Hurricane FELIX: Caribbean-Discussions

[cycloneye]

9602



The lowest pressure from recon as pass thru eye.

[Buck]

Like a rock!

[PhillyWX]

I smell a special advisory coming...

I smell an intermediate coming in twenty minutes or less!

[windstorm99]

Inhanced view of Hurricane Felix...

[PhillyWX]

right now, this looks like a T6.0/6.0, or 115KT

Given the NHC's more conservative handling of these storms, it'll be placed at 120 or 125 mph at 2 PM, IMHO.

[tropicsgal05]

Is the Northeastern part of the GOM out of the woods with Felix. The larger this storm gets im curious if it could end up to be a cat5 if any fronts or troughs can keep it from steering one way or another?

[Brent]

I smell a special advisory coming...

I smell an intermediate coming in twenty minutes or less!

LOL, well with Dean when it became a major they did this too. Issued a special advisory at 1:45 to supercede the 2.

I fully expect a Cat 4 soon.

[miamicanes177]

From Jeff Masters Blog Today:
until the storm emerges into the Gulf of Mexico after crossing the Yucatan. At that point, a trough of low pressure strong enough to bring Felix to the Texas coast may move through. It is too early to guess how strong this trough might be, and what the potential risk to Texas is.

This is a bombshell of a statement from Jeff Masters. Texas, pay CLOSE attention to what will likely be a catastrophic hurricane very soon. This is a serious situation developing right now as Felix is still undergoing rapid intensification.

[Evil Jeremy]

Officially a cat 3 now!

[Evil Jeremy]

125 MPH at 2

[PhillyWX]

right now, this looks like a T6.0/6.0, or 115KT

Given the NHC's more conservative handling of these storms, it'll be placed at 120 or 125 mph at 2 PM, IMHO.

2 PM is at 125 mph, 964 mb, 13.4, 71.2

[Brent]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
200 PM AST SUN SEP 02 2007

...FELIX STRENGTHENS INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR GRAND
CAYMAN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS
DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 13.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST OR ABOUT 490 MILES...790 KM...SOUTHEAST
OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...
AND FELIX COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.

THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.

FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
POSSIBLE MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES OVER THE NETHERLANDS
ANTILLES...THE PARAGUANA PENINSULA OF NORTHWESTERN VENEZUELA AND
THE GUAJIRA PENINSULA OF NORTHERN COLOMBIA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...13.4 N...71.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

[Buck]

964mb at 2pm.

[Buck]

We may need a special advisory between now and 5pm...

[ConvergenceZone]

on the TWC, they just said, now a cat 3 hurricane heading towards Jamaica, yikes......They have to be more careful what they say...

[Brent]

on the TWC, they just said, now a cat 3 hurricane heading towards Jamaica, yikes......They have to be more careful what they say...

Meanwhile on cable news it's apparently on an "unpredictable path"

Maybe in 4 days...

[cycloneye]

Who said that has to be fired from TWC.

[HurricaneHunter914]

HOLY CRAP! I leave for about an hour and this thing is one the verge of being a Cat-4! I hope the people in Central America are prepared right now! Wow, in just 48 hrs Felix went from a TD to now nearly a Cat-4 Hurricane!

[PhillyWX]

on the TWC, they just said, now a cat 3 hurricane heading towards Jamaica, yikes......They have to be more careful what they say...

Meanwhile on cable news it's apparently on an "unpredictable path"

Maybe in 4 days...

As long as the networks don't repeat the debacle of covering Dean's Yucatan landfall. That was the worst TV journalism I had seen in a while.

[Epsilon_Fan]

Felix the Cat4, it looks to me