Recon Reports for Andrea

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 091003
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 05 KNHC
0954 3048N 08705W 05792 0207 026 024 111 395 025 06047 0000000000
0954. 3048N 08703W 05792 0241 022 024 113 399 025 06046 0000000000
0955 3049N 08700W 05791 0240 022 025 115 393 026 06045 0000000000
0955. 3049N 08657W 05792 0239 021 026 115 393 026 06044 0000000000
0956 3049N 08654W 05792 0238 021 026 117 395 026 06043 0000000000
0956. 3048N 08651W 05792 0238 017 026 121 395 027 06043 0000000000
0957 3048N 08649W 05791 0238 017 026 117 403 027 06042 0000000000
0957. 3048N 08646W 05792 0238 015 027 115 411 027 06043 0000000000
0958 3048N 08643W 05792 0238 016 027 119 419 027 06043 0000000000
0958. 3047N 08640W 05792 0237 018 025 121 415 025 06042 0000000000
0959 3047N 08637W 05791 0237 017 024 121 367 025 06042 0000000000
0959. 3047N 08634W 05793 0237 013 025 121 389 025 06043 0000000000
1000 3047N 08631W 05791 0237 010 025 121 357 025 06042 0000000000
1000. 3046N 08629W 05791 0236 008 026 121 377 027 06041 0000000000
1001 3046N 08626W 05791 0234 010 026 121 371 027 06039 0000000000
1001. 3046N 08623W 05791 0233 011 027 121 377 027 06038 0000000000
1002 3046N 08620W 05791 0235 010 027 121 357 027 06040 0000000000
1002. 3045N 08617W 05792 0237 009 028 121 363 028 06042 0000000000
1003 3045N 08614W 05791 0237 013 026 121 329 027 06042 0000000000
1003. 3045N 08611W 05791 0238 011 026 121 321 026 06043 0000000000

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 091014
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 06 KNHC
1004 3044N 08609W 05792 0239 009 026 121 315 026 06044 0000000000
1004. 3044N 08606W 05792 0239 008 027 121 317 027 06045 0000000000
1005 3044N 08603W 05791 0240 007 027 121 305 027 06045 0000000000
1005. 3044N 08600W 05792 0239 009 028 121 297 028 06045 0000000000
1006 3043N 08557W 05792 0235 009 029 121 305 029 06040 0000000000
1006. 3043N 08554W 05792 0234 010 030 121 305 030 06039 0000000000
1007 3043N 08551W 05791 0234 010 030 119 307 031 06039 0000000000
1007. 3042N 08548W 05792 0236 009 031 115 313 031 06041 0000000000
1008 3042N 08546W 05792 0236 009 031 115 309 031 06041 0000000000
1008. 3042N 08543W 05791 0235 011 031 115 305 031 06040 0000000000
1009 3042N 08540W 05791 0233 010 031 115 303 031 06038 0000000000
1009. 3041N 08537W 05792 0231 010 031 115 297 031 06037 0000000000
1010 3041N 08534W 05792 0230 011 032 119 301 033 06036 0000000000
1010. 3041N 08531W 05791 0229 014 034 115 303 034 06034 0000000000
1011 3040N 08528W 05792 0228 012 035 121 315 036 06033 0000000000
1011. 3040N 08526W 05792 0225 007 036 121 325 036 06031 0000000000
1012 3040N 08523W 05791 0225 005 036 121 335 037 06030 0000000000
1012. 3040N 08520W 05792 0225 004 038 121 349 038 06031 0000000000
1013 3039N 08517W 05792 0226 002 037 121 369 038 06031 0000000000
1013. 3039N 08514W 05792 0226 359 038 121 373 039 06031 0000000000

[JonathanBelles]

YAY the first recon thread!!! when will they reach the storm?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Its at 85 west, it started out near 89 west, about 20-25 minutes ago. The storm is at 78 west, so that would make 40-50 minutes/4am pst-7am est?

We will see.

[Thunder44]

They are flying over the FL panhandle now:

[tgenius]

