URNT15 KNHC 020539
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 60 20071102
052730 2730N 07636W 6960 03050 9900 +110 +063 358047 050 039 003 00
052800 2730N 07638W 6968 03039 9907 +106 +072 358041 041 037 003 00
052830 2730N 07640W 6967 03042 9909 +106 +074 358042 043 037 003 00
052900 2730N 07642W 6960 03050 9916 +101 +069 003045 045 037 003 00
052930 2730N 07644W 6969 03037 9914 +105 +064 005045 046 036 002 00
053000 2731N 07646W 6965 03047 9924 +099 +062 010048 051 037 002 00
053030 2731N 07648W 6969 03043 9937 +090 +065 014050 051 038 002 00
053100 2731N 07650W 6964 03052 9939 +088 +069 012049 050 037 002 00
053130 2731N 07650W 6964 03052 9939 +087 +069 010049 049 037 002 00
053200 2731N 07650W 6964 03052 9953 +080 +069 006048 049 039 003 00
053230 2731N 07656W 6967 03055 9953 +085 +067 001050 052 038 004 00
053300 2731N 07658W 6968 03056 9946 +092 +049 003053 054 035 006 00
053330 2731N 07658W 6968 03056 9946 +093 +044 004053 054 035 006 00
053400 2732N 07702W 6965 03062 9959 +087 +044 002051 052 034 004 00
053430 2732N 07704W 6967 03066 9960 +088 +046 358049 049 033 002 00
053500 2732N 07706W 6967 03069 9965 +084 +048 001049 049 033 002 00
053530 2732N 07708W 6968 03067 9972 +084 +048 000049 049 033 002 00
053600 2732N 07710W 6966 03071 9973 +082 +047 000049 049 035 001 00
053630 2732N 07712W 6967 03073 9977 +080 +048 003048 048 036 003 00
053700 2732N 07714W 6967 03072 9977 +081 +047 001046 047 034 002 00
$$
;
Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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CrazyC83
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URNT12 KNHC 020540
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162007
A. 02/05:15:20Z
B. 27 deg 27 min N
075 deg 47 min W
C. 700 mb 2941 m
D. 53 kt
E. 129 deg 94 nm
F. 216 deg 071 kt
G. 128 deg 069 nm
H. 981 mb
I. 13 C/ 3048 m
J. 15 C/ 3053 m
K. 8 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 1216A NOEL OB 20
MAX FL WIND 89 i=W QUAD 02:16:00 Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162007
A. 02/05:15:20Z
B. 27 deg 27 min N
075 deg 47 min W
C. 700 mb 2941 m
D. 53 kt
E. 129 deg 94 nm
F. 216 deg 071 kt
G. 128 deg 069 nm
H. 981 mb
I. 13 C/ 3048 m
J. 15 C/ 3053 m
K. 8 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF306 1216A NOEL OB 20
MAX FL WIND 89 i=W QUAD 02:16:00 Z
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CrazyC83
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URNT15 KNHC 020549
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 61 20071102
053730 2732N 07716W 6968 03071 9978 +082 +047 001042 043 034 002 00
053800 2732N 07718W 6968 03076 9978 +084 +046 002042 042 032 002 00
053830 2732N 07720W 6966 03079 9979 +085 +048 359041 043 034 007 00
053900 2733N 07722W 6972 03072 9970 +094 +041 352041 042 036 007 00
053930 2733N 07724W 6965 03083 9972 +092 +040 354042 042 030 003 00
054000 2733N 07726W 6967 03082 9967 +099 +035 354039 039 030 002 00
054030 2733N 07728W 6968 03081 9968 +099 +036 358040 040 029 003 00
054100 2733N 07730W 6967 03085 9968 +103 +034 000041 042 030 002 00
054130 2733N 07732W 6964 03087 9979 +091 +037 359045 046 029 004 00
054200 2733N 07733W 6967 03084 9980 +091 +036 000045 046 027 003 00
054230 2733N 07735W 6967 03088 9976 +097 +031 002043 044 029 004 00
054300 2733N 07737W 6966 03089 9977 +097 +029 004043 043 029 003 00
054330 2733N 07740W 6966 03091 9976 +100 +023 001044 044 028 002 00
