Invest 99W (WPAC) - Gone from NRL

[Coredesat]

232
TPPN10 PGTW 112118

A. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NE OF TAIWAN

B. 11/2030Z

C. 27.1N/0

D. 129.5E/7

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T1.5/1.5/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/06HRS (11/1730Z)

G. IR/EIR LLCC

17A/PBO XPSD LLCC/ANMTN.

[Coredesat]

This is never good for a system that wants to develop:



Wouldn't be surprised to see this one gone soon.

[apocalypt-flyer]

Oooh, bad presentation. Expose-o-rama.

[HURAKAN]

Convection making a comeback over the LLC.

[RL3AO]

WTPN21 PGTW 130000
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/ TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/121621Z SEP 07//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 27.9N 128.3E TO 29.8N 123.1E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 121800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 28.2N 127.4E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 28.5N 121.8E, APPROXIMATELY
150 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NAHA, OKINAWA, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATE DEEP CONVECTION OVER A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WHICH SEPARATED FROM A SHEAR LINE TO THE NORTHEAST.
121200Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWED A SHALLOW WARM CORE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEM UP TO 700MB LEVEL. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS ALSO INDICATE
SOME BAROCLINIC CHARACTERISTICS WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECT-
ION TO THE WEST. GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS BEEN ENHANCED BY UPPER
LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLIES ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING TO
THE NORTH OF THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO
22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. DUE
TO INCREASE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND INCREASED DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 140000Z.//
NNNN

[CrazyC83]

Gone from NRL.

[Chacor]

Never stood a chance after Nari developed so fast and ate it up.

[Coredesat]

This thread is locked. The system will be closely monitored for signs of regeneration.