I wonder how likely a special bulletin would be done if TS force winds are found? What's the adjustment on those values? 80 percent?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 091024
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 07 KNHC
1014 3039N 08511W 05792 0226 356 038 121 317 039 06031 0000000000
1014. 3038N 08508W 05791 0224 357 038 121 371 038 06029 0000000000
1015 3038N 08505W 05791 0223 358 039 123 307 039 06028 0000000000
1015. 3038N 08502W 05793 0222 360 039 125 299 040 06028 0000000000
1016 3037N 08459W 05791 0219 360 039 125 295 039 06024 0000000000
1016. 3037N 08457W 05792 0218 359 039 125 279 039 06024 0000000000
1017 3037N 08454W 05792 0217 360 039 125 291 039 06023 0000000000
1017. 3036N 08451W 05791 0215 359 039 125 333 040 06020 0000000000
1018 3036N 08448W 05791 0213 001 040 123 435 040 06018 0000000000
1018. 3036N 08445W 05792 0211 003 039 121 393 039 06016 0000000000
1019 3035N 08442W 05792 0209 001 038 121 391 038 06014 0000000000
1019. 3035N 08439W 05792 0207 359 038 125 321 039 06013 0000000000
1020 3035N 08436W 05791 0206 359 038 123 343 038 06011 0000000000
1020. 3035N 08433W 05791 0204 358 038 125 335 039 06009 0000000000
1021 3034N 08430W 05791 0203 356 037 125 301 038 06008 0000000000
1021. 3034N 08427W 05792 0202 357 037 125 319 038 06007 0000000000
1022 3034N 08424W 05793 0200 356 037 125 319 038 06007 0000000000
1022. 3033N 08421W 05791 0200 357 038 125 339 038 06005 0000000000
1023 3033N 08419W 05791 0199 358 038 125 367 038 06003 0000000000
1023. 3033N 08416W 05792 0198 359 039 125 365 039 06004 0000000000

[WmE]

They're now 7 miles north of Tallahassee.

[Thunder44]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 091034
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 08 KNHC
1024 3033N 08413W 05791 0197 358 039 127 371 039 06002 0000000000
1024. 3033N 08410W 05792 0196 358 038 131 299 038 06002 0000000000
1025 3033N 08407W 05791 0194 360 039 131 357 039 05999 0000000000
1025. 3033N 08404W 05792 0193 359 038 131 391 039 05999 0000000000
1026 3033N 08401W 05791 0193 001 037 131 381 037 05997 0000000000
1026. 3033N 08358W 05792 0191 001 036 131 363 036 05997 0000000000
1027 3033N 08355W 05792 0191 001 036 133 373 036 05996 0000000000
1027. 3033N 08353W 05793 0189 359 032 139 381 032 05995 0000000000
1028 3033N 08350W 05791 0189 359 032 139 385 032 05993 0000000000
1028. 3032N 08347W 05792 0188 358 032 139 381 033 05994 0000000000
1029 3032N 08344W 05791 0187 355 033 139 383 033 05991 0000000000
1029. 3032N 08341W 05792 0186 353 033 141 369 034 05992 0000000000
1030 3032N 08338W 05796 0182 352 033 139 393 033 05992 0000000000
1030. 3032N 08335W 05947 0181 352 034 149 403 035 06142 0000000000
1031 3032N 08332W 06196 0189 355 037 165 399 038 06399 0000000000
1031. 3032N 08330W 06421 0194 357 039 181 439 040 06634 0000000000
1032 3032N 08327W 06606 0201 001 040 193 449 040 06827 0000000000
1032. 3032N 08325W 06767 0206 004 042 199 427 043 06994 0000000000
1033 3032N 08322W 06915 0211 010 045 207 429 046 07147 0000000000
1033. 3032N 08320W 07041 0215 011 045 217 457 046 07276 0000000000

[linkerweather]

I wonder how likely a special bulletin would be done if TS force winds are found? What's the adjustment on those values? 80 percent?

There have been buoys with TS force for some time; the question remains as to the core of the storm, warm or not.

[HURAKAN]

I wonder how likely a special bulletin would be done if TS force winds are found? What's the adjustment on those values? 80 percent?

There have been buoys with TS force for some time; the question remains as to the core of the storm, warm or not.

If they find a warm core, or semi-warm core, a special statement would be made, most likely, announcing the formation of STS or TS Andrea and that at 11 AM there will be a complete advisory.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Any ways if these winds are found once in the system, we have a subtropical storm/tropical storm.

.8=50 knots
.9 45 knots

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 091043
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 09 KNHC
1034 3032N 08318W 07153 0218 011 046 225 475 047 07392 0000000000
1034. 3032N 08315W 07259 0223 009 047 233 477 048 07504 0000000000
1035 3032N 08313W 07358 0227 008 048 239 469 049 07606 0000000000
1035. 3032N 08310W 07442 0228 009 049 249 467 050 07693 0000000000
1036 3031N 08308W 07539 0229 009 050 257 471 052 07791 0000000000
1036. 3031N 08306W 07631 0234 007 053 259 471 054 07887 0000000000
1037 3031N 08303W 07711 0237 005 056 265 369 056 07971 0000000000
1037. 3031N 08301W 07818 0238 006 057 275 275 057 08080 0000000100
1038 3031N 08259W 07927 0243 006 057 283 283 058 08194 0000000100
1038. 3031N 08256W 08015 0248 004 056 291 291 057 08287 0000000100
1039 3031N 08254W 08084 0247 004 055 299 299 055 08356 0000000100
1039. 3031N 08252W 08151 0242 003 056 307 307 056 08422 0000000100
1040 3031N 08249W 08204 0242 002 055 313 313 055 08476 0000000100
1040. 3031N 08247W 08234 0244 004 053 319 385 053 08507 0000000000
1041 3031N 08245W 08233 0243 004 049 321 503 050 08506 0000000000
1041. 3031N 08242W 08229 0242 004 045 321 553 047 08501 0000000000
1042 3030N 08239W 08230 0242 002 041 321 545 042 08502 0000000000
1042. 3030N 08237W 08270 0240 002 039 323 481 040 08540 0000000000
1043 3030N 08234W 08415 0244 004 040 335 519 041 08690 0000000000
1043. 3030N 08231W 08504 0250 005 040 341 531 042 08785 0000000000

