CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Dean4Storms]

All the available 06Z model runs.........

http://i.flhurricane.com/images/2007/clark4latest.png

[Toadstool]

This is sarcasm, right?

Only unless it's miraculously true...

[yzerfan]

I'm thinking as long a Dean doesn't get too big, a landfall between Brownsville and Corpus Christi wouldn't be a horrible endgame for the storm. Bret 1999 made landfall there, and it's one of those places where no one lives on the beach, and there are a hundred times more cows than people. Or maybe the ratio's more than that. Kenedy County has less than 500 people, and they all live in significantly inland ranches.

Bret was listed as a Category 3 at landfall, and caused no deaths and only $60 million in damages.

[6SpeedTA95]

I hope you guys buy some gasoline pretty quick if we get a gulf coast strike we're probably going to have a spike in gasoline prices.

[Steve]

Here are the GFS Ensembles which point landfall farther up the coast than the GFS did.

http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/pan/t ... 4L.ens.gif



Steve

[eastcoastFL]

Is there any chance this thing can shoot ne from the yucatan like wilma did?

[DESTRUCTION5]

Is there any chance this thing can shoot ne from the yucatan like wilma did?

No that would take October and a massive collapase of High pressure over FL..

[sealbach]

I sure hope this isn't Rita round #2 except where this time it hits west of Houston.

[Toadstool]

Is there any chance this thing can shoot ne from the yucatan like wilma did?

Not based on the current weather patterns.

[duris]

Please don't even think that, we could not handle another storm

No way..It would put an end to New Orleans..

I'd give New Orleans more credit. They've had 2 years (2006 a freebie), so I'm sure they have got everything under control. New/upgraded levies, brought in dirt to bring themselves above sea level, etc. They aren't total idiots willing to stay below sea level and wait for their own deaths! I'm sure they are smart enough to have used these past 2 years to get themselves "hurricane proofed."

Because, of course, there are no reasons for us to continue to live in New Orleans. We don't have family ties, property that can't be sold to enable us to live elsewhere, jobs that still exist and must be done, kids about to finish their high schools, etc. We're all just sitting here drooling stupidly with targets painted on our chests.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Threat to Texas/Louisiana has increased as the models
shift north.

[eastcoastFL]

Thank you. good to hear florida is safe. i got my gas last night anyway because if that hits the gulf gas prices will fly and there will be a shortage.

[jacindc]

I'm thinking as long a Dean doesn't get too big, a landfall between Brownsville and Corpus Christi wouldn't be a horrible endgame for the storm. Bret 1999 made landfall there, and it's one of those places where no one lives on the beach, and there are a hundred times more cows than people. Or maybe the ratio's more than that. Kenedy County has less than 500 people, and they all live in significantly inland ranches.

Bret was listed as a Category 3 at landfall, and caused no deaths and only $60 million in damages.

But don't forget the possibilities of inland flooding, especially given all the rain Texas has already had, and the possibilities starting to be hinted at in some models that Dean could stall once inland.

The worst damage from a storm aren't always the winds right at landfall.

[Fego]

A close up.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Thank you. good to hear florida is safe. i got my gas last night anyway because if that hits the gulf gas prices will fly and there will be a shortage.

yea but you got it a week to early..LOL..You will be out by the time it hits the gulf..

[tolakram]

Can we stop the non Dean chatter please.

Latest JSL image shows an eye trying to form.

[Toadstool]

Because, of course, there are no reasons for us to continue to live in New Orleans. We don't have family ties, property that can't be sold to enable us to live elsewhere, jobs that still exist and must be done, kids about to finish their high schools, etc. We're all just sitting here drooling stupidly with targets painted on our chests.

I agree... build the levees and bring the ground level above sea level and live happy lives.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Well I sure wasn't expecting to see this..



..Almost every new model run aims for Texas. Great..

[Air Force Met]

Turned on CNN this morning.Their update for Dean: Tuesday projection has him entering the YC as cat 4

Today Show had the same thing - going right into Yucatan. Not sure if that'll happen, based on latest models. Could shoot the gap instead - which would be bad news for US landfall locations, TX and LA.

Come on guys...of course they had the same thing. Any track you see on the BIG news media (other than from Accuweather) is going to be based on the NHC's track. You can get the same info from the NHC site or Storm 2K. The reason they both show it hitting the Yucatan is because the NHC has it hitting the Yucatan.

[bayoubebe]

to Otown:"Can you imagine what else would have happened to NO if Katrina made landfall slightly west of where she did and had 175 mph winds? "

I don't think that Katrina would have had to be any more stronger to have done New Orleans in. If it had taken a more westerly turn, that would have been the end of NOLA IMO.
It was strong enough. Let's all keep in mind that predicted landfalls can and probably will change alot before nearing landfall.

Anyone in the Gulf Coast needs to watch it as has been stated so many times.