054400 2734N 07742W 6967 03092 9982 +098 +019 359044 044 027 002 00
054430 2734N 07744W 6965 03093 9982 +098 +012 359045 045 027 002 00
054500 2734N 07746W 6967 03093 9986 +098 +011 000045 046 026 002 00
054530 2734N 07748W 6964 03097 9986 +095 +015 002044 045 025 003 00
054600 2734N 07750W 6965 03098 9992 +093 +015 005044 045 027 002 00
054630 2734N 07752W 6967 03095 9990 +094 +017 002044 045 026 003 00
054700 2734N 07754W 6968 03096 9995 +092 +021 002045 046 028 002 00
$$
;
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 61 20071102
053730 2732N 07716W 6968 03071 9978 +082 +047 001042 043 034 002 00
053800 2732N 07718W 6968 03076 9978 +084 +046 002042 042 032 002 00
053830 2732N 07720W 6966 03079 9979 +085 +048 359041 043 034 007 00
053900 2733N 07722W 6972 03072 9970 +094 +041 352041 042 036 007 00
053930 2733N 07724W 6965 03083 9972 +092 +040 354042 042 030 003 00
054000 2733N 07726W 6967 03082 9967 +099 +035 354039 039 030 002 00
054030 2733N 07728W 6968 03081 9968 +099 +036 358040 040 029 003 00
054100 2733N 07730W 6967 03085 9968 +103 +034 000041 042 030 002 00
054130 2733N 07732W 6964 03087 9979 +091 +037 359045 046 029 004 00
054200 2733N 07733W 6967 03084 9980 +091 +036 000045 046 027 003 00
054230 2733N 07735W 6967 03088 9976 +097 +031 002043 044 029 004 00
054300 2733N 07737W 6966 03089 9977 +097 +029 004043 043 029 003 00
054330 2733N 07740W 6966 03091 9976 +100 +023 001044 044 028 002 00
054400 2734N 07742W 6967 03092 9982 +098 +019 359044 044 027 002 00
054430 2734N 07744W 6965 03093 9982 +098 +012 359045 045 027 002 00
054500 2734N 07746W 6967 03093 9986 +098 +011 000045 046 026 002 00
054530 2734N 07748W 6964 03097 9986 +095 +015 002044 045 025 003 00
054600 2734N 07750W 6965 03098 9992 +093 +015 005044 045 027 002 00
054630 2734N 07752W 6967 03095 9990 +094 +017 002044 045 026 003 00
054700 2734N 07754W 6968 03096 9995 +092 +021 002045 046 028 002 00
$$
;
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brunota2003
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Interesting, between the last three vortex messages (on pages 17 and 18), the center traveled NE between the first two and NNE between the last two. Looking on Sat a few minutes ago, it did appear to have that "Northward" look to it, but is most likely just a temporary set-up of the convection and expect it to continue off to the NNE.
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CrazyC83
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Re:
brunota2003 wrote:Interesting, between the last three vortex messages (on pages 17 and 18), the center traveled NE between the first two and NNE between the last two. Looking on Sat a few minutes ago, it did appear to have that "Northward" look to it, but is most likely just a temporary set-up of the convection and expect it to continue off to the NNE.
That seems correct - these storms can wobble a lot. It has been hard to follow, and this has to be the longest recon missions I can remember!
My intensity guess: 80 kt / 978mb (based on the 89 kt FL winds and the pressure readings)
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brunota2003
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Re: Hurricane NOEL Recon discussion
Indeed. How about that surface and flight center though? Did you see that on the obs? Doesnt seem like they are stacked, with the flight level center being NW of the surface center (per plane and SFMR readings).