[tgenius]

Wow those winds are pretty high for not even being near the center or the low, right?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

That is high high about 8,504 meters? When it go down into .8 or .9 range then we will have data.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 091053
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 10 KNHC
1044 3030N 08229W 08533 0251 008 035 345 505 036 08815 0000000000
1044. 3030N 08226W 08538 0250 015 031 349 507 033 08818 0000000000
1045 3030N 08223W 08534 0250 021 026 351 509 027 08815 0000000000
1045. 3030N 08221W 08535 0250 016 023 351 489 024 08815 0000000000
1046 3029N 08218W 08533 0250 016 021 355 483 021 08813 0000000000
1046. 3029N 08215W 08531 0250 021 021 355 469 022 08812 0000000000
1047 3029N 08212W 08534 0248 017 021 355 453 021 08813 0000000000
1047. 3029N 08209W 08591 0243 020 021 357 451 021 08865 0000000000
1048 3029N 08207W 08700 0246 023 022 367 443 022 08978 0000000000
1048. 3029N 08204W 08770 0249 025 023 371 439 023 09050 0000000000
1049 3029N 08201W 08823 0250 026 021 375 435 022 09105 0000000000
1049. 3028N 08159W 08912 0251 022 022 381 429 022 09195 0000000000
1050 3028N 08156W 09006 0252 021 022 391 419 023 09291 0000000000
1050. 3028N 08154W 09081 0254 023 022 399 411 022 09368 0000000000
1051 3028N 08151W 09140 0256 025 021 403 411 022 09429 0000000000
1051. 3028N 08149W 09192 0257 019 019 409 411 020 09483 0000000000
1052 3028N 08147W 09247 0260 018 017 413 413 017 09541 0000000000
1052. 3028N 08144W 09285 0261 017 016 417 417 016 09580 0000000000
1053 3028N 08142W 09348 0261 018 016 423 423 016 09643 0000000000
1053. 3028N 08140W 09377 0261 018 016 425 425 016 09676 0000000000

[O Town]

Wow those winds are pretty high for not even being near the center or the low, right?

I think thats generally how it is for sub-tropical systems, and the winds will die out toward the center, unlike a true tropical cyclone.

[Thunder44]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

000
SXXX50 KNHC 091103
AF303 01AAA INVEST HDOB 11 KNHC
1054 3028N 08137W 09405 0265 022 016 425 425 017 09704 0000000000
1054. 3028N 08135W 09446 0266 026 017 429 429 017 09747 0000000000
1055 3029N 08133W 09446 0266 023 017 431 431 017 09746 0000000000
1055. 3029N 08131W 09448 0264 022 016 431 431 016 09746 0000000000
1056 3029N 08128W 09446 0262 024 015 431 431 015 09743 0000000000
1056. 3029N 08126W 09447 0261 022 015 431 431 015 09743 0000000000
1057 3029N 08123W 09447 0260 020 017 431 431 018 09741 0000000000
1057. 3029N 08121W 09446 0258 016 019 431 431 019 09739 0000000000
1058 3029N 08118W 09444 0257 011 018 431 431 019 09736 0000000000
1058. 3029N 08116W 09446 0256 015 017 429 429 018 09737 0000000000
1059 3029N 08113W 09448 0256 021 016 427 427 017 09738 0000000000
1059. 3030N 08111W 09447 0256 023 016 425 425 017 09738 0000000000
1100 3030N 08108W 09447 0256 024 018 427 427 018 09737 0000000000
1100. 3030N 08106W 09447 0256 020 018 427 427 018 09737 0000000000
1101 3030N 08103W 09448 0255 025 018 431 431 018 09737 0000000000
1101. 3030N 08100W 09446 0253 028 017 429 429 018 09734 0000000000
1102 3030N 08057W 09447 0252 027 018 431 431 020 09733 0000000000
1102. 3030N 08055W 09446 0251 034 021 427 427 022 09731 0000000000
1103 3030N 08052W 09446 0249 031 020 425 425 021 09729 0000000000
1103. 3030N 08049W 09447 0249 031 019 425 425 020 09730 0000000000