Tropical Storm Barry

[wxman57]

Numerous obs of 25 kts at the surface around the developing low. I think we can conclude that 25-30 kts at the surface is most likely. I see a ship near 23.2N/86.15W reporting NW wind at 25 kts and 1007 mb.

[Aric Dunn]

UZNT13 KNHC 011757
XXAA 51185 99251 70868 08156 99011 23217 ///// 00093 22415 06532
92768 18202 08031 85492 15402 07518 70121 08036 36016 50583 05308
14529 88999 77999
31313 09608 81732
51515 10190 40755
61616 AF307 01BBA INVEST OB 04
62626 SPL 2510N08679W 1740 LST WND 013 MBL WND 07033 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 08514 009452 WL150 06532 088 =
XXBB 51188 99251 70868 08156 00011 23217 11946 19004 22850 15402
33703 08435 44528 03107 55467 077// 66417 135//
21212 00011 ///// 11009 07032 22932 08033 33870 09521 44850 07518
55751 02020 66714 02512 77699 36017 88663 34516 99654 33510 11636
27010 22619 22515 33592 19007 44566 15011 55531 14028 66452 15031
77417 17037
31313 09608 81732
51515 10190 40755
61616 AF307 01BBA INVEST OB 04
62626 SPL 2510N08679W 1740 LST WND 013 MBL WND 07033 AEV 00000 DL
M WND 08514 009452 WL150 06532 088 =


Another dropsonde observation.

Looks like temps and dew points are good enough ...

[Aric Dunn]

the last recco .. has 40 mph at the surface

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 011823
AF307 01BBA INVEST HDOB 15 KNHC
1814 2413N 08458W 00306 5059 119 036 228 751 037 00259 0000000100
1814. 2413N 08456W 00304 5058 120 035 228 751 036 00258 0000000100
1815 2413N 08455W 00305 5058 122 035 226 751 036 00260 0000000100
1815. 2413N 08453W 00305 5057 122 035 226 751 036 00260 0000000100
1816 2412N 08452W 00305 5057 121 034 224 751 037 00260 0000000100
1816. 2412N 08451W 00305 5056 121 033 224 751 036 00261 0000000100
1817 2412N 08449W 00307 5056 121 035 222 751 036 00264 0000000100
1817. 2412N 08448W 00302 5055 125 039 224 751 040 00259 0000000100
1818 2412N 08446W 00305 5055 122 036 224 751 037 00262 0000000100
1818. 2412N 08445W 00306 5055 121 034 220 751 035 00263 0000000100
1819 2412N 08443W 00304 5056 119 035 220 751 035 00261 0000000100
1819. 2412N 08442W 00304 5055 119 036 220 751 037 00262 0000000100
1820 2412N 08441W 00305 5055 121 034 220 751 036 00263 0000000100
1820. 2412N 08439W 00306 5054 120 036 220 751 037 00264 0000000100
1821 2411N 08440W 00305 5054 115 036 220 751 037 00263 0000000100
1821. 2410N 08442W 00304 5056 114 037 220 751 038 00261 0000000100
1822 2409N 08443W 00304 5056 115 037 222 751 037 00260 0000000100
1822. 2408N 08445W 00306 5057 114 037 220 751 038 00261 0000000100
1823 2407N 08446W 00306 5057 112 035 222 751 036 00261 0000000100
1823. 2406N 08447W 00304 5058 113 035 224 751 036 00259 0000000100


Nothing beating the highest wind so far,42 kts in this set.

[somethingfunny]

.....So what happens if we find a decent West vector? Barry? :O

[Aric Dunn]

SXXX50 KNHC 011823
AF307 01BBA INVEST HDOB 15 KNHC
1814 2413N 08458W 00306 5059 119 036 228 751 037 00259 0000000100
1814. 2413N 08456W 00304 5058 120 035 228 751 036 00258 0000000100
1815 2413N 08455W 00305 5058 122 035 226 751 036 00260 0000000100
1815. 2413N 08453W 00305 5057 122 035 226 751 036 00260 0000000100
1816 2412N 08452W 00305 5057 121 034 224 751 037 00260 0000000100
1816. 2412N 08451W 00305 5056 121 033 224 751 036 00261 0000000100
1817 2412N 08449W 00307 5056 121 035 222 751 036 00264 0000000100
1817. 2412N 08448W 00302 5055 125 039 224 751 040 00259 0000000100
1818 2412N 08446W 00305 5055 122 036 224 751 037 00262 0000000100
1818. 2412N 08445W 00306 5055 121 034 220 751 035 00263 0000000100
1819 2412N 08443W 00304 5056 119 035 220 751 035 00261 0000000100
1819. 2412N 08442W 00304 5055 119 036 220 751 037 00262 0000000100
1820 2412N 08441W 00305 5055 121 034 220 751 036 00263 0000000100
1820. 2412N 08439W 00306 5054 120 036 220 751 037 00264 0000000100
1821 2411N 08440W 00305 5054 115 036 220 751 037 00263 0000000100
1821. 2410N 08442W 00304 5056 114 037 220 751 038 00261 0000000100
1822 2409N 08443W 00304 5056 115 037 222 751 037 00260 0000000100
1822. 2408N 08445W 00306 5057 114 037 220 751 038 00261 0000000100
1823 2407N 08446W 00306 5057 112 035 222 751 036 00261 0000000100
1823. 2406N 08447W 00304 5058 113 035 224 751 036 00259 0000000100


