HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 16...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...CORRECTED TRACK PARAGRAPH...
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE FELIX ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR
THE NICARAGUA-HONDURAS BORDER...
...COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH JUST AS IT CROSSES THE
COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE
PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...
110 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS
BORDER.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A CONTINUED
WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
FELIX WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA IN A FEW
HOURS...AND WILL PROCEED INLAND OVER NICARAGUA TODAY AND HONDURAS
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW
NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. ADDITIONAL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE
HURRICANE REMAINS OVER WATER...AND FELIX COULD REACH CATEGORY FIVE
STATUS JUST PRIOR TO CROSSING THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA
THIS MORNING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 939
MB...27.73 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...82.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
Tropical Storm Felix advisories
Moderator: S2k Moderators
WTNT61 KNHC 041040
TCUAT1
HURRICANE FELIX TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
640 AM AST TUE SEP 04 2007
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT HURRICANE FELIX HAS CONTINUED TO
STRENGTHEN...AND HAS BECOME A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY
FIVE HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 160 MPH...260
KM/HR...JUST OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
TCUAT1
HURRICANE FELIX TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
640 AM AST TUE SEP 04 2007
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT HURRICANE FELIX HAS CONTINUED TO
STRENGTHEN...AND HAS BECOME A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY
FIVE HURRICANE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 160 MPH...260
KM/HR...JUST OFF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
0 likes
085
WTNT31 KNHC 041146
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE FELIX MAKES LANDFALL IN
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AT CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE
PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED ON
THE COAST NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR VERY
NEAR PUNTA GORDA NICARAGUA ABOUT 10 MILES...15 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF PUERTO CABEZAS.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A CONTINUED
WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL
BE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TODAY AND OVER
HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
EARLIER REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER IS MAKING LANDFALL.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
WTNT31 KNHC 041146
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE FELIX MAKES LANDFALL IN
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AT CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE
PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED ON
THE COAST NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR VERY
NEAR PUNTA GORDA NICARAGUA ABOUT 10 MILES...15 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF PUERTO CABEZAS.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A CONTINUED
WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL
BE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TODAY AND OVER
HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
EARLIER REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER IS MAKING LANDFALL.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139080
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Hurricane Felix advisories
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE FELIX MAKES LANDFALL IN
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AT CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE
PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED ON
THE COAST NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR VERY
NEAR PUNTA GORDA NICARAGUA ABOUT 10 MILES...15 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF PUERTO CABEZAS.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A CONTINUED
WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL
BE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TODAY AND OVER
HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
EARLIER REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER IS MAKING LANDFALL.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE FELIX MAKES LANDFALL IN
EXTREME NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA AT CATEGORY FIVE STRENGTH...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ISLA DE
PROVIDENCIA....FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO
PRINZAPOLKA....AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER... INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA BAHIA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED ON
THE COAST NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR VERY
NEAR PUNTA GORDA NICARAGUA ABOUT 10 MILES...15 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST
OF PUERTO CABEZAS.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A CONTINUED
WESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FELIX WILL
BE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA TODAY AND OVER
HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
EARLIER REPORTS FROM A UNITED STATES AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT AND RECENT SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 935 MB...27.61 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
POSSIBLE TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER IS MAKING LANDFALL.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND MUCH OF HONDURAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...83.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...935 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT
LOOMS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH
OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF
LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA
BAHIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES...65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND
OVER HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST WILL DIMINISH TODAY.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT
LOOMS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH
OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF
LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA
BAHIA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES...65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND
OVER HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST WILL DIMINISH TODAY.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...14.3 N...83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH
OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF
LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA
BAHIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 83.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 83.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 83.2W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.3N 85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.5N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N 90.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 83.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1500 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM PUERTO CABEZAS
NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM
LIMON EASTWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HONDURAS WEST OF LIMON...FOR
THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
BELIZE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ISLA DE PROVIDENCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NICARAGUA FROM SOUTH
OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO PRINZAPOLKA...AND FOR HONDURAS FROM WEST OF
LIMON TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER...INCLUDING ISLAS DE LA
BAHIA.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 83.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE 20SE 10SW 40NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 20SW 60NW.
