CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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Ptarmigan
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5101 Postby Ptarmigan » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:31 pm

Whatever happens, I expect Dean will be on the news, like Rita.
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#5102 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:32 pm

Do keep in mind that the ULL was never forecast to begin moving by the models until tomorrow or Saturday. We will see what happens then and if it begins to move.
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#5103 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:33 pm

Do keep in mind that the ULL was never forecast to begin moving by the models until tomorrow or Saturday. We will see what happens then and if it begins to move.

Either way though, I believe it may have some sort of effect on Dean. Possibly trying to draw it north slightly sooner than expected?
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5104 Postby Houstonia » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:34 pm

KatDaddy wrote:Hey Houstonia I hear you. We have been very very lucky over the years. I was just discussing our plans with my wife. Basically getting ready for storm mode. In reality if Dean hits late Wednesday or early Thursday, mass evacuations would begin Monday......two days out like for Rita. Thats not very long. I need to get propane tomorrow. We have plenty of food and batteries.


Y'all in League City really do need to leave early - first all the traffic from Houston and let's face it.. you're sort of ground zero as far as flood zones...

Fortunately, Sharpstown is high and dry...
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Re: 00z Guidance with gulfstream jet data starts at 11:30 PM EDT

#5105 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:35 pm

Pearl River, i actually just responded to your statement in the other thread a couple of minutes ago. I also hope some pros or other guys with a lot more knowledge give their opinions. I noticed a couple of other posters from the north gom seem to becoming a little more alarmed also.
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Re:

#5106 Postby pojo » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:36 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Has anyone been able to point out what happened with the reports?


The problems with this aircraft were Satellite Communication problems with the flight meteorologist (ARWO). Ground stations at KNHC, KBIX and TISX could not gather any data from the aircraft. We know this because we trouble shooted all locations and all computers/modems worked correctly. It was an aircraft malfunction.... not problems with the recordings!
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Re: Updates From Barbados Re: DEAN (As Observed From My House)

#5107 Postby abajan » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:36 pm

artist wrote:glad to hear things are calm right now. Have to add that the radio station on the cbc tv site is the best!

A special feature on DEAN is due to be broadcast on the TV station at the top of the hour. Stay tuned! (There'll probably be a simulcast on the radio station.)
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Re: Re:

#5108 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:38 pm

pojo wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Has anyone been able to point out what happened with the reports?


The problems with this aircraft were Satellite Communication problems with the flight meteorologist (ARWO). Ground stations at KNHC, KBIX and TISX could not gather any data from the aircraft. We know this because we trouble shooted all locations and all computers/modems worked correctly. It was an aircraft malfunction.... not problems with the recordings!


Did the NHC get the data?
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Re: HR Dean: For any Island in the Carib that could be affected

#5109 Postby Stephanie » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:38 pm

Dean is really looking impressive and scary.

Good thoughts and wishes are going out to our friends in the islands.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Recon obs

#5110 Postby pojo » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:38 pm

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:
artist wrote:I believe this is new-

500
URNT10 KNHC 162215
97779 22144 50191 67500 70100 14019 66991 /5764
RMK AF302 WXWXA 07081622302 OB 01


it was just posted at18:18


That was a non tasked mission. It is probably the NHC sending out planes from the mainland getting ready to travel in to Dean


This is the aircraft that landed here at TISX from KBIX.. they will be the 3rd AF aircraft to go into Dean. This RECCO was only to make sure the onboard computers were working... the aircraft that was flying thru Dean was having problems... it was just precautionary and part of the ARWOs duties onboard to push out a RECCO during any over water flights.
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Re: 00z Guidance with gulfstream jet data starts at 11:30 PM EDT

#5111 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:39 pm

Thanks extreme, I misunderstood. I thought it was supposed to be following right on Erin's heels. I guess if it doesn't start moving west until sat. that would give it more of a potential impact on Dean's future track as by then he will be well into the Carib.
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Re: Updates From Barbados Re: DEAN (As Observed From My House)

#5112 Postby Fego » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:39 pm

Small earthquake in Dominica before Dean impact.

http://www.cbc.bb/content/view/12185/45/
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#5113 Postby Fego » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:39 pm

Small earthquake in Dominica before Dean impact.

http://www.cbc.bb/content/view/12185/45/
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Re: Re:

#5114 Postby pojo » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:40 pm

RL3AO wrote:
pojo wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Has anyone been able to point out what happened with the reports?


The problems with this aircraft were Satellite Communication problems with the flight meteorologist (ARWO). Ground stations at KNHC, KBIX and TISX could not gather any data from the aircraft. We know this because we trouble shooted all locations and all computers/modems worked correctly. It was an aircraft malfunction.... not problems with the recordings!


Did the NHC get the data?


No. The aircraft couldn't communicate with the ground stations... KNHC IS a ground station.
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Re: Updates From Barbados Re: DEAN (As Observed From My House)

#5115 Postby KatDaddy » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:40 pm

Hey Abajan be safe my friend. Looks like Dean will pass just N of you.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5116 Postby weatherguru18 » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:40 pm

Just got home from Home Depot and let me tell you, Houstonians are making me proud! There were 4 people ahead of us in the check out line with plywood. The hurricane is the talk of the town here in The Woodlands. Batteries are just about sold out (it was huge selection) and a truck brought in 10 palets of plywood today. People are taking this seriously!

Something crossed my mind and I want to share it with everybody...everybody on the coast that is...

The one thing you must remember when preparing for a hurricane is to not only board up your windows, but you GARAGE too! The reason why roofs fail and blow away is because wind got inside the house and usually the garage door (the weakest point of the house) failed and when the wind got in, it had no place to go but up! PLEASE...don't forget your garage door!
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Recon obs

#5117 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:41 pm

So no data with the 0z 2nite?
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Re: Hurricane DEAN:(Page 106) Discussions, Analysis and Imagery

#5118 Postby vaffie » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:42 pm

I was watching a channel on tv called Texas Cable News, and they were reporting that Dallas and Fort Worth are preparing for potential refugees, and that supplies of gasoline were being transported to the major evacuation routes like I-10 and I-45 as we speak. Large supplies of water were also en route to the coast, and the Red Cross was preparing. It sounds like Texas will be a lot better prepared if worse comes to worse.
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Re: Updates From Barbados Re: DEAN (As Observed From My House)

#5119 Postby Stephanie » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:42 pm

Becareful abajan and everyone in the islands!
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Re: 00z Guidance with gulfstream jet data starts at 11:30 PM EDT

#5120 Postby Pearl River » Thu Aug 16, 2007 8:43 pm

Thanks EWG. I was just looking at the 120hr 0z GFS and the 500mb shows the ULL near the upper Texas coast.
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