CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

Re: Hurricane DEAN: Recon obs

#4481 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:22 pm

Can someone take over...

I've got some things to get done.
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 43
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

#4482 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:22 pm

I will start making long loops .. for everyone.. (well 9 images verses 3 on that site)
0 likes   

User avatar
Janie2006
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1329
Joined: Mon Sep 18, 2006 3:28 pm
Location: coastal Ms aka home of the hurricanes

Re: 12z GFS,NOGAPS,CMC,UKMET,GFDL Posted,EURO Shortly

#4483 Postby Janie2006 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:23 pm

The guidance models indicate good consensus until Dean reaches Grand Cayman. Beyond that, it seems that the bets may very well be off. In any case, some of the models (or at least GFDL) are indicating considerable weakness in the monster ridge. I expect the track to continue meandering around a bit.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#4484 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:24 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:Wow, I cant believe this. A 9mb drop in 3 hours, as im pretty sure the 11am said 979. This thing is bombing, im pretty sure with a pressure drop like that!


The 11 AM pressure was an estimate.
0 likes   

Praxus
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 473
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:19 pm

Re: 12z GFS,NOGAPS,CMC,UKMET,GFDL Posted,EURO Shortly

#4485 Postby Praxus » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:24 pm

I would think we all need to chill a bit until they run the models with data from today's recon.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

Re: Hurricane DEAN: Recon obs

#4486 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:25 pm

By the way... this site is much faster @ uploading pics, than imageshack right now.

http://www.freeimagehosting.net/upload.php
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6238
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Re:

#4487 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:25 pm

Brent wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image

Image

MAGNIFICENT!!!


Amazing, it has improved dramatically just from a few hours ago. A true monster in the making... water only gets warmer and deeper from here.

Can someone give me a link to the website you got this off of? I dont have the link to the RAMDIS page
0 likes   

User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5280
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

Re: 12z GFS,NOGAPS,CMC,UKMET,GFDL Posted,EURO Shortly

#4488 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:25 pm

Where can I get animated maps of the 12z models of the GFDL and HWRF? I can't find the link I used to have. Thanks in advance!
0 likes   

User avatar
Starburst
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 484
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 11:03 pm
Location: Beeville, TX
Contact:

Re: Hurricane DEAN: Recon obs

#4489 Postby Starburst » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:25 pm

I can try to. This computer keeps freezing up today :x
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: Re:

#4490 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:26 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:Can someone give me a link to the website you got this off of? I dont have the link to the RAMDIS page


http://www1.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rms ... PICAL.html
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148469
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 12z GFS,NOGAPS,CMC,UKMET,GFDL Posted,EURO Shortly

#4491 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:26 pm

Yes,lets take a break from the 12z runs and focus tonight on the 00z guidance that will have the data ingested from the gulfstream jet.
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6238
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

Re: Re:

#4492 Postby cheezyWXguy » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:26 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
cheezyWXguy wrote:Can someone give me a link to the website you got this off of? I dont have the link to the RAMDIS page


http://www1.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rms ... PICAL.html

thanks
0 likes   

mgpetre
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 149
Joined: Wed Aug 01, 2007 11:20 pm

Re:

#4493 Postby mgpetre » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:26 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:I will start making long loops .. for everyone.. (well 9 images verses 3 on that site)


Aric, Does the NHC archive it's satellite images anywhere for download? I would like to make some full lifecycle loops and have been downloading them as they are posted, but have of course missed a few.
0 likes   

User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#4494 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:27 pm

>>Where can I get animated maps of the 12z models of the GFDL and HWRF? I can't find the link I used to have. Thanks in advance!

GFDL is here. Has the "WRF" but not updated past 6z.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

Steve
0 likes   

User avatar
caribepr
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Fri Sep 05, 2003 10:43 pm
Location: Culebra, PR 18.33 65.33

#4495 Postby caribepr » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:27 pm

I know I may be over-sensitive here...but adjectives like "great" "improving" and "awesome" are a little hard for those of us in the islands to stomach at the moment, regardless of the power and intensity and perfection of a storm moving into a high mode. Can the thrill of watching this be couched in a bit more thoughtful terms? And we will do the same for CONUS when it applies (though, I can't think of any of the island posters who use these terms, for obvious, or maybe not so obvious reasons).
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanefloyd5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1659
Age: 45
Joined: Sun May 02, 2004 10:53 am
Location: Spartanburg
Contact:

Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#4496 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:28 pm

is it just me or dose anyone else here seem to think that the models shifts ever so slightly to the north alittle bit on every model run towards the end of the 5 day forecast??
0 likes   

User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4430
Age: 44
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

Re: 12z GFS,NOGAPS,CMC,UKMET,GFDL Posted,EURO Shortly

#4497 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:28 pm

cycloneye wrote:Yes,lets take a break from the 12z runs and focus tonight on the 00z guidance that will have the data ingested from the gulfstream jet.



I don't think they will change much...previous storms have proven that..
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 43
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: Re:

#4498 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:29 pm

mgpetre wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:I will start making long loops .. for everyone.. (well 9 images verses 3 on that site)


Aric, Does the NHC archive it's satellite images anywhere for download? I would like to make some full lifecycle loops and have been downloading them as they are posted, but have of course missed a few.


you can use the NASA site .. and go back quite a bit
0 likes   

User avatar
windstorm99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1578
Age: 48
Joined: Sat May 26, 2007 8:10 am
Location: Miami, Florida
Contact:

Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#4499 Postby windstorm99 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:30 pm

hurricanefloyd5 wrote:is it just me or dose anyone else here seem to think that the models shifts ever so slightly to the north alittle bit on every model run towards the end of the 5 day forecast??


Its possible....I was thinking the same thing earlier.
0 likes   

User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1442
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

Re:

#4500 Postby JtSmarts » Thu Aug 16, 2007 1:32 pm

caribepr wrote:I know I may be over-sensitive here...but adjectives like "great" "improving" and "awesome" are a little hard for those of us in the islands to stomach at the moment, regardless of the power and intensity and perfection of a storm moving into a high mode. Can the thrill of watching this be couched in a bit more thoughtful terms? And we will do the same for CONUS when it applies (though, I can't think of any of the island posters who use these terms, for obvious, or maybe not so obvious reasons).


Sometimes we weather junkies tend to get a bit too excited when a storm really blows up. All my thoughts and prayers to you and the others in the islands, stay safe!
0 likes   


Return to “2007”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 73 guests