URNT15 KNHC 020519
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 58 20071102
050730 2711N 07522W 6971 02980 9811 +138 +067 198047 048 046 003 00
050800 2712N 07523W 6969 02981 9802 +145 +074 202042 044 043 002 00
050830 2713N 07525W 6963 02985 9793 +149 +073 203041 042 039 003 00
050900 2715N 07526W 6968 02977 9787 +154 +068 206038 039 037 003 00
050930 2716N 07528W 6971 02973 9799 +142 +077 200033 036 037 003 00
051000 2717N 07529W 6966 02976 9795 +146 +072 197026 026 033 003 00
051030 2719N 07531W 6966 02981 9797 +142 +075 200026 028 029 004 03
051100 2720N 07532W 6966 02975 9800 +138 +079 198022 023 018 004 00
051130 2721N 07534W 6967 02976 9806 +131 +085 198019 021 013 003 00
051200 2722N 07536W 6964 02978 9808 +129 +086 213017 018 012 004 00
051230 2723N 07538W 6967 02973 9794 +140 +085 229022 023 014 004 00
051300 2723N 07539W 6963 02979 9783 +151 +078 218016 019 009 004 03 <--- Pressure and SFMR Center
051330 2725N 07541W 6969 02968 9785 +151 +069 198017 019 010 003 03
051400 2726N 07542W 6964 02978 9795 +141 +075 206019 021 010 003 03
051430 2726N 07544W 6968 02976 9802 +136 +078 206014 016 013 002 00
051500 2727N 07546W 6963 02976 9808 +129 +084 199006 009 016 002 00
051530 2727N 07548W 6965 02975 9805 +133 +081 015001 003 017 004 03 <--- Actual Flight level center (I think)
051600 2727N 07550W 6973 02967 9796 +143 +073 007006 008 027 003 00
051630 2727N 07552W 6964 02980 9794 +144 +072 009008 008 038 005 00
051700 2727N 07552W 6964 02980 9805 +140 +070 015008 010 043 004 00
URNT15 KNHC 020519
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 58 20071102
050730 2711N 07522W 6971 02980 9811 +138 +067 198047 048 046 003 00
050800 2712N 07523W 6969 02981 9802 +145 +074 202042 044 043 002 00
050830 2713N 07525W 6963 02985 9793 +149 +073 203041 042 039 003 00
050900 2715N 07526W 6968 02977 9787 +154 +068 206038 039 037 003 00
050930 2716N 07528W 6971 02973 9799 +142 +077 200033 036 037 003 00
051000 2717N 07529W 6966 02976 9795 +146 +072 197026 026 033 003 00
051030 2719N 07531W 6966 02981 9797 +142 +075 200026 028 029 004 03
051100 2720N 07532W 6966 02975 9800 +138 +079 198022 023 018 004 00
051130 2721N 07534W 6967 02976 9806 +131 +085 198019 021 013 003 00
051200 2722N 07536W 6964 02978 9808 +129 +086 213017 018 012 004 00
051230 2723N 07538W 6967 02973 9794 +140 +085 229022 023 014 004 00
051300 2723N 07539W 6963 02979 9783 +151 +078 218016 019 009 004 03 <--- Pressure and SFMR Center
051330 2725N 07541W 6969 02968 9785 +151 +069 198017 019 010 003 03
051400 2726N 07542W 6964 02978 9795 +141 +075 206019 021 010 003 03
051430 2726N 07544W 6968 02976 9802 +136 +078 206014 016 013 002 00
051500 2727N 07546W 6963 02976 9808 +129 +084 199006 009 016 002 00
051530 2727N 07548W 6965 02975 9805 +133 +081 015001 003 017 004 03 <--- Actual Flight level center (I think)
051600 2727N 07550W 6973 02967 9796 +143 +073 007006 008 027 003 00
051630 2727N 07552W 6964 02980 9794 +144 +072 009008 008 038 005 00
051700 2727N 07552W 6964 02980 9805 +140 +070 015008 010 043 004 00
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CrazyC83
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URNT15 KNHC 020559
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 62 20071102
054730 2734N 07756W 6965 03102 0003 +085 +030 005044 045 027 002 00
054800 2734N 07758W 6969 03098 0003 +086 +032 007044 044 026 002 00
054830 2734N 07800W 6967 03101 0001 +092 +020 007041 041 025 002 00
054900 2735N 07802W 6967 03105 0002 +090 +026 006040 040 025 002 00
054930 2735N 07804W 6967 03102 0001 +090 +030 007037 038 025 003 00
055000 2735N 07806W 6968 03103 0001 +092 +030 007037 038 028 005 00
055030 2735N 07808W 6964 03107 0002 +092 +031 006035 036 032 004 00
055100 2735N 07810W 6965 03109 0005 +094 +031 007035 035 032 005 00
055130 2735N 07812W 6967 03108 0005 +092 +030 003034 034 024 002 00
055200 2735N 07814W 6966 03104 0006 +091 +035 004035 036 023 002 00
055230 2735N 07816W 6965 03112 0006 +090 +045 006036 036 024 003 00
055300 2735N 07818W 6968 03107 0003 +094 +039 007037 038 026 002 00
055330 2735N 07820W 6967 03107 0006 +094 +037 008038 039 024 002 00
055400 2736N 07822W 6967 03112 0005 +095 +036 010038 038 022 002 00
055430 2736N 07824W 6967 03111 0009 +095 +037 011038 038 025 003 00
055500 2736N 07826W 6967 03114 0009 +094 +033 011037 037 022 002 00
055530 2736N 07829W 6966 03116 0013 +090 +038 012037 038 023 002 00
055600 2736N 07831W 6968 03112 0015 +090 +034 012037 037 023 002 00
055630 2736N 07833W 6967 03116 0017 +090 +024 011037 037 023 002 00
055700 2736N 07835W 6967 03114 0017 +090 +020 008036 036 022 002 00
$$
;
Someone else take over please.
