TS FELIX: RECON Messages

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 311834
AF305 01FFA INVEST HDOB 19 20070831
182430 1120N 05820W 9663 00387 0105 +192 +192 261009 011 999 999 03
182500 1118N 05820W 9669 00383 0105 +200 +200 240013 014 999 999 03
182530 1117N 05819W 9664 00388 0104 +212 +212 240017 018 999 999 03
182600 1115N 05819W 9665 00388 0104 +216 +216 241018 019 999 999 03
182630 1114N 05818W 9664 00388 0102 +218 +218 244019 020 999 999 03
182700 1112N 05818W 9668 00385 0103 +214 +214 239022 022 999 999 03
182730 1111N 05818W 9664 00389 0104 +218 +216 239022 022 999 999 03
182800 1109N 05817W 9664 00389 0105 +210 +210 239023 024 999 999 03
182830 1108N 05817W 9666 00387 0105 +212 +212 241023 024 999 999 03
182900 1106N 05816W 9664 00389 0104 +214 +210 241024 025 999 999 03
182930 1105N 05816W 9665 00389 0105 +216 +208 240024 025 999 999 03
183000 1103N 05816W 9665 00389 0106 +212 +212 241026 026 999 999 03
183030 1102N 05815W 9665 00390 0107 +210 +210 240026 027 999 999 03
183100 1101N 05815W 9663 00392 0107 +212 +212 241026 026 999 999 03
183130 1059N 05814W 9666 00388 0106 +214 +214 238025 025 999 999 03
183200 1058N 05814W 9664 00391 0107 +212 +208 238024 025 999 999 03
183230 1056N 05813W 9665 00390 0107 +216 +204 235023 023 999 999 03
183300 1055N 05813W 9665 00390 0107 +212 +208 237024 024 999 999 03
183330 1053N 05812W 9664 00391 0107 +210 +210 235024 025 999 999 03
183400 1052N 05812W 9664 00392 0109 +210 +210 234024 024 999 999 03
$$

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 311844
AF305 01FFA INVEST HDOB 20 20070831
183430 1051N 05811W 9662 00393 0107 +212 +212 229027 028 999 999 03
183500 1051N 05809W 9665 00389 0105 +216 +216 230027 027 999 999 03
183530 1050N 05807W 9665 00389 0105 +216 +214 229026 026 999 999 03
183600 1050N 05806W 9665 00389 0106 +214 +212 228026 026 999 999 03
183630 1049N 05804W 9664 00391 0106 +216 +210 229027 028 999 999 03
183700 1049N 05802W 9665 00391 0108 +214 +206 229027 028 999 999 03
183730 1049N 05801W 9664 00392 0108 +212 +210 231026 026 999 999 03
183800 1048N 05759W 9665 00391 0109 +210 +210 227026 026 999 999 03
183830 1048N 05757W 9665 00390 0107 +212 +212 227028 029 999 999 03
183900 1047N 05756W 9665 00390 0107 +212 +212 222028 028 999 999 03
183930 1047N 05754W 9665 00390 0107 +214 +214 221028 028 999 999 03
184000 1046N 05753W 9665 00390 0107 +212 +212 224028 029 999 999 03
184030 1046N 05751W 9664 00391 0107 +212 +212 221027 027 999 999 03
184100 1045N 05749W 9665 00390 0107 +214 +214 216027 027 999 999 03
184130 1045N 05748W 9664 00391 0107 +210 +210 215027 027 999 999 03
184200 1045N 05746W 9665 00390 0107 +214 +212 216028 029 999 999 03
184230 1044N 05745W 9666 00389 0107 +216 +208 214028 029 999 999 03
184300 1044N 05743W 9664 00392 0108 +216 +212 213027 027 999 999 03
184330 1043N 05741W 9665 00391 0107 +218 +208 214027 027 999 999 03
184400 1043N 05740W 9668 00390 0109 +216 +214 212027 027 999 999 03
$$

