Tropical Depression TEN Threat Area: North Gulf Coast

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#81 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Sep 20, 2007 2:35 pm

Light Rain
80°F
(27°C)
Humidity: 76 %
Wind Speed: SE 17 MPH
Barometer: 29.74" (1006.9 mb)
Dewpoint: 72°F (22°C)
Heat Index: 84°F (29°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
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Re: INVEST 93L (GOM): Threat Area: North Gulf Coast

#82 Postby Sanibel » Thu Sep 20, 2007 3:07 pm

Winds picked up here steady over 20KTS at beach from SSE. Very warm wind. Sounds like explosive energy headed for center. Patches of blue seen in sky. Storm bands with squalls visible.
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Re:

#83 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 20, 2007 3:09 pm

fact789 wrote:Light Rain
80°F
(27°C)
Humidity: 76 %
Wind Speed: SE 17 MPH
Barometer: 29.74" (1006.9 mb)
Dewpoint: 72°F (22°C)
Heat Index: 84°F (29°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.


93L is now down to 1006 mb winds at 25 kts., Fact789. We're at 29.77 and falling
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#84 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Sep 20, 2007 3:21 pm

Light Rain
79°F
(26°C)
Humidity: 79 %
Wind Speed: S 15 MPH
Barometer: 29.72" (1006.3 mb)
Dewpoint: 72°F (22°C)
Heat Index: 82°F (28°C)
Visibility: 5.00 mi.
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#85 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Sep 20, 2007 4:07 pm

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
447 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-856-202145-
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD OUT TO 20 NM-CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DESOTO-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT TO 20 NM-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-
HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 20 NM-
447 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

.NOW...
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER LOWER TAMPA BAY AND SAINT PETE ACROSS
TO PARRISH AND WAUCHULA. OTHER STRONG STORMS WERE ALONG THE HERNANDO
COAST TO 20 MILES OFF TARPON SPRINGS, AND OVER NORTHERN LEVY COUNTY.
ELSEWHERE, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CLOUDY SKIES WERE OVER MOST OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 30 MPH. BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH WILL OCCUR. DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

$$

Light Rain
78°F
(26°C)
Humidity: 85 %
Wind Speed: SE 20 G 26 MPH
Barometer: 29.73" (1006.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 73°F (23°C)
Heat Index: 80°F (27°C)
Visibility: 1.75 mi.

Getting dark with a band ready to come through
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Re: INVEST 93L (GOM): Threat Area: North Gulf Coast

#86 Postby frederic79 » Thu Sep 20, 2007 4:24 pm

Sunny here.
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Re: INVEST 93L (GOM): Threat Area: North Gulf Coast

#87 Postby aOl » Thu Sep 20, 2007 4:41 pm

Here in Mobile, over the last 12 hours the dewpoints have climbed 15 degrees, and here in the last 4 hours wind have picked up gusting to 25mph with clear skies that now has scattered clouds. Pressure falling at about .33 millibars an hour.
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#88 Postby tampawx » Thu Sep 20, 2007 4:50 pm

WUUS52 KTBW 202146
SVRTBW
FLC057-101-202215-
/O.NEW.KTBW.SV.W.0130.070920T2146Z-070920T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
546 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
WESTERN PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 615 PM EDT

* AT 546 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING 60 MPH WINDS...
5 MILES SOUTH OF LUTZ...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
ODESSA BY 555 PM EDT.
MOON LAKE ESTATES BY 605 PM EDT.
HUDSON BY 610 PM EDT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE WILL CAUSE SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE...
MAINLY TO TREES AND POWER LINES. POORLY ANCHORED ROOFS...MOBILE
HOMES...AND SHEDS ARE ALSO AT RISK.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 58 MPH OR
HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER...AND ANY WIND DAMAGE TO
YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323.

&&

LAT...LON 2842 8245 2805 8236 2800 8257 2837 8272
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 161DEG 37KT 2813 8251

$$

55
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Re: INVEST 93L (GOM): Threat Area: North Gulf Coast

#89 Postby yzerfan » Thu Sep 20, 2007 4:54 pm

Just north of Destin here- overcast, 82F with a dew point of 71F. Pressure is 1009 millibars.
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#90 Postby tampawx » Thu Sep 20, 2007 5:03 pm

WUUS52 KTBW 202158
SVRTBW
FLC105-202230-
/O.NEW.KTBW.SV.W.0131.070920T2158Z-070920T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
558 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN POLK COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT

* AT 558 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING 60 MPH WINDS...
OVER WESTERN POLK COUNTY...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS JUST WEST OF...
GIBSONIA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...
TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY...AN INTERIOR ROOM IN THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF YOUR HOUSE OR BUSINESS.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 58 MPH OR
HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER...AND ANY WIND DAMAGE TO
YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323.

&&

LAT...LON 2830 8201 2810 8188 2802 8203 2812 8207
2813 8206 2816 8206 2817 8209 2819 8210
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 152DEG 21KT 2814 8202

$$

57
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#91 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Sep 20, 2007 5:07 pm

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC083-107-202300-
/O.NEW.KJAX.SV.W.0244.070920T2203Z-070920T2300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
603 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN MARION COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA
WESTERN PUTNAM COUNTY IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA

* UNTIL 700 PM EDT

* AT 601 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ORANGE SPRINGS...OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF SALT
SPRINGS...AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ORANGE SPRINGS...HOLLISTER...INTERLACHEN AND FLORAHOME.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 2973 8201 2976 8173 2937 8166 2937 8195
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 172DEG 14KT 2943 8181

$$

SHASHY
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Re: INVEST 93L (GOM): Threat Area: North Gulf Coast

#92 Postby RL3AO » Thu Sep 20, 2007 5:24 pm

Image

Code: Select all

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1987
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL...FAR SERN GA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
   
   VALID 202048Z - 202315Z
   
   A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH AN ISOLATED BRIEF/WEAK TORNADO
   POSSIBLE.
   