34 KT.......100NE 60SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 210SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 83.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 83.2W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.3N 85.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.5N 88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N 90.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N 83.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
988
WTNT41 KNHC 041447
TCDAT1
HURRICANE FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
FELIX IS NOW INLAND AND WEAKENING OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA. THE ESTIMATED LANDFALL INTENSITY OF THE HURRICANE IS 140
KT. THIS IS BASED ON THE FACT THAT AIRCRAFT DATA SUPPORTED 135 KT
AT AROUND 07Z...AND AFTER THAT TIME THE EYE BECAME MORE DISTINCT
AND THE SURROUNDING CLOUD TOPS COOLED...RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN
OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS OF 0.3. CURRENT INTENSITY AND CENTRAL PRESSURE
ARE BASED ON STANDARD INLAND WEAKENING AND FILLING RATES OVER THE 3
HOURS SINCE LANDFALL. THE CYCLONE WILL BE PASSING OVER EXTREMELY
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...SO THE RATE OF
WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BE A LITTLE MORE RAPID THAN INDICATED BY
THE STANDARD INLAND DECAY MODEL.
THE MAJOR CONCERN NOW SHIFTS TO THE THREAT OF TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER
THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 25
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. PERSONS LIVING IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD
TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF FELIX SHOULD MAINTAIN A MOSTLY
WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/1500Z 14.3N 83.9W 105 KT
12HR VT 05/0000Z 14.3N 85.7W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 05/1200Z 14.5N 88.0W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 06/0000Z 15.0N 90.0W 20 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
WTNT41 KNHC 041447
TCDAT1
HURRICANE FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
FELIX IS NOW INLAND AND WEAKENING OVER EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
NICARAGUA. THE ESTIMATED LANDFALL INTENSITY OF THE HURRICANE IS 140
KT. THIS IS BASED ON THE FACT THAT AIRCRAFT DATA SUPPORTED 135 KT
AT AROUND 07Z...AND AFTER THAT TIME THE EYE BECAME MORE DISTINCT
AND THE SURROUNDING CLOUD TOPS COOLED...RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN
OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS OF 0.3. CURRENT INTENSITY AND CENTRAL PRESSURE
ARE BASED ON STANDARD INLAND WEAKENING AND FILLING RATES OVER THE 3
HOURS SINCE LANDFALL. THE CYCLONE WILL BE PASSING OVER EXTREMELY
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS...SO THE RATE OF
WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BE A LITTLE MORE RAPID THAN INDICATED BY
THE STANDARD INLAND DECAY MODEL.
THE MAJOR CONCERN NOW SHIFTS TO THE THREAT OF TORRENTIAL RAINS OVER
THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 25
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. PERSONS LIVING IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD
TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF FELIX SHOULD MAINTAIN A MOSTLY
WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/1500Z 14.3N 83.9W 105 KT
12HR VT 05/0000Z 14.3N 85.7W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 05/1200Z 14.5N 88.0W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 06/0000Z 15.0N 90.0W 20 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37099
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Hurricane Felix advisories=Makes Landfall
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX CONTINUES MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...REMAINS A
MAJOR FLOOD THREAT...
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR NICARAGUA.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ADJUSTED ITS
WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE COAST OF HONDURAS.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE TO A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FROM PLACENTIA VILLAGE TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...125 KM...WEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
OVER HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE
CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AMERICA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST WILL DIMINISH TODAY.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...14.2 N...84.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
HURRICANE FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX CONTINUES MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...REMAINS A
MAJOR FLOOD THREAT...
