TD Humberto:Advisories=Last advisory written by HPC

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
400 PM CDT THU SEP 13 2007

...HUMBERTO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WHILE MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST OR ABOUT
10 MILES...15 KM...NORTHWEST OF ALEXANDRIA LOUISIANA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...
19 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...
55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ALEXANDRIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF
37 MPH...59 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY NEAR
THE TRACK OF HUMBERTO OVER PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND
EASTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE.

TIDES ARE CURRENTLY RUNNING ABOUT 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ON THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA. THESE TIDES SHOULD SUBSIDE
TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT IN SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...31.4 N...92.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007
500 PM EDT THU SEP 13 2007

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DOPPLER VELOCITIES FROM THE LAKE CHARLES
AND FORT POLK WSR-88D RADARS SHOW THAT HUMBERTO HAS WEAKENED TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THE CYCLONE IS
ENCOUNTERING INCREASING WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...WHICH WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO THE SYSTEM SHEARING APART DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HR.
THUS...CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES
IN ABOUT 48 HR.

THE INITIAL MOTION REMAINS 040/10. ALL GUIDANCE FORECASTS A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE EAST DURING THE NEXT 24-36 HR...AND THE FORECAST
TRACK FOLLOWS THIS SCENARIO. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT MUCH OF THE
GUIDANCE FORECASTS THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO TO TURN SOUTH AND
SOUTHWESTWARD AFTER 36 HR...POSSIBLY RE-EMERGING INTO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. WHILE THIS IS POSSIBLE...IT IS LIKELY THE REMNANTS WILL BE
TOO WEAK TO RE-GENERATE.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON HUMBERTO BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. FUTURE PUBLIC ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER IN WASHINGTON DC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 13/2100Z 31.4N 92.6W 30 KT
12HR VT 14/0600Z 32.3N 91.0W 25 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 14/1800Z 32.9N 88.6W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 15/0600Z 32.9N 86.4W 20 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

Brent or others who post the advisories.The thread will remain open as HPC will continue to issue advisories.

[Chacor]

175
WTNT34 KWNH 140250
TCPAT4


PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 8 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092007
1000 PM CDT THU SEP 13 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO PRODUCING RAINS IN SOUTHEAST...

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF MISSISSIPPI. FLOOD
WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE VERMILION
RIVER IN LOUISIANA.

AT 1000 PM CDT...03Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST...OR 15 MILES
NORTHWEST OF NATCHEZ MISSISSIPPI.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...10
KT..19 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE EAST NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AND THEN TO THE EAST ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 25 MPH..21 KT..40 KM/HR WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1007 MB...OR 29.74
INCHES.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NEAR THE STORM TRACK.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...TEXAS...

EAST BAY BAYOU 14.13 SOURCE JEFFERSON COUNTY
MESONET
WINNIE WETLANDS10.71 SOURCE JEFFERSON COUNTY MESONET
BEAUMONT CITY 6.53
GALVESTON 6.50
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 6.17
MCFADDEN 5.28
ORANGE 9N 5.19
LUMBERTON 3.32

...LOUISIANA...

LAKE ARTHUR 10SW 5.28
GRAND CHENIER 5.12
COCODRIE PUMPING PLANT 4.42
DE RIDDIER RADIO STATION KDLA 4.10
HANNA 3S 3.84
FORT POLK 3.69
JENNINGS 3.58
LAKE CHARLES PORT 3.17
NEW ORLEANS AUDUBON 2.46

...MISSISSIPPI...

HATTIESBURG 3.11
COLLINSVILLE 7SE 2.55
PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON MS 1.97 SOURCE USGS
NATCHEZ 1.88
UNION CHURCH 1.70

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...31.8 NORTH...91.5 WEST... THE
DEPRESSION WAS MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 0400 ED CDT FRI. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

PETERSEN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 14/0300Z 31.8N 91.5W
12HR VT 14/1200Z 33.9N 89.1W
24HR VT 15/0000Z 33.4N 86.1W

$$

[Chacor]

WTNT34 KWNH 140836
TCPAT4

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 9 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092007
0400 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO PRODUCING RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST...

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE VERMILION RIVER
IN LOUISIANA.

AT 0400 AM CDT...09Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST...OR 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF VICKSBURG MISSISSIPPI.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...10
KT..19 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE EAST NORTHEAST AND THEN
TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 20 MPH..17 KT..32 KM/HR WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1008 MB...OR 29.77
INCHES.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE NEAR
THE LOW TRACK.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

...TEXAS...

EAST BAY BAYOU 14.13 SOURCE JEFFERSON COUNTY
MESONET
WINNIE WETLANDS10.71 SOURCE JEFFERSON COUNTY MESONET
BEAUMONT CITY 6.53
GALVESTON 6.50
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 6.17
MCFADDEN 5.28
ORANGE 9N 5.19
LUMBERTON 3.32

...LOUISIANA...

