wxmann_91 wrote:Now undergoing an ERC. Not sure if it will complete by landfall, but it may.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... hr_08.html
This ends 5hrs ago. You can see the outer eyewall beginning to solidify and the moat beginning to form. With about 24hrs to landfall it's hard to say if the EWRC would complete or not. My opinion would be that given the size of the outer eye 24hrs will not be enough time for the EWRC to complete and the new eyewall to shrink down. Result... at landfall we'll see a big 60-80mi wide ragged eye with a very expansive but weaker windfield.
Not an official forecast!