Nothing beating the highest wind so far,42 kts in this set.

there heading south on the east side .. there looking for some higher winds...

[drezee]

Numerous obs of 25 kts at the surface around the developing low. I think we can conclude that 25-30 kts at the surface is most likely. I see a ship near 23.2N/86.15W reporting NW wind at 25 kts and 1007 mb.

Intersting Ship report:

01/18 C6FM5 23.7 -85.1 25.0 090 50 1005.0-20.0 26.0 * C6FM5

yeah 50 knots...likely not good data

[cycloneye]

Discussions about the observations are being posted at the recon discussion thread to have this one clear to post the obs.

[Aric Dunn]

Numerous obs of 25 kts at the surface around the developing low. I think we can conclude that 25-30 kts at the surface is most likely. I see a ship near 23.2N/86.15W reporting NW wind at 25 kts and 1007 mb.

Intersting Ship report:

01/18 C6FM5 23.7 -85.1 25.0 090 50 1005.0-20.0 26.0 * C6FM5

yeah 50 knots...likely not good data

http://www.oceanweather.com/data/
marine observations

[Ptarmigan]

I wouldn't be surprised if this low becomes a tropical depression or even tropical storm.

[cycloneye]

Please discuss in here all about the recon data.

[wxman57]

Sorry, had both recon threads open and replied to wrong thread:

Numerous obs of 25 kts at the surface around the developing low. I think we can conclude that 25-30 kts at the surface is most likely. I see a ship near 23.2N/86.15W reporting NW wind at 25 kts and 1007 mb.

[Aric Dunn]

Sorry, had both recon threads open and replied to wrong thread:

Numerous obs of 25 kts at the surface around the developing low. I think we can conclude that 25-30 kts at the surface is most likely. I see a ship near 23.2N/86.15W reporting NW wind at 25 kts and 1007 mb.

the last recco says surface wins of 40 mph

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (BBL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF307
Observation Number: 07
Time: 1819Z
Latitude: 24.2°N
Longitude: 84.7°W
#NAME?
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1000 feet
Flight level wind: ESE (120°) @ 43 mph
Temperature: 72°F
Dewpoint: N/A°F
Weather: Rainshowers
Sea level pressure: 1005 mb
Surface Wind: SE (120°) @ 40 mph
Remarks: None

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 011833
AF307 01BBA INVEST HDOB 16 KNHC
1824 2404N 08448W 00304 5059 115 035 224 751 035 00257 0000000100
1824. 2403N 08450W 00305 5059 116 035 226 751 036 00258 0000000100
1825 2402N 08451W 00305 5060 119 034 228 751 035 00257 0000000100
1825. 2401N 08452W 00305 5061 118 033 226 751 033 00257 0000000100
1826 2400N 08454W 00304 5062 117 032 228 751 033 00255 0000000100
1826. 2359N 08455W 00305 5063 117 031 228 751 032 00254 0000000100
1827 2358N 08456W 00304 5063 125 031 234 751 031 00254 0000000100
1827. 2357N 08457W 00305 5065 122 031 232 751 032 00253 0000000100
1828 2356N 08459W 00303 5065 130 029 232 751 030 00250 0000000100
1828. 2355N 08500W 00306 5066 135 030 230 751 030 00252 0000000100
1829 2354N 08501W 00304 5066 135 028 234 751 029 00251 0000000100
1829. 2353N 08503W 00305 5066 139 026 232 751 028 00252 0000000100
1830 2352N 08504W 00305 5067 146 025 236 751 026 00251 0000000100
1830. 2351N 08505W 00304 5066 159 024 240 751 025 00250 0000000100
1831 2350N 08506W 00305 5067 162 026 240 751 028 00251 0000000100
1831. 2349N 08507W 00305 5068 166 026 238 751 027 00250 0000000100
1832 2348N 08509W 00305 5068 175 026 240 751 027 00249 0000000100
1832. 2347N 08510W 00305 5069 181 028 240 751 028 00247 0000000100
1833 2346N 08511W 00305 5070 184 027 236 751 028 00247 0000000100
1833. 2345N 08512W 00305 5071 186 026 236 751 028 00246 0000000100


More less strong winds in this set.Still trying to close the circulation.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I doubt they find one..Looks like time is running out

[somethingfunny]

Regardless if they find a closed low or not, this is an ugly system. The NHC won't name it Barry just yet even if they do find strong enough winds.