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 62 20071102
054730 2734N 07756W 6965 03102 0003 +085 +030 005044 045 027 002 00
054800 2734N 07758W 6969 03098 0003 +086 +032 007044 044 026 002 00
054830 2734N 07800W 6967 03101 0001 +092 +020 007041 041 025 002 00
054900 2735N 07802W 6967 03105 0002 +090 +026 006040 040 025 002 00
054930 2735N 07804W 6967 03102 0001 +090 +030 007037 038 025 003 00
055000 2735N 07806W 6968 03103 0001 +092 +030 007037 038 028 005 00
055030 2735N 07808W 6964 03107 0002 +092 +031 006035 036 032 004 00
055100 2735N 07810W 6965 03109 0005 +094 +031 007035 035 032 005 00
055130 2735N 07812W 6967 03108 0005 +092 +030 003034 034 024 002 00
055200 2735N 07814W 6966 03104 0006 +091 +035 004035 036 023 002 00
055230 2735N 07816W 6965 03112 0006 +090 +045 006036 036 024 003 00
055300 2735N 07818W 6968 03107 0003 +094 +039 007037 038 026 002 00
055330 2735N 07820W 6967 03107 0006 +094 +037 008038 039 024 002 00
055400 2736N 07822W 6967 03112 0005 +095 +036 010038 038 022 002 00
055430 2736N 07824W 6967 03111 0009 +095 +037 011038 038 025 003 00
055500 2736N 07826W 6967 03114 0009 +094 +033 011037 037 022 002 00
055530 2736N 07829W 6966 03116 0013 +090 +038 012037 038 023 002 00
055600 2736N 07831W 6968 03112 0015 +090 +034 012037 037 023 002 00
055630 2736N 07833W 6967 03116 0017 +090 +024 011037 037 023 002 00
055700 2736N 07835W 6967 03114 0017 +090 +020 008036 036 022 002 00
$$
;
Someone else take over please.
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brunota2003
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dwsqos2
Re: Hurricane NOEL Recon Obs
000
URNT15 KNHC 020609
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 63 20071102
055730 2736N 07837W 6967 03116 0021 +088 +024 006036 037 023 002 00
055800 2736N 07839W 6967 03117 0023 +085 +029 005037 037 021 003 00
055830 2736N 07841W 6849 03261 0017 +084 +023 002034 036 023 002 00
055900 2736N 07843W 6698 03450 0019 +076 +017 000031 032 024 002 00
055930 2736N 07843W 6698 03450 0023 +073 +016 000031 032 024 002 00
060000 2737N 07847W 6216 04069 0032 +039 -012 354028 030 023 002 00
060030 2737N 07849W 6007 04345 9999 +027 -056 359034 036 026 000 00
060100 2737N 07851W 5783 04628 9976 +015 -086 352038 038 027 000 03
060130 2737N 07853W 5595 04899 9984 +001 -136 351038 039 026 001 00
060200 2737N 07853W 5595 04899 9994 -004 -155 351039 039 025 002 00
060230 2737N 07857W 5252 05417 0209 -034 -217 345039 040 025 001 00
060300 2737N 07859W 5100 05648 0223 -051 -224 343038 039 025 001 00
060330 2737N 07902W 4953 05882 0238 -071 -226 343038 039 026 001 00
060400 2737N 07904W 4816 06098 0252 -082 -235 341036 037 028 000 00
060430 2738N 07906W 4709 06274 0264 -095 -236 343034 035 028 000 00
060500 2738N 07908W 4579 06495 0274 -106 -237 339036 037 026 001 00
060530 2738N 07910W 4474 06659 0276 -117 -236 339037 037 021 003 00
060600 2738N 07913W 4374 06831 0288 -133 -232 338038 039 025 003 00
060630 2738N 07915W 4269 07018 0294 -148 -225 336036 038 027 003 00
060700 2738N 07917W 4182 07156 0291 -160 -219 337034 034 025 005 00
$$
;
Plane is ascending; mission is over.
