CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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#9941 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:08 pm

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storms in NC
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9942 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:08 pm

Acral wrote:
storms in NC wrote:Now how do you fix crow. I have never had to cook it and eat it before. I was very wrong. I thought it would hit the Island.

Deb


Pluck feathers, behead said crow. Roast at 400 degrees until internal temp is 165. Gag, eat and grin... we all make mistakes... :)


Thanks I think :cry: don't like crow.LOL
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9943 Postby Starburst » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:08 pm

Well I will say this if it has not stalled it is barely creeping along. JMO
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9944 Postby Sabanic » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:09 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Lets clarify the ULL issue as well - It has not stalled. Moving a bit slower, but not stalled.

If there was an indication of a possible stall, you can bet that it would be addressed in the next disco.


True, but is it slowing to a stall, and with Dean picking up forward speed, and it's slowing will that possibly change the future of Dean? Who knows. Like you said let's see if it is mentioned in the disussion.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9945 Postby Portastorm » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:09 pm

Yup, as our own expert pro met Wxman57 points out ... the slight acceleration is just another sign that the high pressure ridge holding Dean at bay (from any northward progress) is large and in charge!
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 269) Discussions, Analysis

#9946 Postby TampaFl » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:09 pm

Fasterdisaster, notice the wind of 81 & 114mph bottom right corner of graph. Also this is not from weatherunderground, this is the metar obs from the Kingston Airport (MKJP).
Last edited by TampaFl on Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#9947 Postby Steve » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:09 pm

>>Or, they could be geniunely concerned that they'd be caught with their pants down, so to speak, and have to go though an even more accelerated Rita evac. And unless you're from Houston/SE Texas, you can't understand what hell that was.

Maybe not trolling, but I was trying to be nice :)

With the "OMG" in the post? They(?) specifically said, "could someone seriously please find out if I need to start evac." What does this tell you? You're going to go to the internet and ask someone else, while freaking, to find out local information that would be all over every media source in your area if it was the case that you could only miss if you didn't enjoy the "luxury" of electricity? And there's a thread 2 up that says, "Let's stay calm."

And as far as the Rita situation, yes I can understand. I was caught up in serious traffic for about 9 or 10 hours three weeks before that. Hell, I was on Dauphin Island for Rita and got stranded there with the jetty rocks washing up on Alabama State Highway 193. So in some ways, Rita was worse for me than it was for people in Houston. I saw 9 feeder bands, and I got stranded for 24 hours. Yes, I realize what hell it was, and I also realize that although evacuation traffic bites the big one, it's better to get stuck in traffic for a while than to get hit by a strong storm. Just ask anyone to your immediate east in the Golden Triangle area and East Texas or in Cameron, Calcasieu or Vermillion Parishes in Louisiana. 100% of them would trade some hell traffic for their homes and possessions.

Steve
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9948 Postby Pebbles » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:10 pm

storms in NC wrote:Now how do you fix crow. I have never had to cook it and eat it before. I was very wrong. I thought it would hit the Island.

Deb


I like crow-ka-bobs... and since I made the same call have already prepared them! Would you like to join me in the feasting? Kaw - Kaw
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 269) Discussions, Analysis

#9949 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:12 pm

TampaFl wrote:Fasterdisaster, notice the wind of 81 & 114mph bottom right corner of graph. Also this is not from weatherunderground, this is the metar obs from the Kingston Airport (MKJP).

Also this observation was @ 0100Z (9:00pm)


Image

Oops, I apologize, I might have been a little rude, wasn't seeing the graph, just the peak wind spped.
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#9950 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:14 pm

Jamaica has declared a State of Emergency for 1 month.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 269) Discussions, Analysis

#9951 Postby Bolebuns » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:15 pm

"As for Dr. Frank, he's been trying to draw a hurricane here for over 20 years. Almost every storm out there "could come this way". Yeah, the chances aren't zero, but they're less than 1%."