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR NICARAGUA.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ADJUSTED ITS
WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE COAST OF HONDURAS.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CARIBBEAN COAST OF GUATEMALA.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE TO A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FROM PLACENTIA VILLAGE TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...125 KM...WEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE
MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
OVER HONDURAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE
CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF CENTRAL AMERICA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST WILL DIMINISH TODAY.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...14.2 N...84.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 37099
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Re: Hurricane Felix advisories
HURRICANE FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HONDURAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM PLACENTIA
VILLAGE SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 85.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 40SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 85.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 84.4W
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.3N 86.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.6N 88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.0N 91.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 85.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LAND...STILL A MAJOR
FLOOD THREAT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HONDURAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM PLACENTIA
VILLAGE SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...
175 KM...WEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING OVER HONDURAS TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FELIX
MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...14.2 N...85.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
HURRICANE FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
FELIX CONTINUES ITS TREK OVER LAND AND THE CENTER IS NOW APPROACHING
THE HONDURAS BORDER. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS REMAINED QUITE WELL
ORGANIZED UP TO THIS TIME AND THERE ARE STILL SOME IMPRESSIVE
SPIRAL BANDS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE
WILL BE ENCOUNTERING SOME FORMIDABLE MOUNTAINS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...SO RAPID WEAKENING IS LIKELY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE REDUCED
TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMORROW. MY INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR
A SLIGHTLY FASTER RATE OF WEAKENING DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF
HONDURAS' HIGH MOUNTAINS. DISSIPATION IS LIKELY IN 36-48
HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
ASIDE FROM A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD WOBBLE EARLIER TODAY...THE MOTION HAS
BEEN GENERALLY WESTWARD...AROUND 270/12. DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE CALLS
FOR A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH JUST A SLIGHT
REDUCTION OF FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AND SO
DOES THE NHC TRACK FORECAST.
THE MAJOR CONCERN IS THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION ENHANCED BY THE
STEEP TOPOGRAPHY OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE RESULTING FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS AS HIGH AS 25
INCHES. THEREFORE...PERSONS LOCATED IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD
TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/2100Z 14.2N 85.0W 65 KT
12HR VT 05/0600Z 14.3N 86.7W 40 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 05/1800Z 14.6N 88.9W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 06/0600Z 15.0N 91.0W 20 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
2100 UTC TUE SEP 04 2007
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HONDURAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM PLACENTIA
VILLAGE SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 85.0W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 15SE 10SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 40SE 30SW 90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 85.0W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 84.4W
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.3N 86.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.6N 88.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.0N 91.0W...INLAND...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 85.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER LAND...STILL A MAJOR
FLOOD THREAT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HONDURAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM PLACENTIA
VILLAGE SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FELIX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES...
175 KM...WEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING OVER HONDURAS TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FELIX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FELIX
MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...14.2 N...85.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
HURRICANE FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
FELIX CONTINUES ITS TREK OVER LAND AND THE CENTER IS NOW APPROACHING
THE HONDURAS BORDER. THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS REMAINED QUITE WELL
ORGANIZED UP TO THIS TIME AND THERE ARE STILL SOME IMPRESSIVE
SPIRAL BANDS EVIDENT ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE
WILL BE ENCOUNTERING SOME FORMIDABLE MOUNTAINS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...SO RAPID WEAKENING IS LIKELY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE REDUCED
TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMORROW. MY INTENSITY FORECAST CALLS FOR
A SLIGHTLY FASTER RATE OF WEAKENING DUE TO THE PRESENCE OF
HONDURAS' HIGH MOUNTAINS. DISSIPATION IS LIKELY IN 36-48
HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
ASIDE FROM A SLIGHT SOUTHWARD WOBBLE EARLIER TODAY...THE MOTION HAS
BEEN GENERALLY WESTWARD...AROUND 270/12. DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE CALLS
FOR A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH JUST A SLIGHT
REDUCTION OF FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS...AND SO
DOES THE NHC TRACK FORECAST.