URNT15 KNHC 020609
AF306 1216A NOEL HDOB 63 20071102
055730 2736N 07837W 6967 03116 0021 +088 +024 006036 037 023 002 00
055800 2736N 07839W 6967 03117 0023 +085 +029 005037 037 021 003 00
055830 2736N 07841W 6849 03261 0017 +084 +023 002034 036 023 002 00
055900 2736N 07843W 6698 03450 0019 +076 +017 000031 032 024 002 00
055930 2736N 07843W 6698 03450 0023 +073 +016 000031 032 024 002 00
060000 2737N 07847W 6216 04069 0032 +039 -012 354028 030 023 002 00
060030 2737N 07849W 6007 04345 9999 +027 -056 359034 036 026 000 00
060100 2737N 07851W 5783 04628 9976 +015 -086 352038 038 027 000 03
060130 2737N 07853W 5595 04899 9984 +001 -136 351038 039 026 001 00
060200 2737N 07853W 5595 04899 9994 -004 -155 351039 039 025 002 00
060230 2737N 07857W 5252 05417 0209 -034 -217 345039 040 025 001 00
060300 2737N 07859W 5100 05648 0223 -051 -224 343038 039 025 001 00
060330 2737N 07902W 4953 05882 0238 -071 -226 343038 039 026 001 00
060400 2737N 07904W 4816 06098 0252 -082 -235 341036 037 028 000 00
060430 2738N 07906W 4709 06274 0264 -095 -236 343034 035 028 000 00
060500 2738N 07908W 4579 06495 0274 -106 -237 339036 037 026 001 00
060530 2738N 07910W 4474 06659 0276 -117 -236 339037 037 021 003 00
060600 2738N 07913W 4374 06831 0288 -133 -232 338038 039 025 003 00
060630 2738N 07915W 4269 07018 0294 -148 -225 336036 038 027 003 00
060700 2738N 07917W 4182 07156 0291 -160 -219 337034 034 025 005 00
$$
;
Plane is ascending; mission is over.
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dwsqos2
Re: Hurricane NOEL Recon Obs
Max Wind Band Drop...