LAKE ARTHUR 10SW 5.28
GRAND CHENIER 5.12
COCODRIE PUMPING PLANT 4.42
DE RIDDIER RADIO STATION KDLA 4.10
HANNA 3S 3.84
FORT POLK 3.69
JENNINGS 3.58
LAKE CHARLES PORT 3.17
NEW ORLEANS AUDUBON 2.46

...MISSISSIPPI...

COLLINSVILLE 7SE 2.55
PEARL RIVER AT JACKSON MS 1.97 SOURCE USGS
GREENVILLE 1.97
NATCHEZ 1.89
JACKSON 1.86
GREENWOOD 1.74
UNION CHURCH 1.70

REPEATING THE 0400 AM CDT POSITION...32.5 NORTH...91.2 WEST... THE
DEPRESSION WAS MOVING NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 20 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT FRI. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM.

PETERSEN

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 14/0900Z 31.8N 91.5W
12HR VT 14/1800Z 33.8N 87.3W
24HR VT 15/0600Z 34.0N 83.3W..DISSIPATING



$$

[Chacor]

WTNT34 KWNH 141454
TCPAT4

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 10 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092007
1000 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2007

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO WEAKENING IN THE SOUTHEAST...

FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

AT 1000 AM CDT...15Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST...OR ABOUT 50
MILES NORTHEAST OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 12
MPH...10 KT..19 KM/HR.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 15 MPH..13 KT..24 KM/HR WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1010 MB...OR 29.77
INCHES.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION HUMBERTO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE NEAR THE LOW TRACK.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 700 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

...TEXAS...

EAST BAY BAYOU 14.13
WINNIE WETLANDS10.71
BEAUMONT CITY 6.53
GALVESTON 6.50
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR 6.17
MCFADDEN 5.28
ORANGE 9N 5.19
LUMBERTON 3.32

...LOUISIANA...

LAKE ARTHUR 10SW 5.28
GRAND CHENIER 5.12
COCODRIE PUMPING PLANT 4.42
DE RIDDIER RADIO STATION KDLA 4.10
HANNA 3S 3.84
FORT POLK 3.69
JENNINGS 3.58
ALEXANDRIA3.48
LAKE CHARLES 2.91
NEW ORLEANS AUDUBON 2.46
BATON ROUGE2.12

...MISSISSIPPI...

GREENWOOD5.31
COLUMBUS2.47
JACKSON 2.12

...ALABAMA...

CALERA2.53
BIRMINGHAM1.98
AUBURN1.51
MOBILE1.11


REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...32.8 NORTH...89.3 WEST... THE
DEPRESSION WAS MOVING EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER AT 400 PM CDT FRI. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 14/1500Z 32.8N 89.3W
12HR VT 15/0000Z 33.0N 87.3W..DISSIPATING

[Stormcenter]

Okay so what happens to the spin off (click on link) of Humberto when it makes
it into the GOM?


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

[fwbbreeze]

the remaining low is diving towards the GOM. Looks to make it there by late tonight.

FWBbreeze

[cycloneye]

WTNT34 KWNH 142043
TCPAT4

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 11 FOR REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL092007
400 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2007

...REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO REACHING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST...

AT 400 PM CDT...21Z...THE POORLY DEFINED REMNANT LOW ASSOCIATED
WITH HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED IN NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA NEAR 34.0N
85.0W.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE NEAR 15 MPH...OR 13 KT..24 KM/HR WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 1012 MB...OR 29.88
INCHES.


SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 100 PM CDT
FRIDAY...

...TEXAS...

EAST BAY BAYOU.................14.13
WINNIE WETLANDS................10.71
BEAUMONT CITY...................6.53
GALVESTON.......................6.50
BEAUMONT/PORT ARTHUR............6.17
MCFADDEN........................5.28
ORANGE 9N.......................5.19
LUMBERTON.......................3.32

...LOUISIANA...

LAKE ARTHUR 10SW................5.28
GRAND CHENIER...................5.12
COCODRIE PUMPING PLANT..........4.42
DE RIDDIER RADIO STATION KDLA...4.10
HANNA 3S........................3.84
FORT POLK.......................3.69
JENNINGS........................3.58
ALEXANDRIA......................3.48
LAKE CHARLES....................2.91
NEW ORLEANS AUDUBON.............2.46
BATON ROUGE.....................2.12

...MISSISSIPPI...

GREENWOOD.......................5.31
COLUMBUS........................3.67
JACKSON.........................2.14

...ALABAMA...

CALERA..........................2.70
BIRMINGHAM......................2.88
AUBURN..........................1.51
MOBILE..........................1.13
MUSCLE SHOALS...................1.27
GADSEN..........................1.62

THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH QUICKLY
NORTHEASTWARD AND PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AS THE PRECIPITATION
CROSSES THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND NORTHERN GEORGIA....AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...34.0 NORTH...85.0 WEST...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORY ON THE REMNANTS OF HUMBERTO ISSUED
BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER. PLEASE REFER TO
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
ON THIS SYSTEM.

HEDGE

FORECAST POSITION

INITIAL 14/2100Z 34.0N 85.0W..DISSIPATING


Final advisory by HPC.

[Coredesat]

I suppose that'll be all, then.