Invest 92L Near Leewards- Discussions & Images

[Vortex]

and just like that 145 utc indicates thunderstorm forming on the western side of the mlc...


http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes


click on system

[Vortex]

0Z NAM 9/10 rolling in....

*Do not use for tracking/intensity
*Use as guidance to get an idea of the synoptics at play

[windstorm99]

and just like that 145 utc indicates thunderstorm forming on the western side of the mlc...


http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes


click on system

Just noticed....Whats with the tail coming up from the south.

[ConvergenceZone]

and just like that 145 utc indicates thunderstorm forming on the western side of the mlc...


http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes


click on system

Perhaps you and Tampa will be right about this in the end, and I'll be the first to give you credit if you are, but what about what Derek said about even if the convection DOES form tonight, it will be gone tomorrow afternoon just like it was today?

[Ola]

If 92L does not generate convection tonight will it still be an invest tomorrow morning?

If a tree falls in a forest where there is noone to hear it, does it make any noise?

[ConvergenceZone]

If 92L does not generate convection tonight will it still be an invest tomorrow morning?

If a tree falls in a forest where there is noone to hear it, does it make any noise?

yep, place a tape recorder where the tree will fall and leave, then come back and play it back, you'd hear the noise........

[Ola]

If 92L does not generate convection tonight will it still be an invest tomorrow morning?

If a tree falls in a forest where there is noone to hear it, does it make any noise?

yep, place a tape recorder where the tree will fall and leave, then come back and play it back, you'd hear the noise........

If the recorder was solar powered, and the tree fell during the sattelite eclipse, does it still make any noise?

[GeneratorPower]

If the recorder was solar powered, and the tree fell during the sattelite eclipse, does it still make any noise?

Yes.

[Blown Away]

Little pop on the W side of Circulation. Kudos to Vortex, you called it, it's been about 3 hours.

[Vortex]

00z hurricane model guidance


http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... early1.png

[windstorm99]

1030pm NHC outlook

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE A COUPLE
HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS REMAIN MINIMAL THIS
EVENING. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.
THIS WAVE COULD BRING SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

[Blown Away]

00z hurricane model guidance


http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... early1.png

Link did not work for me.

[windstorm99]

[Blown Away]

Maybe I've been looking at the satellite to long, but it appears 92L may be picking up it's forward speed a little.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-ir2.html

[Vortex]

your absoloutely correct...It's now under the influence of the building ridge to the north

[boca]

Why isn't 92L regenerating like he did last night. A little pop on the west side doesn't do much because it might fizzle tomorrow if it doesn't progress on the refireing tonight further along then it is right now.

[cycloneye]

Where exactly is the LLC, guys?

There is no LLC.There is a Mid Level Circulation.

[Blown Away]

Why isn't 92L regenerating like he did last night. A little pop on the west side doesn't do much because it might fizzle tomorrow if it doesn't progress on the refireing tonight further along then it is right now.

92L has been void of convection for the past few hours, but the last clip a small burst on the W side, maybe this will be the beginning.

[gatorcane]

yes lots of moisture with it and nice circulation...expect it to generate tonight with some more hype tomorrow...

I don't think it is done yet.

[HURAKAN]

Gusty out there:

SHIP S 0200 17.30 -59.30 45 202 60 18.1
SHIP S 0200 17.50 -59.60 46 229 110 15.9
SHIP S 0300 17.80 -59.40 26 242 110 17.1
SHIP S 0300 17.10 -59.60 64 213 60 18.1

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search. ... t=A&time=1