CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[HURAKAN]

[KBBOCA]

Is Jamaica an hour behind us? I just heard Power 106 say that it's only 7:20pm..

Apparently they are in Eastern Time zone, but remain on Standard Time all year. No Daylight Savings time.
http://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/city.html?n=120

[jaxfladude]

what about storm surge potential for the next few days as it relates to Dean and the islands and the Yucatan....

[hicksta]

Local 13 said we were out of the clear, i nearly fell over. If they keep saying this and it takes a turn it could go south quick. Everyone needs to watch this.

[CrazyC83]

Even if my thoughts are right and it is a Cat 3 right now, remember Katrina was also a Cat 3 at landfall with the exact same pressure - and look at the catastrophic destruction that took place. It would be NO reason to let the guard down at all.

[vacanechaser]

something else to note, we have seen in the past that the pressure drops very quickly but the winds do not increase right away.. it seems to be delayed for whatever reason, so the winds have to "catch up" to the pressure drop.. i would be very suprised if they lowered the winds on the next advisory even if the hunters dont find stronger than 150mph... certainly if the pressure reamins near 920mb..



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Normandy]

The issue of this being a Cat3 right now should not surprise people....Folks its not weakening....notice the pressure is DOWN 10 mbs and not rising.....

Folks its just an ERC, and that is anything but good news....if It finishes before dawn itll have the highest THCP in the basin to bomb out.

[vacanechaser]

Even if my thoughts are right and it is a Cat 3 right now, remember Katrina was also a Cat 3 at landfall with the exact same pressure - and look at the catastrophic destruction that took place. It would be NO reason to let the guard down at all.

katrina was weakening though.. the pressure was rising and you were getting dry air into the system.. you can not compare the 2.. this is a developing storm still specially with the recent pressure drop..no way cat 3..winds will cath up


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[MusicCityMan]

Ah ok.. I didn't think of that. lol.. Getting my hurricane fix since Dean aint coming this way.. I'm listening to power 106 taking a break from music and talking about the storm..

[wxwatcher91]

523
URNT15 KNHC 190028
AF302 0704A DEAN HDOB 19 20070819
001830 1442N 07143W 6966 03141 0055 +075 +075 280031 032 041 004 00
001900 1442N 07141W 6962 03143 0047 +082 +081 263036 037 042 004 00
001930 1442N 07139W 6968 03133 0049 +079 +077 262035 036 042 006 00
002000 1442N 07137W 6966 03140 0056 +074 +074 263036 036 042 048 03
002030 1442N 07134W 6963 03137 0070 +062 +062 266035 036 042 007 00
002100 1442N 07134W 6963 03137 0073 +058 +058 266040 041 043 007 00
002130 1442N 07130W 6968 03129 0073 +058 +058 262044 044 041 026 00
002200 1442N 07128W 6969 03131 0057 +070 +070 260044 045 037 007 03
002230 1442N 07126W 6968 03130 0051 +074 +074 263042 044 038 006 00
002300 1441N 07124W 6969 03131 0062 +066 +066 272039 041 039 006 00
002330 1441N 07122W 6963 03141 0067 +063 +063 262037 037 039 008 03
002400 1441N 07119W 6968 03131 0072 +059 +059 257042 043 043 008 03
002430 1441N 07117W 6961 03140 0072 +059 +059 255043 044 042 007 00
002500 1441N 07115W 6963 03138 0070 +061 +061 253036 036 044 004 00
002530 1441N 07113W 6969 03132 0050 +076 +076 253033 036 042 004 00
002600 1441N 07111W 6964 03137 0041 +084 +064 264032 032 042 002 00
002630 1441N 07109W 6965 03137 0037 +087 +062 257038 040 042 002 00
002700 1441N 07107W 6968 03133 0040 +085 +066 255042 046 042 003 00
002730 1442N 07104W 6971 03129 0053 +075 +073 249045 046 043 004 00
002800 1442N 07102W 6966 03133 0047 +079 +069 250043 044 042 006 00
$$

[RL3AO]

Lets wait until they make a couple more passes though the center before trying to see what the wind speed is

[CrazyC83]

Local 13 said we were out of the clear, i nearly fell over. If they keep saying this and it takes a turn it could go south quick. Everyone needs to watch this.

Agreed. While New Orleans can almost go all clear, anything from about Lafayette to Belize City is possible at this point.

[Evil Jeremy]

Can you please link me to the Google Earth addon that allows you to get the HH data please?

http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/sta ... RNT15.KNHC

I get the data from this website.

I meant the graphics.

[Stormavoider]

Is this asemetry a function of sun angle?

[Sanibel]

Left veer making sure the hard side is on the same side as Jamaica. Not good.

[KBBOCA]

Here's news on curfew, evacuations and airport closing times from Storm Carib, one of the Jamaica correspondents:
---

We should start experiencing Tropical Storm Conditions
at 3a.m .

The Commisioner of Police has implemented a curfew
which started at 6pm this evening and will run until
6pm Monday.

The prime minister has issued mandatory evacuation
order .Persons along coastal areas particularly the
South Coast will be urged to evacuate to shelters this
will begin this afternoon.This could mean evacuating
thousands of people in the next few hours.

The Sangster International Airport (MKJS)will be
closed as of 8:00pm Saturday evening, August 18.

The Norman Manley International will be closed at 11pm
tonight.

[hial2]

Don't know if it means anything,but Dean has slowed down to a crawl...(according to loops observation)

[HURAKAN]

[artist]

KBBOCA - do you have the actual links to the webcams. I can't find any. Thanks

[jlauderdal]

The issue of this being a Cat3 right now should not surprise people....Folks its not weakening....notice the pressure is DOWN 10 mbs and not rising.....

Folks its just an ERC, and that is anything but good news....if It finishes before dawn itll have the highest THCP in the basin to bomb out.

hurricanes are like the stock market, they dont move in straight lines and they need to breathe sometimes before advancing