Now 28 and 29 kt winds.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 311854
AF305 01FFA INVEST HDOB 21 20070831
184430 1044N 05739W 9663 00394 0108 +220 +212 208028 028 999 999 03
184500 1045N 05739W 9665 00391 0107 +220 +208 208026 027 999 999 03
184530 1045N 05741W 9665 00393 0109 +220 +210 210024 025 999 999 03
184600 1044N 05739W 9646 00409 0107 +220 +208 210028 029 999 999 03
184630 1045N 05738W 9655 00403 0110 +220 +208 208029 029 999 999 03
184700 1046N 05738W 9664 00393 0108 +220 +208 208026 028 999 999 03
184730 1046N 05740W 9673 00385 0109 +220 +208 212023 023 999 999 03
184800 1046N 05741W 9671 00386 0108 +216 +210 213022 023 999 999 03
184830 1047N 05743W 9666 00391 0109 +214 +210 209023 023 999 999 03
184900 1048N 05744W 9669 00389 0110 +212 +212 208023 024 999 999 03
184930 1049N 05745W 9669 00389 0110 +210 +210 206020 021 999 999 03
185000 1051N 05746W 9669 00394 0116 +210 +210 210022 022 999 999 03
185030 1052N 05747W 9669 00416 0141 +212 +212 212023 023 999 999 03
185100 1053N 05748W 9664 00418 0139 +210 +210 213023 024 999 999 03
185130 1054N 05749W 9668 00410 0133 +210 +210 216023 023 999 999 23
185200 1055N 05750W 9664 00393 0109 +212 +212 217024 025 999 999 03
185230 1057N 05751W 9665 00391 0108 +212 +212 216022 023 999 999 03
185300 1058N 05752W 9664 00392 0109 +210 +210 220022 023 999 999 03
185330 1100N 05753W 9664 00391 0107 +214 +208 219022 023 999 999 03
185400 1101N 05753W 9666 00389 0107 +214 +204 218021 021 999 999 03
$$

[bvigal]

last one? are they done?

[RL3AO]

Nope. We didn't get the messages. Hopefully it is temporary and not the start of communication problems.

[pojo]

only time will tell.

[cycloneye]

31/19:05:30Z
B. 11 deg 34 min N
058 deg 13 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 30 kt
E. 148 deg 027 nm
F. 216 deg 025 kt
G. 148 deg 025 nm
H. EXTRAP 1009 mb
I. 21 C/ 396 m
J. 23 C/ 392 m
K. 22 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 01345/01
O. 0.02 / 6 nm
P. AF305 01FFA INVEST OB 14
MAX FL WIND 25 KT SE QUAD 18:57:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

[Thunder44]

Vortex fix:

[hurricanefloyd5]

I cant read the V-Message so acn someone tell me it it's TD#6 yet?? This is very very interesting with this system!!!!!

[NONAME]

yes vortex message means it it a depression.

[pojo]

I cant read the V-Message so acn someone tell me it it's TD#6 yet?? This is very very interesting with this system!!!!!

winds on the Vortex were 30kts... we'll are waiting for NHC to upgrade if they deem necessary.

[CrazyC83]

URNT15 KNHC 311938
AF305 01FFA INVEST HDOB 24 20070831
191430 1154N 05833W 9670 00377 0094 +230 +222 076014 015 999 999 03
191500 1155N 05834W 9668 00379 0094 +228 +224 073013 014 999 999 03
191530 1156N 05835W 9668 00378 0093 +226 +226 072014 014 999 999 03
191600 1157N 05837W 9669 00377 0093 +230 +226 071015 015 999 999 03
191630 1158N 05838W 9669 00377 0093 +226 +226 066015 015 999 999 03
191700 1200N 05839W 9666 00379 0093 +228 +228 064017 018 999 999 03
191730 1201N 05840W 9669 00377 0093 +230 +226 062018 019 999 999 03
191800 1202N 05841W 9668 00378 0093 +228 +226 061019 020 999 999 03
191830 1203N 05842W 9666 00380 0094 +228 +224 063020 021 999 999 03
191900 1204N 05844W 9668 00379 0094 +226 +226 060017 018 999 999 03
191930 1205N 05845W 9669 00378 0094 +226 +224 066019 019 999 999 03
192000 1206N 05846W 9666 00381 0095 +228 +222 068020 020 999 999 03
192030 1208N 05847W 9668 00380 0095 +230 +216 070021 021 999 999 03
192100 1209N 05848W 9669 00379 0095 +230 +218 070022 022 999 999 03
192130 1210N 05849W 9666 00381 0095 +230 +216 070023 024 999 999 03
192200 1211N 05851W 9668 00380 0095 +230 +222 070024 024 999 999 03
192230 1212N 05852W 9669 00380 0097 +226 +226 069024 025 999 999 03
192300 1213N 05853W 9665 00383 0096 +230 +222 069027 028 999 999 03
192330 1215N 05854W 9669 00380 0096 +230 +216 069028 029 999 999 03
192400 1216N 05855W 9669 00380 0096 +232 +222 067028 029 999 999 03
$$

Some old messages coming back.

[JonathanBelles]

yes vortex message means it it a depression.

It is not conclusive, we have a closed center and 20kt winds but thats it.

[hurricanefloyd5]

dose anyone here have the Navy site??this Would be helpfull to me????

