TD ex-WIPHA (WPAC) - LANDFALL

#61 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 2:05 pm

IMPRESSIVE WIPHA:

#62 Postby **CrazyC83** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 2:29 pm

Super Typhoon Wipha soon?

WindRunner · #63 Postby **WindRunner** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 2:52 pm

It'll be close, but certainly possible. If it hits an intensity plateau at any point in the next 12 hours, then I'd doubt it. But if it can keep ramping up between now and then, 130kts is certainly possible.

And as of 0400 JST, Ishigakijima was reporting 48kts/968.7hPa. Still falling off quickly, and wouldn't be surprised if they were nearing typhoon strength winds in the next report.

#64 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:06 pm

IMPRESSIVE-ER:

#65 Postby **RL3AO** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:11 pm

13WWIPHA.130kts-926mb-239N-1245E

Might have an STY at the next advisory (2100 UTC).

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #66 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:17 pm

Could this be China's Katrina or is the building built better then ours?

#67 Postby **RL3AO** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:20 pm

Shanghai has about 12 times as many people as NOLA, but it isn't below sea level either. But typhoon hunter said that it was very flat and prone to flooding.

#68 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:27 pm

Saomai reportedly killed over 2,000 in the area of forecast landfall last year Matt and that was about the same intensity as it is at the moment. The forecast intensity at landfall for this is slightly lower but this area had lots of problems with landslides that time.

#69 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:31 pm

Wind speed is up to 28m/s in Ishigakijima with a mean sea level pressure of 957.8hPa.

5 27.0 4.5 NE 28 0.0 89 957.8

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/amedas_h/today-94081.html?groupCode=65&areaCode=000

#70 Postby **wlfpack81** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:35 pm

This will definitely be interesting for the Shanghai area if the current forecast track were to actually verify. Looks like at least the eastern side of the city would get hurricane force winds based on the forecast wind radii from JTWC as Wipha passes about 30-40 miles east of the area. I hope they're prepared. Will definitely be a test of just how well a mega metro area (as far as population being in the upper millions) fairs from major tropical cyclone impact.

#71 Postby **RL3AO** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:38 pm

I'm defiantly not an East China geography genius, but it looks like Shanghai is in a small inlet. If the storm comes from the south, it would push the surge into that inlet.

#72 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:40 pm

30m/s at Maezato (Ishigaki Airport).

http://www.jma.go.jp/en/amedas_h/today-94082.html?groupCode=65&areaCode=000

#73 Postby **RL3AO** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 3:48 pm

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT

SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 13W (WIPHA) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN,

dwsqos2 · #74 Postby **dwsqos2** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 4:06 pm

2100Z Ishigakijima Observations...

METAR ROIG 172100Z 09064G87KT 0500 +SHRA SCT005 BKN010 BKN013 27/26 Q0953

#75 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 4:38 pm

Ishigakijima pressure is listed a 951.4hPa on the JMA page now with 34m/s winds. Winds at Maezato (Ishigaki Airport) are also up to 33m/s.

#76 Postby **Dave C** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 4:48 pm

Looking at latest radar the island with the airport ob is getting the northern eyewall with the eye about to pass over the island to their west. It's been incredible watching this thing move and intensify today. Hopefully people on those islands have moved into strong shelters!

#77 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 4:53 pm

WTPQ21 RJTD 172100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0712 WIPHA (0712)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 172100UTC 24.2N 124.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
50KT 90NM
30KT 240NM NORTHEAST 180NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 182100UTC 27.8N 120.5E 90NM 70%
MOVE NNW 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 191800UTC 31.4N 119.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE NNW 11KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 201800UTC 37.7N 124.1E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

Coredesat · #78 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 5:07 pm

Very, very powerful and well-organized storm here (images are a little old):

dwsqos2 · #79 Postby **dwsqos2** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 5:09 pm

2200Z Ishigakijima Observations...

METAR ROIG 172200Z 12056G81KT 0500 +SHRA SCT004 BKN010 BKN013 28/27 Q0958

2200Z Shitaabaru (Hateruma Airport) Observations...

Winds: W @ 39 m/s

2200Z Iriomotejima Observations...

Winds: NNE @ 24 m/s
Pressure: 953.8 hPa

#80 Postby **P.K.** » Mon Sep 17, 2007 5:26 pm

Map of those winds.

TD ex-WIPHA (WPAC) - LANDFALL

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

Re: Typhoon WIPHA (0712) E of Taiwan (WPAC)

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