Ex Tropical Depression KAREN: Discussions & Images

[Sanibel]

You can see on satellite that the shear has taken a big loop right down on top of Karen from that upper trough. I'm surprised Karen is as strong as it is considering.

[canegrl04]

Dr. Lyons mentioned this morning that Karen's remnents could redevelope in the future.Sometime this week

[Gustywind]

Karen is holding slightly better than Ingrid. The track of the surface feature is WELL south and west of where they predicted.

Yeah Sanibel will it have implications for us in the Leewards Islands, but convection is on the increase since this morning.
At this rate it could be a strong wave churning near us in less than 48h given that shear will relax a bit....
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
http://www.meteo.gp/donnees/satellite/TAG/Tagant.jpg

[El Nino]

Just one question.Maybe it was allready asked but ... If it regenerates, will it keep her name or change it into TD x and TT y ?

[HurricaneRobert]

I think it will be Karen. They had the same question about Ivan and decided to keep its name.

[OURAGAN]

Something is trying to wrap near 16N/58W.

[OURAGAN]

Ex Karen is trying to wrap near 16N/58W and pressure are falling at buoys 41100 and 41101.
Is someone notice that?

[CrazyC83]

I think it will be Karen. They had the same question about Ivan and decided to keep its name.

Yes, if it redevelops, it will instantly be renamed Karen, not TD15/Noel.

[JonathanBelles]

I think it will be Karen. They had the same question about Ivan and decided to keep its name.

Yes, if it redevelops, it will instantly be renamed Karen, not TD15/Noel.

Didnt it lose its LLC?

[RL3AO]

I think it will be Karen. They had the same question about Ivan and decided to keep its name.

Yes, if it redevelops, it will instantly be renamed Karen, not TD15/Noel.

Didnt it lose its LLC?

That is only if it crosses basins. It would be named Karen.

[JonathanBelles]

Then how did TD 10 become TD 12? ie Katrina.

[RL3AO]

Then how did TD 10 become TD 12? ie Katrina.

The NHC decided the remnants of TD10 merged with another wave.

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.gp/donnees/satellite/TAG/Tagant.jpg

[Derek Ortt]

TD 12 was not TD 109... it was the wave behind TD 10

[punkyg]

Hows the wind shear over ex karen.

[JonathanBelles]

CIMSS is your friend:

[cycloneye]

TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT SUN SEP 30 2007

DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THE REMNANTS OF
KAREN...EXTEND FROM THE LEEWARD ISLANDS EASTWARD FOR SEVERAL
HUNDRED MILES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR
REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT THEY COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE
FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER KNABB

[bwhorton2007]

even though karen is officially dead there looks to be a little rotation ne of the islands
to me.

[Vortex]

18z GFS at H+114 has ex-karen approaching the SE bahamas...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_114l.gif

[bwhorton2007]

so thats probably what im seeing now vortex even though it is an official nothing.it is more exciting than what's trying
to happen east of the bahamas at this point.