TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

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cycloneye
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TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:12 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Finnally that wave has the invest tag.
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#2 Postby punkyg » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:13 am

YAY! ok so when will they start running the models on 91L?
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#3 Postby Meso » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:15 am

Image

Image

It's going to be really interesting to see where the first model runs on this take it.
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#4 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:16 am

Latest:

Image
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#5 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:17 am

FWIW, the series of cold fronts and troughs expected
to dig into the GOM should protect Central America from
anything bad. We no longer will have that strong ridge.
Instead we will have a trough exerting northerly
influence.
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#6 Postby HollynLA » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:21 am

so is there any chance this could be a west tracker like Dean and Felix?
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#7 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:22 am

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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#8 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:22 am

HollynLA wrote:so is there any chance this could be a west tracker like Dean and Felix?

I doubt it, multiple cold fronts will dip well into the gulf of
mexico this week, and significantly weaken the ridge,
so I think central america is protected.
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#9 Postby HollynLA » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:23 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
HollynLA wrote:so is there any chance this could be a west tracker like Dean and Felix?

I doubt it, multiple cold fronts will dip well into the gulf of
mexico this week, and significantly weaken the ridge,
so I think central america is protected.


good for CA, bad for the US? It's gonna be a busy week!
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Re: Invest 91L E Atlantic-Discussions=First model plots shortly

#10 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:28 am

This is one everybody from Texas to Florida need to watch carefully.Could be the first hurricane to landfall in the US this season
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:28 am

Good organization and favorable condtions. I think
we have our next depression within 24-36 hours.

Wow the tropics are really exploding 2 invests it will be a very busy
week .
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#12 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:29 am

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Wow the tropics are really exploding 2 invests it will be a very busy
week .


September is getting hot!!! Maybe 3 invests with the system NE of the Lesser Antilles.
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#13 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:32 am

it's at 10N, 33W ON NRL SITE.
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#14 Postby Fego » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:32 am

477
WHXX01 KWBC 091327
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1327 UTC SUN SEP 9 2007

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL912007) 20070909 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
070909 1200 070910 0000 070910 1200 070911 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 10.0N 33.0W 10.4N 34.6W 10.7N 36.0W 11.1N 37.2W
BAMD 10.0N 33.0W 10.4N 35.1W 10.7N 37.2W 10.8N 39.1W
BAMM 10.0N 33.0W 10.4N 34.9W 10.6N 36.7W 10.9N 38.3W
LBAR 10.0N 33.0W 10.5N 35.4W 10.9N 38.3W 11.5N 41.1W
SHIP 20KTS 26KTS 33KTS 41KTS
DSHP 20KTS 26KTS 33KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
070911 1200 070912 1200 070913 1200 070914 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.7N 38.1W 13.6N 39.5W 16.3N 42.2W 19.1N 46.4W
BAMD 10.9N 40.9W 11.1N 44.0W 11.6N 46.5W 11.9N 48.5W
BAMM 11.1N 39.8W 12.1N 42.1W 13.5N 43.4W 14.7N 45.1W
LBAR 11.9N 43.9W 12.8N 49.2W 13.5N 52.9W 13.5N 55.0W
SHIP 51KTS 66KTS 72KTS 75KTS
DSHP 51KTS 66KTS 72KTS 75KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.0N LONCUR = 33.0W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 9.8N LONM12 = 30.5W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 9.6N LONM24 = 28.0W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#15 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:33 am

:uarrow: Fego,that has been posted at the 91L models thread but thats ok. :)
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#16 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:36 am

Danger is in the air!!!

Image
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#17 Postby seahawkjd » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:38 am

Is that group of clouds near the Lesser Antilles anything and if so is there a thread? Sorry to offtopic, just want to keep up with everything thats out there lol.
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#18 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:41 am

seahawkjd wrote:Is that group of clouds near the Lesser Antilles anything and if so is there a thread? Sorry to offtopic, just want to keep up with everything thats out there lol.


An area of disturbed weather that is being watched for possible development.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=97797&p=1626525#p1626525
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Re: Invest 91L East Atlantic-Discussions & Images

#19 Postby Fego » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:45 am

Cycloneye give me a call, as soon as you can.
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Re:

#20 Postby Zardoz » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:45 am

HURAKAN wrote:Danger is in the air!!!

Our first concern should be for the islands, it appears. This system may become a real threat to them.
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