Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions

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Coredesat

#2081 Postby Coredesat » Fri Sep 07, 2007 8:52 pm

The heading on the last model package was still DISTURBANCE INVEST, which means this is not a tropical storm, at least not right now.
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seahawkjd
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#2082 Postby seahawkjd » Fri Sep 07, 2007 8:55 pm

Are we seeing the flareup over the llc starting now? Kinda looks like it on the latest IR loops.
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Re:

#2083 Postby fasterdisaster » Fri Sep 07, 2007 8:57 pm

Coredesat wrote:The heading on the last model package was still DISTURBANCE INVEST, which means this is not a tropical storm, at least not right now.


We have seen the NHC upgrade even after a recent model run listed it as something different remember.
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#2084 Postby storms in NC » Fri Sep 07, 2007 8:57 pm

I just seen that. Who knows what this thing is going to do. I feel about like brent
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Re: Re:

#2085 Postby Cyclone1 » Fri Sep 07, 2007 8:58 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:
Coredesat wrote:The heading on the last model package was still DISTURBANCE INVEST, which means this is not a tropical storm, at least not right now.


We have seen the NHC upgrade even after a recent model run listed it as something different remember.


And Recon has yet to depart.
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#2086 Postby Scott_inVA » Fri Sep 07, 2007 8:59 pm

seahawkjd wrote:Are we seeing the flareup over the llc starting now? Kinda looks like it on the latest IR loops.


Hope so as that should sufficiently organize the mess into one LLC.

Also, fwiw...

INVEST 99L (AL992007)
Time: Sat 09-08-2007 00Z Pos: 30.1N, 71.7W
Tropical Storm - Max Sustained Winds: 40 kts (46 mph)
Est Min Central Pressure: 1011 mb (29.9 in)

I'm not convinced they don't go with a SUB tropical storm!

Scott
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions-10:30 PM TWO Shortly

#2087 Postby wxman57 » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:11 pm

Looks like NHC will wait for recon to try to find a well-defined center before upgrading. Could be an upgrade at 4am CDT. Meanwhile, you can see what the NHC was going to forecast this afternoon if the plane had found that good LLC. It's picked up by the 00Z early model guidance as the OFCI (NHC Official Interpolated) track. I plotted it with the CONU, a consensus model they like to be close to track-wise.

Image
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#2088 Postby fasterdisaster » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:14 pm

Scott_inVA wrote:
seahawkjd wrote:Are we seeing the flareup over the llc starting now? Kinda looks like it on the latest IR loops.


Hope so as that should sufficiently organize the mess into one LLC.

Also, fwiw...

INVEST 99L (AL992007)
Time: Sat 09-08-2007 00Z Pos: 30.1N, 71.7W
Tropical Storm - Max Sustained Winds: 40 kts (46 mph)
Est Min Central Pressure: 1011 mb (29.9 in)

I'm not convinced they don't go with a SUB tropical storm!

Scott


They won't, it has a warm enough core.
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#2089 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:14 pm

LATEST:

Image
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#2090 Postby Bane » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:15 pm

that latest blow up looks like it is almost directly over the llc.
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions-10:30 PM TWO Shortly

#2091 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:16 pm

NRL= GABRIELLE!!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
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#2092 Postby RL3AO » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:17 pm

Well. Interesting.
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#2093 Postby Cyclone1 » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:17 pm

There she is! You're late Gabby!
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#2094 Postby Bane » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:17 pm

that answers that.
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions-10:30 PM TWO Shortly

#2095 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:NRL= GABRIELLE!!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html



I agree, the convection is blowing up over the LLC. In which case likely strengthen it enough to close off.
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Re:

#2096 Postby storms in NC » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:17 pm

Bane wrote:that latest blow up looks like it is almost directly over the llc.

Mark was saying on his site that there is 2 lows fighting againts each other. and till one win out they will not call it. This is the first I had read of this. any one know what Mark is talking about?
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions

#2097 Postby Recurve » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:18 pm

Good catch.

I just don't refresh enough. <sigh>
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions

#2098 Postby nequad » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:18 pm

Welcome home Gabby!
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Re: Invest 99L:Off E Coast-Discussions-10:30 PM TWO Shortly

#2099 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:19 pm

cycloneye wrote:NRL= GABRIELLE!!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html


:woo:
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#2100 Postby Buck » Fri Sep 07, 2007 9:19 pm

Forza! Forza! Gabby!
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