000
UZNT13 KNHC 020558
XXAA 52057 99275 70762 08076 99987 22621 00573 00616 ///// /////
92562 20228 01092 85291 17825 01577 70946 12619 00527 88999 77999
31313 09608 80520
61616 AF306 1216A NOEL OB 22
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2741N07619W 0524 MBL WND 00588 AEV 00000 DLM W
ND 01066 987706 WL150 00583 075 =
XXBB 52058 99275 70762 08076 00987 22621 11850 17825 22788 15618
33746 16042 44714 13426 55706 14222 66696 11417
21212 00987 00573 11977 00586 22943 00592 33921 01092 44912 01086
55861 01581 66850 01577 77696 00527
31313 09608 80520
61616 AF306 1216A NOEL OB 22
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2741N07619W 0524 MBL WND 00588 AEV 00000 DLM W
ND 01066 987706 WL150 00583 075 =
;
987 mb; Surface Winds: 5° @ 73 knots
MBL Winds: 5° @ 88 knots
WL150 Winds: 5° @ 83 knots
000
UZNT13 KNHC 020558
XXAA 52057 99275 70762 08076 99987 22621 00573 00616 ///// /////
92562 20228 01092 85291 17825 01577 70946 12619 00527 88999 77999
31313 09608 80520
61616 AF306 1216A NOEL OB 22
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2741N07619W 0524 MBL WND 00588 AEV 00000 DLM W
ND 01066 987706 WL150 00583 075 =
XXBB 52058 99275 70762 08076 00987 22621 11850 17825 22788 15618
33746 16042 44714 13426 55706 14222 66696 11417
21212 00987 00573 11977 00586 22943 00592 33921 01092 44912 01086
55861 01581 66850 01577 77696 00527
31313 09608 80520
61616 AF306 1216A NOEL OB 22
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2741N07619W 0524 MBL WND 00588 AEV 00000 DLM W
ND 01066 987706 WL150 00583 075 =
;
987 mb; Surface Winds: 5° @ 73 knots
MBL Winds: 5° @ 88 knots
WL150 Winds: 5° @ 83 knots
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Jevo
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Re: Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images
OMG how cool would it be to see a storm like this go right into the NY Maryland Mass area!!!
before you come at me with your holier than though attitude... I know you want to see it happen.... no matter what you say Im right youre wrong and 40 Massachusetts people I disagree with will back me!
before you come at me with your holier than though attitude... I know you want to see it happen.... no matter what you say Im right youre wrong and 40 Massachusetts people I disagree with will back me!
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
Re: Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images
Now this is a wilma sized hurricane. It appears to be picking up good speed northward to, over the last few hours. Also Noel helped make this season tie with 2002 for ace. WHAOOO
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
Re: Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images
Jevo wrote:OMG how cool would it be to see a storm like this go right into the NY Maryland Mass area!!!
before you come at me with your holier than though attitude... I know you want to see it happen.... no matter what you say Im right youre wrong and 40 Massachusetts people I disagree with will back me!
No disagreements here.
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Re: Hurricane NOEL Advisories
000
WTNT31 KNHC 020832
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
500 AM EDT FRI NOV 02 2007
...NOEL MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES AND BERMUDA...GROWING IN SIZE...
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST OR ABOUT 675 MILES...
1085 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 470 MILES...755 KM...
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS....BUT NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND
BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT NOEL
HAS GROWN IN SIZE DURING THE NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MAINLY
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOEL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO GROW IN
SIZE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH
ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND 2 TO 4 INCHES....WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...28.4 N...75.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT31 KNHC 020832
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
500 AM EDT FRI NOV 02 2007
...NOEL MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES AND BERMUDA...GROWING IN SIZE...
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
INTERESTS ALONG THE U. S. EAST COAST FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD
SHOULD CONSULT STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS ISSUED BY THEIR LOCAL NWS
FORECAST OFFICE. INTERESTS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD
CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER OF
ENVIRONMENT CANADA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST OR ABOUT 675 MILES...
1085 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 470 MILES...755 KM...
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NOEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS....BUT NOEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND
BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AIRCRAFT...SATELLITE...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT NOEL
HAS GROWN IN SIZE DURING THE NIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MAINLY
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOEL IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO GROW IN
SIZE AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.
NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE INCH
ACROSS THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND 2 TO 4 INCHES....WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS TO 6 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...28.4 N...75.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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Re: Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images
It looks to me like Noel has probably peaked overnight. In last couple hours, cloud tops have warmed up and the convective pattern is little more ragged.
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Re: Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images
Thunder44 wrote:It looks to me like Noel has probably peaked overnight. In last couple hours, cloud tops have warmed up and the convective pattern is little more ragged.
First signs of a frontal boundary tail starting to show up on the rear right quad of Noel.
Image is in near real-time and may not reflect the information in the post above the image.
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Squarethecircle
- Category 5
- Posts: 2165
- Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 4:00 pm
- Location: Fairfax, VA
Re: Hurricane NOEL : Discussions & Images
I'd say this is already going through ETT, but I know nothing about these things, so, yeah. Looks like Atlantic Canada might be in for a hammering though.