THE MAJOR CONCERN IS THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION ENHANCED BY THE
STEEP TOPOGRAPHY OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE RESULTING FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS AS HIGH AS 25
INCHES. THEREFORE...PERSONS LOCATED IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD
TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 04/2100Z 14.2N 85.0W 65 KT
12HR VT 05/0600Z 14.3N 86.7W 40 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 05/1800Z 14.6N 88.9W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 06/0600Z 15.0N 91.0W 20 KT...INLAND...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
246
WTNT31 KNHC 042350
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA
AND HONDURAS...STILL A MAJOR FLOOD THREAT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HONDURAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM PLACENTIA
VILLAGE SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELIX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST OR ABOUT
135 MILES...220 KM...WEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM EAST OF TEGUCIGALPA HONDURAS.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...21 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING OVER HONDURAS TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...
95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
AS FELIX MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES...
120 KM...FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...14.1 N...85.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT31 KNHC 042350
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FELIX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
800 PM EDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR THE BORDER OF NICARAGUA
AND HONDURAS...STILL A MAJOR FLOOD THREAT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HONDURAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE FROM PLACENTIA
VILLAGE SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/BELIZE BORDER.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELIX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST OR ABOUT
135 MILES...220 KM...WEST OF PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA. THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 125 MILES...200 KM EAST OF TEGUCIGALPA HONDURAS.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...21 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING OVER HONDURAS TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...
95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
AS FELIX MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 75 MILES...
120 KM...FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN
NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF
HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE
AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...14.1 N...85.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
008
WTNT21 KNHC 050232
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2007
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 85.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 85.7W AT 05/0300Z...INLAND
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 85.4W...INLAND
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.1N 87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.3N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 85.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT21 KNHC 050232
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FELIX FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
0300 UTC WED SEP 05 2007
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 85.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 25SE 25SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 85.7W AT 05/0300Z...INLAND
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 85.4W...INLAND
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.1N 87.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.3N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 85.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
0 likes
-
HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
902
WTNT31 KNHC 050247
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX WEAKENS MORE AS IT MOVES INTO HONDURAS...ALL COASTAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...FLOODING DANGER CONTINUES...
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELIX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST OR OVER
SOUTHEASTERN HONDURAS ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST OF
TEGUCIGALPA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL BRING THE CENTER OF
FELIX THROUGH HONDURAS ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...
85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FELIX WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A
DEPRESSION ON WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NICARAGUA
AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HONDURAS.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS
AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
GUATEMALA. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE
ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...14.1 N...85.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
___________________________________
192
WTNT41 KNHC 050248
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 04 2007
FELIX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LAND. THE CENTER HAS BECOME
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED...WITH
THE SITUATION BEING COMPLICATED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL PORTION OF THE
STORM POSSIBLY MOVING ON A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK THAN THE LOW-LEVEL
PORTION.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 265/10. FELIX SHOULD
CONTINUE A GENERAL WESTERLY MOTION UNTIL THE CENTER DISSIPATES OVER
THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA IN 24-36 HR.
THE MAJOR CONCERN IS NOW THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION ENHANCED BY THE
STEEP TOPOGRAPHY OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE RESULTING FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS AS HIGH AS 25
INCHES. THEREFORE...PERSONS LOCATED IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD
TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 05/0300Z 14.1N 85.7W 45 KT
12HR VT 05/1200Z 14.1N 87.1W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 06/0000Z 14.3N 89.0W 20 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 06/1200Z...INLAND
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTNT31 KNHC 050247
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 04 2007
...FELIX WEAKENS MORE AS IT MOVES INTO HONDURAS...ALL COASTAL
WATCHES AND WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...FLOODING DANGER CONTINUES...
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FELIX WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST OR OVER
SOUTHEASTERN HONDURAS ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST OF
TEGUCIGALPA.
FELIX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL BRING THE CENTER OF
FELIX THROUGH HONDURAS ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...