[Aric Dunn]

they are heading.... toward the center...... away from the convection

Storm Name: INVEST (BBL)
Mission Number: 01
Flight ID: AF307
Flt Data Number: 16
#NAME?

01: 18:24:00; 24.1°N 84.8°W; PA: 997ft; D-Val: -194 ft; Wnd: ESE (115°) @ 40mph (Max: 40mph); T: 72F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 843ft
02: 18:24:30; 24.1°N 84.8°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -194 ft; Wnd: ESE (116°) @ 40mph (Max: 41mph); T: 73F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 846ft
03: 18:25:00; 24°N 84.9°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -197 ft; Wnd: ESE (119°) @ 39mph (Max: 40mph); T: 73F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 843ft
04: 18:25:30; 24°N 84.9°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -200 ft; Wnd: ESE (118°) @ 38mph (Max: 38mph); T: 73F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 843ft
05: 18:26:00; 24°N 84.9°W; PA: 997ft; D-Val: -203 ft; Wnd: ESE (117°) @ 37mph (Max: 38mph); T: 73F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 837ft
06: 18:26:30; 24°N 84.9°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -207 ft; Wnd: ESE (117°) @ 36mph (Max: 37mph); T: 73F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 833ft
07: 18:27:00; 24°N 84.9°W; PA: 997ft; D-Val: -207 ft; Wnd: SE (125°) @ 36mph (Max: 36mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 833ft
08: 18:27:30; 24°N 85°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -213 ft; Wnd: ESE (122°) @ 36mph (Max: 37mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 830ft
09: 18:28:00; 23.9°N 85°W; PA: 994ft; D-Val: -213 ft; Wnd: SE (130°) @ 33mph (Max: 35mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 820ft
10: 18:28:30; 23.9°N 85°W; PA: 1004ft; D-Val: -217 ft; Wnd: SE (135°) @ 35mph (Max: 35mph); T: 73F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 827ft
11: 18:29:00; 23.9°N 85°W; PA: 997ft; D-Val: -217 ft; Wnd: SE (135°) @ 32mph (Max: 33mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 823ft
12: 18:29:30; 23.9°N 85.1°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -217 ft; Wnd: SE (139°) @ 30mph (Max: 32mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 827ft
13: 18:30:00; 23.9°N 85.1°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -220 ft; Wnd: SE (146°) @ 29mph (Max: 30mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 823ft
14: 18:30:30; 23.9°N 85.1°W; PA: 997ft; D-Val: -217 ft; Wnd: SSE (159°) @ 28mph (Max: 29mph); T: 75F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 820ft
15: 18:31:00; 23.8°N 85.1°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -220 ft; Wnd: SSE (162°) @ 30mph (Max: 32mph); T: 75F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 823ft
16: 18:31:30; 23.8°N 85.1°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -223 ft; Wnd: SSE (166°) @ 30mph (Max: 31mph); T: 75F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 820ft
17: 18:32:00; 23.8°N 85.2°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -223 ft; Wnd: S (175°) @ 30mph (Max: 31mph); T: 75F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 817ft
18: 18:32:30; 23.8°N 85.2°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -226 ft; Wnd: S (181°) @ 32mph (Max: 32mph); T: 75F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 810ft
19: 18:33:00; 23.8°N 85.2°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -230 ft; Wnd: S (184°) @ 31mph (Max: 32mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 810ft
20: 18:33:30; 23.8°N 85.2°W; PA: 1001ft; D-Val: -233 ft; Wnd: S (186°) @ 30mph (Max: 32mph); T: 74F; D: ****; Radar Alt: 807ft

[x-y-no]

Sorry, had both recon threads open and replied to wrong thread:

Numerous obs of 25 kts at the surface around the developing low. I think we can conclude that 25-30 kts at the surface is most likely. I see a ship near 23.2N/86.15W reporting NW wind at 25 kts and 1007 mb.

If that ship report is reliable then we have a closed circulation.

So far only TD level winds, though.

[hurricanefloyd5]

im sure it's barry as of now

[Aric Dunn]

Sorry, had both recon threads open and replied to wrong thread:

Numerous obs of 25 kts at the surface around the developing low. I think we can conclude that 25-30 kts at the surface is most likely. I see a ship near 23.2N/86.15W reporting NW wind at 25 kts and 1007 mb.

If that ship report is reliable then we have a closed circulation.

So far only TD level winds, though.

except the recco report that had surface winds of 40 mph