Pretty ridiculous thing to say. I watched his last statement and it sounded quite prudent. Given the way I saw my fellow Texans respond to Rita's potential, I would say he is being responsible.
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#9952 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:15 pm

820
URNT15 KNHC 200214
AF304 1104A DEAN HDOB 22 20070820
020430 1650N 07755W 6967 03094 9995 +086 +066 212053 054 999 999 03
020500 1651N 07756W 6971 03088 9992 +084 +068 214051 051 039 003 03
020530 1653N 07758W 6967 03089 9993 +079 +079 210050 050 041 003 00
020600 1654N 07759W 6969 03081 9988 +079 +079 206051 051 041 003 00
020630 1655N 07800W 6969 03075 9979 +081 +081 208054 055 041 004 00
020700 1657N 07802W 6967 03074 9973 +080 +080 208056 056 042 004 00
020730 1658N 07803W 6965 03068 9957 +086 +086 208056 056 044 005 00
020800 1659N 07804W 6966 03061 9950 +088 +088 210058 059 046 005 00
020830 1701N 07806W 6965 03056 9943 +087 +086 210061 062 049 006 00
020900 1702N 07807W 6965 03049 9949 +077 +077 210065 066 052 007 00
020930 1703N 07808W 6969 03034 9959 +061 +061 211069 070 053 008 03
021000 1705N 07810W 6965 03030 9946 +064 +064 211065 069 055 039 03
021030 1706N 07811W 6965 03019 9916 +079 +079 213062 065 056 009 00
021100 1707N 07812W 6962 03013 9905 +078 +078 219068 069 057 009 03
021130 1708N 07814W 6963 02995 9895 +069 +069 220069 071 060 044 03
021200 1710N 07815W 6971 02976 9990 +066 +999 220073 076 061 046 05
021230 1711N 07816W 6972 02956 9990 +066 +999 225076 077 067 032 01
021300 1712N 07818W 6966 02945 9990 +069 +999 223079 082 999 999 05
021330 1713N 07819W 6971 02919 9990 +074 +999 225082 084 080 034 01
021400 1715N 07820W 6991 02865 9990 +073 +999 231095 102 089 040 05
$$

Back towards the eye perhaps?
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 269) Discussions, Analysis

#9953 Postby TampaFl » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:15 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:
TampaFl wrote:Fasterdisaster, notice the wind of 81 & 114mph bottom right corner of graph. Also this is not from weatherunderground, this is the metar obs from the Kingston Airport (MKJP).

Also this observation was @ 0100Z (9:00pm)


Image

Oops, I apologize, I might have been a little rude, wasn't seeing the graph, just the peak wind spped.



Thats ok, it has been a long weekend :double: . Speaking for my self being very tired. 8-)
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Re:

#9954 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:16 pm

fact789 wrote:Jamaica has declared a State of Emergency for 1 month.


Oh dear. Hope people are okay there!
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9955 Postby perk » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:17 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Lets clarify the ULL issue as well - It has not stalled. Moving a bit slower, but not stalled.

If there was an indication of a possible stall, you can bet that it would be addressed in the next disco.

A bit slower, it's moving a lot slower. Now i'm not saying it will stall, but it's moving at a snail's pace at the monent.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9956 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:19 pm

perk wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Lets clarify the ULL issue as well - It has not stalled. Moving a bit slower, but not stalled.

If there was an indication of a possible stall, you can bet that it would be addressed in the next disco.

A bit slower, it's moving a lot slower. Now i'm not saying it will stall, but it's moving at a snail's pace at the monent.


Are you looking at 2 or 3 images, or a 30 image loop?
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 269) Discussions, Analysis

#9957 Postby mettski » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:19 pm

it was a likkle rough, gotta love the jamaican attitude, peace.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 269) Discussions, Analysis

#9958 Postby philnyc » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:20 pm

Bolebuns wrote:"As for Dr. Frank, he's been trying to draw a hurricane here for over 20 years. Almost every storm out there "could come this way". Yeah, the chances aren't zero, but they're less than 1%."

Pretty ridiculous thing to say. I watched his last statement and it sounded quite prudent. Given the way I saw my fellow Texans respond to Rita's potential, I would say he is being responsible.


Wxman57 knows what he's talking about. Dr. Frank has publicly said that his church groups have successfully prayed storms away when he lived in South Florida. Go google it if you don't believe me.
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Recon obs

#9959 Postby tolakram » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:21 pm

Image

Looks like they are trying to cover the heaviest convection.

Sorry, last image, please continue HURAKAN
Last edited by tolakram on Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#9960 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Aug 19, 2007 9:21 pm

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