[RL3AO]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[miamicanes177]

000
URNT12 KNHC 311918 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 31/19:05:30Z
B. 11 deg 34 min N
058 deg 13 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 30 kt
E. 148 deg 027 nm
F. 216 deg 025 kt
G. 148 deg 025 nm
H. EXTRAP 1009 mb
I. 21 C/ 396 m
J. 23 C/ 392 m
K. 22 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 /1
O. 0.02 / 6 nm
P. AF305 01FFA INVEST OB 14 CCA
MAX FL WIND 36 KT NW QUAD 19:34:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

Updated strongest winds VDM

[hurricanefloyd5]

000
URNT12 KNHC 311918 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 31/19:05:30Z
B. 11 deg 34 min N
058 deg 13 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 30 kt
E. 148 deg 027 nm
F. 216 deg 025 kt
G. 148 deg 025 nm
H. EXTRAP 1009 mb
I. 21 C/ 396 m
J. 23 C/ 392 m
K. 22 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 /1
O. 0.02 / 6 nm
P. AF305 01FFA INVEST OB 14 CCA
MAX FL WIND 36 KT NW QUAD 19:34:40 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

Updated strongest winds VDM

According to this new V-Message winds at the surface has winds of 25-30kts then??? am I right about that???

[Downdraft]

NRL has it as no name now. It will be a depression at 5.

[hurricanefloyd5]

JEFF MASTERS said this "Posted by: JeffMasters, 4:07 PM EDT on August 31, 2007

The Hurricane Hunters have reported back from the tropical wave about 200 miles east of the southern Lesser Antilles Islands, 94L, and found a closed circulation with top winds of 30 mph. This qualifies 94L as a tropical depression, and NHC will likely upgrade it to Tropical Depression Six in their 5pm update. This storm has the potential to become a hurricane in the Caribbean by Sunday or Monday. Visible satellite loops show a considerable improvement in organization occurred today, with low level spiral bands wrapping around the center of circulation, and upper level outflow now visible on both the north and south sides.

Water vapor satellite loops show the presence of a large amount of dry air to the north of 94L, but the storm has generated enough thunderstorm activity to moisten the surrounding environment, which should speed development. Wind shear is a favorable 10 knots over 94L, and is expected to remain below 10 knots for the next four days over the storm's expected path through the Caribbean, according to the 18Z SHIPS model. As seen in the latest microwave satellite image from 12:49pm EDT (Figure 1), the heaviest thunderstorm activity is on the south side of the system. Trinidad and Tobago will get the heaviest rains from 94L, although the northern coast of South America plus the island of Grenada could also see some heavy rains."

[HenkL]

Recon flight still going on, nearing the center again from the SW:

URNT15 KNHC 312054
AF305 01FFA INVEST HDOB 33 20070831
204430 1033N 05900W 9664 00394 0110 +214 +214 265011 012 999 999 03
204500 1035N 05859W 9665 00393 0110 +214 +214 261011 012 999 999 03
204530 1036N 05858W 9665 00393 0110 +214 +214 255012 013 999 999 03
204600 1038N 05857W 9666 00392 0111 +212 +212 254013 013 999 999 03
204630 1039N 05857W 9663 00394 0109 +212 +212 251015 015 999 999 03
204700 1041N 05856W 9669 00388 0108 +214 +214 255016 016 999 999 03
204730 1042N 05855W 9662 00392 0105 +216 +216 253016 016 999 999 03
204800 1043N 05854W 9665 00388 0104 +214 +214 250017 018 999 999 03
204830 1045N 05853W 9665 00386 0102 +216 +216 248020 020 999 999 03
204900 1046N 05852W 9664 00387 0102 +216 +216 247021 021 999 999 03
204930 1048N 05852W 9666 00386 0103 +216 +212 249019 019 999 999 03
205000 1049N 05851W 9663 00388 0102 +216 +216 244021 021 999 999 03
205030 1051N 05850W 9665 00386 0102 +214 +210 243021 022 999 999 03
205100 1052N 05849W 9665 00388 0104 +214 +214 241020 020 999 999 03
205130 1054N 05848W 9665 00390 0106 +216 +216 238019 019 999 999 03
205200 1055N 05847W 9664 00391 0106 +216 +210 238020 021 999 999 03
205230 1057N 05846W 9666 00388 0106 +214 +202 241019 020 999 999 03
205300 1058N 05846W 9664 00390 0106 +214 +200 242019 019 999 999 03
205330 1100N 05845W 9666 00387 0105 +214 +198 239019 020 999 999 03
205400 1101N 05844W 9663 00390 0105 +212 +208 240020 020 999 999 03
$$