   MARGINAL INSTABILITY HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS NRN FL/SRN GA WHERE SOME
   HEATING HAS TAKEN PLACE. SLIGHTLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR EXISTS
   ALONG DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY FROM SRN GA INTO FAR NRN FL
   WHERE SURFACE WINDS BACK FROM ELY TO NELY. CURRENT VWPS AND FORECAST
   SOUNDINGS INDICATING 0-1 KM SRH ON THE ORDER OF 100-200 M2/S2.
   
   LARGE SCALE CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD SURFACE LOW AS WELL AS
   SEA BREEZE WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS STORMS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
   HOURS. A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY HAVE AN INCREASED THREAT OF
   ROTATION AND PERHAPS A WEAK TORNADO AS THEY MOVE NWD INTO A STRONGER
   LOW LEVEL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. OVERALL THREAT SHOULD DECREASE CLOSER
   TO SUNSET WHEN AIR MASS STABILIZES.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 09/20/2007
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
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Re: INVEST 93L: Threat Area: Florida Peninsula-North Gulf Coast

#93 Postby Cookiely » Thu Sep 20, 2007 5:28 pm

We got hammered in Northwest Hillsborough. Reported wind 58mph.
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Re: INVEST 93L: Threat Area: Florida Peninnsula-North Gulf Coast

#94 Postby dizzyfish » Thu Sep 20, 2007 5:30 pm

Watching for the funnel clouds. Had a good rain around 4 or so. Nice down pour with wind and lightning about 5:50. Sounds like we have another one on the way. I like this rain!

Currently calm with light rain.
1/2" rain so far.
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#95 Postby Dean4Storms » Thu Sep 20, 2007 5:36 pm

My weather station here 1 mile from the Beach just east of Destin in Miramar Bch.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =KFLMIRAM6


Skies Cloudy
Winds gusting to 26mph
Barometer 29.85" Steady
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#96 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Sep 20, 2007 6:10 pm

Light Rain
77°F
(25°C)
Humidity: 85 %
Wind Speed: SE 14 MPH
Barometer: 29.73" (1006.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 72°F (22°C)
Heat Index: 78°F (26°C)
Visibility: 9.00 mi.

I just went outside and for the first time in a while I see that numerous people are just sitting out on the porch or doing work in this delightable weather. Its actually cooler outside than inside with the AC on, which I just turned off.
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#97 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Sep 20, 2007 6:18 pm

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC119-202345-
/O.NEW.KTBW.SV.W.0132.070920T2315Z-070920T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
715 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 745 PM EDT

* AT 715 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING 60 MPH WINDS...
OVER CENTRAL SUMTER COUNTY...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTY.
RURAL NORTHWESTERN SUMTER COUNTY.

AT 715 PM EDT...A SPOTTER ALSO REPORTED 60 MPH WIND GUST NEAR
WEBSTER.

MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND
DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED. STAY INSIDE AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THE STORM HAS PASSED.

WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR MORE WILL CAUSE SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE...
MAINLY TO TREES AND POWER LINES. POORLY ANCHORED ROOFS...MOBILE
HOMES...AND SHEDS ARE ALSO AT RISK.

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES OR FUNNEL CLOUDS...WINDS OF 58 MPH OR
HIGHER...HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER...AND ANY WIND DAMAGE TO
YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN BY CALLING 813-645-2323.

&&

LAT...LON 2892 8223 2896 8225 2895 8197 2886 8199
2886 8216
TIME...MOT...LOC 2315Z 147DEG 19KT 2883 8215

$$

22
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#98 Postby RL3AO » Thu Sep 20, 2007 8:32 pm

TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
922 PM EDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL LAKE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... THIS INCLUDES
THE CITIES OF...OKAHUMPKA...AND AREAS WEST OF LAKE HARRIS

* UNTIL 945 PM EDT

* AT 918 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 2 MILES SOUTH
OF OKAHUMPKA...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 35 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OKAHUMPKA NOW.
AERAS WEST OF LAKE HARRIS THROUGH 945 PM EDT...
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#99 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:06 pm

Tornado moving into the villages
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Re: INVEST 93L: Threat Area: Florida Peninnsula-North Gulf Coast

#100 Postby rockyman » Thu Sep 20, 2007 9:13 pm

Today's severe weather outlook:
...NORTHEAST GULF COAST/FLORIDA...
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT SOUTHERLY 850 MB FLOW WILL
STRENGTHEN IN EXCESS OF 30 KTS OVERNIGHT...NEAR FLORIDA PENINSULA
GULF COASTAL AREAS INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...IN ASSOCIATION WITH
A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN AT LEAST A RISK FOR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH
CONVECTION SPREADING ACROSS AND WEST OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION.
AND...BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY/LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY BECOME SUPPORT
OF A BRIEF/ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

Tomorrow's severe weather outlook:
...CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST...
NON-TROPICAL UPR LOW WEST OF THE FL PENINSULA MAY ACQUIRE
SUB-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND DRIFT WWD JUST OFF THE CNTRL/ERN
GULF COAST ON FRIDAY. RATHER STRONG BELT OF SLY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW/SHEAR WILL EXIST ALONG THE ERN QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. COUPLED
WITH LOW LCL/S AND THREAT FOR CONVECTIVE BANDS MOVING
ONSHORE...THREAT FOR ISOLD TORNADOES WILL EXIST.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
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