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Re: Hurricane NOEL Models Thread
The Great new england Hurricane of 1938 and more recently Gloria in 1986 took a track over Long Island.
http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hu ... gloria.htm
Even tropical storm force winds can be a problem in New England because there is a lot of dead wood in the trees.
http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hu ... gloria.htm
Even tropical storm force winds can be a problem in New England because there is a lot of dead wood in the trees.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
861
URNT15 KNHC 021116
AF304 1316A NOEL HDOB 20 20071102
110330 3132N 07404W 6969 03104 0073 +037 +037 080018 019 026 018 00
110400 3131N 07403W 6967 03105 0070 +038 +038 076018 019 026 017 00
110430 3129N 07402W 6968 03103 0069 +037 +037 076021 023 027 017 00
110500 3128N 07401W 6963 03106 0072 +035 +035 074024 025 028 017 00
110530 3126N 07400W 6969 03097 0073 +033 +033 073022 024 030 016 00
110600 3124N 07359W 6968 03102 0071 +034 +034 075023 024 028 016 00
110630 3123N 07359W 6965 03103 0058 +042 +042 069025 025 027 016 00
110700 3121N 07358W 6967 03099 0063 +038 +038 067026 027 028 016 00
110730 3120N 07357W 6967 03099 0074 +030 +030 065027 027 025 016 00
110800 3118N 07356W 6967 03098 0073 +030 +030 058027 027 023 016 00
110830 3116N 07355W 6968 03097 0066 +035 +035 057028 028 026 014 00
110900 3115N 07354W 6963 03100 0053 +043 +043 058026 027 021 012 00
110930 3113N 07354W 6969 03094 0057 +040 +040 063026 027 021 012 00
111000 3111N 07353W 6966 03098 0049 +045 +045 065027 028 019 012 00
111030 3110N 07352W 6968 03092 0040 +050 +050 063025 026 020 014 00
111100 3108N 07351W 6967 03095 0039 +051 +051 065027 029 023 014 00
111130 3106N 07350W 6967 03094 0036 +053 +050 066030 030 026 011 00
111200 3105N 07349W 6957 03104 0039 +048 +048 069031 033 021 010 03
111230 3104N 07348W 6963 03093 0036 +050 +049 072030 030 020 009 00
111300 3103N 07347W 6963 03092 0037 +046 +046 070029 030 025 008 00
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 021116
AF304 1316A NOEL HDOB 20 20071102
110330 3132N 07404W 6969 03104 0073 +037 +037 080018 019 026 018 00
110400 3131N 07403W 6967 03105 0070 +038 +038 076018 019 026 017 00
110430 3129N 07402W 6968 03103 0069 +037 +037 076021 023 027 017 00
110500 3128N 07401W 6963 03106 0072 +035 +035 074024 025 028 017 00
110530 3126N 07400W 6969 03097 0073 +033 +033 073022 024 030 016 00
110600 3124N 07359W 6968 03102 0071 +034 +034 075023 024 028 016 00
110630 3123N 07359W 6965 03103 0058 +042 +042 069025 025 027 016 00
110700 3121N 07358W 6967 03099 0063 +038 +038 067026 027 028 016 00
110730 3120N 07357W 6967 03099 0074 +030 +030 065027 027 025 016 00
110800 3118N 07356W 6967 03098 0073 +030 +030 058027 027 023 016 00
110830 3116N 07355W 6968 03097 0066 +035 +035 057028 028 026 014 00
110900 3115N 07354W 6963 03100 0053 +043 +043 058026 027 021 012 00
110930 3113N 07354W 6969 03094 0057 +040 +040 063026 027 021 012 00
111000 3111N 07353W 6966 03098 0049 +045 +045 065027 028 019 012 00
111030 3110N 07352W 6968 03092 0040 +050 +050 063025 026 020 014 00
111100 3108N 07351W 6967 03095 0039 +051 +051 065027 029 023 014 00
111130 3106N 07350W 6967 03094 0036 +053 +050 066030 030 026 011 00
111200 3105N 07349W 6957 03104 0039 +048 +048 069031 033 021 010 03
111230 3104N 07348W 6963 03093 0036 +050 +049 072030 030 020 009 00
111300 3103N 07347W 6963 03092 0037 +046 +046 070029 030 025 008 00
$$
;
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