Invest 92L Near Leewards- Discussions & Images

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Blown Away
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#281 Postby Blown Away » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:23 pm

If 92L does not generate convection tonight will it still be an invest tomorrow morning?
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#282 Postby Vortex » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:24 pm

notice on ir2 the increase in moisture from 15utc to 45utc...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-ir2.html
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#283 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:27 pm

Image
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#284 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:32 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:it can generate convection tonight, but it almost certainly won't be sustained into tomorrow afternoon


Derek makes a good point. What's the point in getting excited if it develops convection tonight if it's just going to dissipate the next day?
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#285 Postby Vortex » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:33 pm

its the journey not the final destination :wink:
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#286 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:36 pm

Okay, explain this to me, I opened a new window to post a message and new window after new window kept opening up(about 1 per second) until I had 40 internet explorer windows opened. I couldn't stop it and had to end tasks on all windows, took forever(sorry to get off topic, but that was freaky!!). I thought my system was going to crash...
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#287 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:37 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Okay, explain this to me, I opened a new window to post a message and new window after new window kept opening up(about 1 per second) until I had 40 internet explorer windows opened. I couldn't stop it and had to end tasks on all windows, took forever(sorry to get off topic, but that was freaky!!). I thought my system was going to crash...


Virus....
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#288 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:38 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Okay, explain this to me, I opened a new window to post a message and new window after new window kept opening up(about 1 per second) until I had 40 internet explorer windows opened. I couldn't stop it and had to end tasks on all windows, took forever(sorry to get off topic, but that was freaky!!). I thought my system was going to crash...


You may have opened a bugged virus.
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#289 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:39 pm

windstorm99 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Okay, explain this to me, I opened a new window to post a message and new window after new window kept opening up(about 1 per second) until I had 40 internet explorer windows opened. I couldn't stop it and had to end tasks on all windows, took forever(sorry to get off topic, but that was freaky!!). I thought my system was going to crash...


Virus....


Yep! I had that happen one time... then I had the computer(the old desktop) shut down with no warning every 30 minutes. :roll:
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#290 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:40 pm

windstorm99 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Okay, explain this to me, I opened a new window to post a message and new window after new window kept opening up(about 1 per second) until I had 40 internet explorer windows opened. I couldn't stop it and had to end tasks on all windows, took forever(sorry to get off topic, but that was freaky!!). I thought my system was going to crash...


Virus....


Hmm, well the only webpages I had opened though was the storm2k web pages....
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#291 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:40 pm

Moisture will increase- Like vortex said, the dry air
influx is temporary- I expect a refiring by tomorrow and
a good chance at a tropical depression.
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#292 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:40 pm

Vortex wrote:its the journey not the final destination :wink:


You should talk to Geico!!! Good for a commercial.

Like EVERYTHING in the tropics, even applies to Félix, give time to time!

One of the first thing that came to my mind after Félix 51-hour endeavor occurred was, what about this occurring in the Bahamas w/ a system moving westward? How could Miami react? It's a scary scenario that comes up every time a disturbance near the Leeward Islands moves westward.
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#293 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:40 pm

happens to me every so often too..........all these windows open and there is nothing you can do except shut it off manually.....i hate it....happens like every other day to me
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Re:

#294 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:41 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Moisture will increase- Like vortex said, the dry air
influx is temporary- I expect a refiring by tomorrow and
a good chance at a tropical depression.



I can totally respect everyone's opinion on here, but it seems like some folks think that every single invest is going to develop, that there is no other possibility. I just don't get it...
Last edited by ConvergenceZone on Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#295 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:42 pm

no but it is an invest because it does have a chance to develop....otherwise it wouldn't be an invest
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#296 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:45 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:no but it is an invest because it does have a chance to develop....otherwise it wouldn't be an invest



I agree with you wxgirl2, but it doesn't mean that it WILL develop, just that it has a chance,
but some folks think that they they HAVE to develop just because it's an invest and that's just not the case....They will live and learn I guess...
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Re: Re:

#297 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:46 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Moisture will increase- Like vortex said, the dry air
influx is temporary- I expect a refiring by tomorrow and
a good chance at a tropical depression.



I can totally respect everyone's opinion on here, but it seems like some folks think that every single invest is going to develop, that there is no other possibility. I just don't get it...


In September nothing can be disregarded. Almost like a rule!!!
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#298 Postby Vortex » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:49 pm

115 utc moisture continues to increase..strong mid-level turning...entering a favorable environment as we speak..convection will increase next 3-4 hours..

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-ir2.html
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Re: Invest 92L East of Leewards-Discussions & Images

#299 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:52 pm

but no LLC yet....
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Re: Re:

#300 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 09, 2007 8:53 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Moisture will increase- Like vortex said, the dry air
influx is temporary- I expect a refiring by tomorrow and
a good chance at a tropical depression.



I can totally respect everyone's opinion on here, but it seems like some folks think that every single invest is going to develop, that there is no other possibility. I just don't get it...


Throughout the day, Vortex has been posting reasoning and
has provided evidence of increasing favorability of conditions, I cannot
disregard that evidence. Based on the evidence, this is entering a more
favorable environment. While we cannot say with certainty that it will
develop, there is a pretty good chance.
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