/East Coast.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Very Dangerous Situation for Caribbean islands and then Mexico's Yucatan:
It appears that Dean is entering waters of greater heat content and
could become a category 4-5 hurricane in the next 5-6 days as it
moves over waters of explosive heat content.

The lesser antilless will have to contend with a category 1 hurricane
possibly category 2. My advice: Prepare, get to higher ground, as
storm surge is a mean killer.

I would say that the Yucatan could face a category 4-5
hurricane and then Dean should enter the
bay of campeche.

Dean could be a very dangerous hurricane for the
western gulf of mexico. I'd say mexico
and the western GOM could be dealing with a
very dangerous hurricane. If you live in these areas,
you need to prepare Now. Again things can change,
but it appears that there is little to weaken the ridge
which would steer this thing into Mexico and then
the Western GOM/Mexico needs to be on bigtime
alert.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

6 HR 500 Level

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_006l.gif

[artist]

Derek,give us a evening summary of the latest about the track and intensity of Dean.

this is from his forecast in the Analysis forum posted at 5 today -

the northward jog may be placing France and Dominica in the crosshairs

viewtopic.php?f=29&t=97079&p=1596817#p1596817

[Extremeweatherguy]

Everyone from Texas to MS should be watching Dean the most.By the weekend the models should give us a reliable guidance for where he is headed.One thing is for sure-he will be a monster

How can you narrow it down to 500 miles of coastline when it's over a week away? This thing could still miss the GOM and hit Florida/East Coast.

It could very well still do that. However, you must admit that the chances of it doing that are now much, much smaller than 2-3 days ago. Based on the official track, the GOM needs to watch this one closely.

[canegrl04]

Everyone from Texas to MS should be watching Dean the most.By the weekend the models should give us a reliable guidance for where he is headed.One thing is for sure-he will be a monster

How can you narrow it down to 500 miles of coastline when it's over a week away? This thing could still miss the GOM and hit Florida/East Coast.

Given its track trend,and history regarding storms that track this far south,its unusual for it to wind up a Florida hurricane.But you are right.It still doesn't rule out Florida

[cycloneye]

I meant him posting here as he did earlier today.

[artist]

I think the point is someone could take what you said there as gospel and think they could be out of the woods - please add a disclaimer.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

18 Hr Surface

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_018l.gif

[storms in NC]

Everyone from Texas to MS should be watching Dean the most.By the weekend the models should give us a reliable guidance for where he is headed.One thing is for sure-he will be a monster

Think you need to add a few more in there.IMO. Islands Fla Al mexico. And so we can make sure it goes into the Gulf Fla will do this for you all.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

18Z 500 MB

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_018l.gif

[shortwave]

is there a break in the ridge @65w?