85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FELIX WILL LIKELY WEAKEN TO A
DEPRESSION ON WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 8 TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NICARAGUA
AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HONDURAS.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS
AREAS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
GUATEMALA. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE
ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...14.1 N...85.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 AM CDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
___________________________________
192
WTNT41 KNHC 050248
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
1000 PM CDT TUE SEP 04 2007
FELIX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LAND. THE CENTER HAS BECOME
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE AS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED...WITH
THE SITUATION BEING COMPLICATED BY THE UPPER-LEVEL PORTION OF THE
STORM POSSIBLY MOVING ON A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK THAN THE LOW-LEVEL
PORTION.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN 265/10. FELIX SHOULD
CONTINUE A GENERAL WESTERLY MOTION UNTIL THE CENTER DISSIPATES OVER
THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL AMERICA IN 24-36 HR.
THE MAJOR CONCERN IS NOW THE THREAT OF PRECIPITATION ENHANCED BY THE
STEEP TOPOGRAPHY OF CENTRAL AMERICA...AND THE RESULTING FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE RAINFALL TOTALS AS HIGH AS 25
INCHES. THEREFORE...PERSONS LOCATED IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD
TAKE ALL PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 05/0300Z 14.1N 85.7W 45 KT
12HR VT 05/1200Z 14.1N 87.1W 30 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 06/0000Z 14.3N 89.0W 20 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 06/1200Z...INLAND
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
0 likes
WTNT31 KNHC 050835
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
400 AM CDT WED SEP 05 2007
...FELIX WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...HEAVY RAINS STILL EXPECTED...
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELIX WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST...VERY NEAR
TEGUCIGALPA HONDURAS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 8 TO 15
INCHES OVER MUCH OF HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...14.0 N...87.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
WTNT41 KNHC 050836
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2007
SURFACE DATA FROM CENTRAL AMERICA AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT
FELIX IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND IS
DEGENERATING INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THE CENTER...IF IT
STILL EXISTS..IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. FELIX IS KEPT AS A 25
KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THIS ADVISORY AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MOVE WESTWARD AROUND 10 KNOTS UNTIL DISSIPATION WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS AT THIS TIME SUGGEST THAT THE
REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE OVER LAND AND WILL NOT MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN. HOWEVER...THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.
FELIX SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAINS PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
THIS SYSTEM.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 05/0900Z 14.0N 87.0W 25 KT
12HR VT 05/1800Z 13.8N 88.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELIX ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
400 AM CDT WED SEP 05 2007
...FELIX WEAKENING RAPIDLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...HEAVY RAINS STILL EXPECTED...
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELIX WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST...VERY NEAR
TEGUCIGALPA HONDURAS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH AND THIS MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
FELIX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN NICARAGUA AND EL SALVADOR...WITH 8 TO 15
INCHES OVER MUCH OF HONDURAS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNT OF 25 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. PERSONS IN
FLOOD-PRONE AREAS SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY.
REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...14.0 N...87.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
WTNT41 KNHC 050836
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FELIX DISCUSSION NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062007
500 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2007
SURFACE DATA FROM CENTRAL AMERICA AND SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT
FELIX IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES OVER THE MOUNTAINS...AND IS
DEGENERATING INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THE CENTER...IF IT
STILL EXISTS..IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE. FELIX IS KEPT AS A 25
KNOT TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THIS ADVISORY AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MOVE WESTWARD AROUND 10 KNOTS UNTIL DISSIPATION WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS AT THIS TIME SUGGEST THAT THE
REMNANT LOW WILL CONTINUE OVER LAND AND WILL NOT MOVE INTO THE
EASTERN PACIFIC BASIN. HOWEVER...THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.
FELIX SHOULD CONTINUE TO PRODUCE RAINS PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AMERICA.
THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
THIS SYSTEM.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 05/0900Z 14.0N 87.0W 25 KT
12HR VT 05/1800Z 13.8N 88.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 116 guests