Typhoon Man-yi (04W)

[Typhoon Hunter]

I think it is pure conincidence and bad luck for the Japanese. However it's a bit weird since I remember on two occasions in 2005 earthquakes being reported in Taiwan right after very strong typhoons made landfall.

[Category 5]

I'm doubting its intensity at Okinawa too. The worst part of the storm didn't even get near 125kts there.

But intensity there is based off of satelitte so I'm not suprised by this.

[Chacor]

From WFO Guam...

Code: Select all

POST-STORM REPORT...SUPER TYPHOON MAN-YI (04W)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
245 PM CHST TUE JUL 17 2007

NOTE: SUPER TYPHOON MAN-YI DIRECTLY AFFECTED YAP STATE AS A TROPICAL
STORM AND INDIRECTLY AFFECTED THE MARIANA ISLANDS WHEN IT WAS A
TROPICAL STORM. ONLY CONDITIONS FOR YAP STATE WILL BE INCLUDED IN
THIS REPORT.

A.  HIGHEST WINDS

    YAP (9.5N 138.1E)...

    WSO YAP
    SUSTAINED WIND: 20026KT (20030 MPH) AT 10/0750Z AND 22026KT
    (22030 MPH)AT 10/1355Z
    PEAK GUST: 22043KT (22049 MPH) AT 10/1431Z
    NOTE: STRONGEST WINDS OCCURRED IN MONSOON TAIL AFTER STORM HAD
    REACHED ITS CLOSEST POINT OF APPROACH.

    ULITHI HANDAR...INOPERATIVE

    WINDS FOR SATAWAL AND WOLEAI WERE ESTIMATED TO BE 30-35KT (35-40
    MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
    WINDS FOR ULITHI...FAIS AND FARAULEP WERE ESTIMATED TO BE
    ABOUT 35-40KT (40-46 MPH) WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50KT (58 MPH).

B.  LOWEST PRESSURE

    WSO YAP
    998.1MB AT 09/1956Z

    ULITHI HANDAR...INOPERATIVE
 
C.  MAXIMUM RAINFALL

    WSO YAP
   
    PRE-STORM MONSOON

     3-HR: 1.87 INCHES ENDING AT 08/1457Z
     6-HR: 2.42 INCHES ENDING AT 08/1758Z
    12-HR: 2.78 INCHES ENDING AT 08/1758Z

    DIRECT STORM

     3-HR: 1.03 INCHES ENDING AT 10/0257Z
     6-HR: 1.54 INCHES ENDING AT 10/0556Z
    12-HR: 1.78 INCHES ENDING AT 10/1152Z
    24-HR: 1.93 INCHES ENDING AT 10/1152Z
     

    ULITHI HANDAR...INOPERATIVE
   
D.  STORM TIDES, BEACH EROSION, FLOODING AND STORM EFFECTS

    ISLAND RESIDENTS OF WOLEAI...SATAWAL...FARAULEP...FAIS
    AND ULITHI REPORTED NO SIGNIFICANT COASTAL OR INLAND
    FLOODING. NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING FOR YAP.

E.  OTHER COMMENTS.

CLOSEST POINT TO YAP WAS NE AT 150 MILES AT 09/1800Z
CLOSEST POINT TO ULITHI WAS NE AT 85 MILES AT 09/1000Z
CLOSEST POINT TO FAIS WAS NE AT 65 MILES AT 09/0800Z
CLOSEST POINT TO FARAULEP WAS S AT 5 NM AT 08/1400Z
CLOSEST POINT TO WOLEAI WAS NE AT 80 MILES AT 08/1500Z
CLOSEST POINT TO SATAWAL WAS SW AT 45 MILES AT 09/0000Z 
   
08 JULY AT 2 AM CHST (07 JULY 1400 UTC) TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED
FOR SATAWAL...WOLEAI AND FARAULEP.

08 JULY AT 8 AM CHST (07 JULY 2200 UTC) TROPICAL STORM WARNING
ISSUED FOR FARAULEP.

08 JULY AT 8 AM CHST (07 JULY 2200 UTC) TYPHOON WATCH ISSUED FOR
FAIS AND ULITHI.

08 JULY AT 130 PM CHST (08 JULY 0330 UTC) TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SATAWAL CANCELED.

09 JULY AT 2 AM CHST (08 JULY 1400 UTC) TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
WOLEAI CANCELED.

09 JULY AT 8 AM CHST (08 JULY 2200 UTC) TROPICAL STORM WARNING
ISSUED
FOR FAIS AND ULITHI.

09 JULY AT 8 AM CHST (08 JULY 2200 UTC) TYPHOON WATCH FOR FAIS AND
ULITHI CANCELED

09 JULY AT 11 AM CHST (09 JULY 0100 UTC) TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
FARAULEP CANCELED

10 JULY AT 8 AM CHST (09 JULY 2200 UTC) TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
FAIS AND ULITHI CANCELED

[P.K.]

BT is out for 0704.

AXPQ20 RJTD 240500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE BEST TRACK
NAME 0704 MAN-YI (0704)
PERIOD FROM JUL0706UTC TO JUL2306UTC
0706 5.6N 148.9E 1006HPA //KT 0712 6.0N 148.5E 1004HPA //KT
0718 6.4N 147.9E 1002HPA //KT 0800 7.2N 147.2E 1000HPA //KT
0806 7.9N 146.0E 998HPA //KT 0812 8.5N 144.8E 998HPA //KT
0818 9.1N 143.6E 998HPA //KT 0900 10.3N 142.3E 994HPA 35KT
0906 11.0N 141.2E 990HPA 40KT 0912 11.6N 139.9E 990HPA 45KT
0918 11.9N 139.2E 985HPA 50KT 1000 12.0N 138.4E 980HPA 50KT
1006 12.8N 137.3E 970HPA 55KT 1012 13.7N 136.6E 965HPA 60KT
1018 15.0N 135.2E 960HPA 65KT 1100 16.0N 134.1E 955HPA 70KT
1106 17.4N 133.0E 950HPA 75KT 1112 18.9N 131.4E 945HPA 80KT
1118 19.9N 130.0E 935HPA 90KT 1200 21.0N 129.2E 930HPA 95KT
1206 22.2N 128.6E 930HPA 95KT 1212 23.5N 128.0E 930HPA 95KT
1218 24.9N 127.5E 930HPA 95KT 1300 26.1N 127.4E 930HPA 95KT
1306 27.4N 127.7E 940HPA 85KT 1312 28.5N 127.7E 945HPA 75KT
1318 29.4N 128.2E 945HPA 75KT 1400 30.4N 129.3E 945HPA 75KT
1406 31.7N 131.2E 950HPA 70KT 1412 32.7N 132.8E 960HPA 65KT
1418 33.2N 134.8E 965HPA 60KT 1500 33.9N 137.4E 975HPA 60KT
1506 34.6N 140.6E 980HPA 50KT 1512 35.0N 143.7E 985HPA 40KT
1518 35.2N 144.9E 985HPA 40KT 1600 34.7N 145.5E 986HPA //KT
1606 35.5N 148.8E 986HPA //KT 1612 35.9N 150.5E 986HPA //KT
1618 36.4N 151.8E 986HPA //KT 1700 36.5N 153.0E 986HPA //KT
1706 36.5N 155.0E 986HPA //KT 1712 36.7N 157.2E 986HPA //KT
1718 37.0N 159.2E 986HPA //KT 1800 37.6N 161.7E 986HPA //KT
1806 38.8N 163.9E 984HPA //KT 1812 39.3N 165.8E 984HPA //KT
1818 41.4N 167.7E 984HPA //KT 1900 42.8N 168.8E 984HPA //KT
1906 43.5N 168.9E 984HPA //KT 1912 43.9N 168.9E 988HPA //KT
1918 44.3N 168.4E 992HPA //KT 2000 44.0N 167.6E 992HPA //KT
2006 44.0N 168.1E 996HPA //KT 2012 44.2N 169.0E 1000HPA //KT
2018 44.5N 170.0E 1000HPA //KT 2100 44.8N 171.7E 1004HPA //KT
2106 45.2N 173.4E 1004HPA //KT 2112 46.0N 174.4E 1004HPA //KT
2118 47.4N 175.0E 1004HPA //KT 2200 48.6N 175.3E 1004HPA //KT
2206 49.3N 175.6E 1004HPA //KT 2212 49.4N 176.0E 1004HPA //KT
2218 49.3N 177.1E 1004HPA //KT 2300 49.4N 178.7E 1004HPA //KT
2306 49.5N 179.9W 1006HPA //KT
REMARKS
TD FORMATION AT JUL0706UTC
FROM TD TO TS AT JUL0900UTC
FROM TS TO STS AT JUL0918UTC
FROM STS TO TY AT JUL1018UTC
FROM TY TO STS AT JUL1418UTC
FROM STS TO TS AT JUL1512UTC
FROM TS TO L AT JUL1600UTC
OUT OF AREA AT JUL2306UTC=