Total Solar Eclipse: Post images/Videos of surroundings,traffic,eclipse

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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#101 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 12, 2017 8:25 am

@crownweather
Seeing how nuts crowds/traffic will be in path of totality on the 21st, I am perfectly okay w/ 2/3rds of the sun being eclipsed where I live


 https://twitter.com/crownweather/status/896356688323895296


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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#102 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 12, 2017 8:43 am

Image

Inside of 10 days to the MEGA EVENT now, so time to chime in a bit.... LOTS STILL WILL CHANGE FOR SURE!!

Well, I will continue on with the early, long range GFS forecast 228 hours out. This run leads right up to 18Z on 8/21, which is the hour leading right up to the time of totality in South Carolina where I will be.

GFS is showing the potential of shortwave energy diving through the Mississippi Valley region, which may spread clouds and cause rain and storms for eclipse viewers along the path of totality in Nebraska and Missouri, extreme Southern Illinois, and Kentucky. This could possibly impact Tennessee as well.

For now,based on just this run, the areas in the totality path in the Deep South are not looking bad, if you take this with any grain of salt I should say. Now, there are going to be many changes in the next few days to this. But, for now, South Carolina area is not looking shabby for this run. BUT, I am certain more changes are coming. I will also mention that I have noticed that the GFS is persistent in the last few runs of keeping a trough-like feature off the East Coast in the days leading into the eclipse. This model run is hinting at a drier, stable air mass with High Pressure set up across much of the Eastern U.S. I would be very happy with this set up if it comes anywhere close to this. But, still just a bit too early for any clarity for sure!

Of course, I will give a brief mention to this monster tropical cyclone the GFS wants to bring in the picture east of the Bahamas during Eclipse Day. A phantom storm? Hmmm.. Only 9 days out... More later...
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#103 Postby Kennethb » Sat Aug 12, 2017 9:49 am

will be heading from Baton Rouge to Atlanta where my sister lives. On Monday we will head out early for Simpsonville which is a few miles southeast of Greenville. If the GFS is trending as outlined in the above post correctly and that is a crapshoot, there would be a tropical cyclone off the SE coast which might draw in some dryer air.

Any thoughts on with the reduction of solar radiation that cumulus clouds might start to wane during the afternoon, perhaps increasing chances of less cloud cover and even less chance of afternoon showers?
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#104 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 12, 2017 11:10 am

:uarrow: Well, provided prior to the eclipse that if convective tops have not already organized in a region, the cooling effects of the moon's shadow on the sun often does have an impact to help dissipate clouds or reduce build-ups from occurring. It.is common for surface temperatures to drop on average of about 10 degrees during the peak time of a total eclipse.

Check out the blog from Fred Espenak, nicknamed "Mr. Eclipse". Espenak is a world renowed astrophysicist, who now is retired. He has witnessed over 20 total eclipses throughout the world. He has an amazing blog on the internet with everything you need to know about eclipses!
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#105 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sat Aug 12, 2017 11:56 am

The nothingsville of Cerulean, KY is nearest to the Greatest Eclipse point. Population (2010) of around 300 people, almost certainly more cows and goats than that. Two lane country roads and most open fields with little or no development.

Could be a royal cluster around there.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#106 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Aug 12, 2017 1:48 pm

Starting to look more and more likely that I'm going to make my plan B my plan A: head to GA. I just hope the worst weather is fair weather cumulus clouds.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#107 Postby galaxy401 » Sat Aug 12, 2017 6:43 pm

Think I'm going to stay here in Chicago to see the eclipse. Will be at least 80% covered so it's close enough. :lol:

I just hope it's not cloudy...
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#108 Postby Cyclenall » Sun Aug 13, 2017 11:48 pm

northjaxpro wrote:Check out the blog from Fred Espenak, nicknamed "Mr. Eclipse". Espenak is a world renowed astrophysicist, who now is retired. He has witnessed over 20 total eclipses throughout the world. He has an amazing blog on the internet with everything you need to know about eclipses!

F. Espenak site: Mr.Eclipse.com

This site is one to look at for cloud forecasts directly for the solar eclipse: skippysky.com.au

Its going to be amazing tracking and following the fallout and traffic for the 21st. I think something crazy is going to happen at one location at least.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#109 Postby JaxGator » Mon Aug 14, 2017 8:48 am

Can't wait for next week's Solar Eclipse and all the good stuff that comes with it. Here in Jacksonville will see about 90% or so of the Eclipse, so it will almost feel like seeing it where the path of totality will be.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#110 Postby capepoint » Mon Aug 14, 2017 9:00 am

Although I live in eastern NC, and will have 93% here, I think I made the right plans. Going to Columbia SC and spending Sunday night, that way I can go east or west on the interstate if I need to chase clear skies. If its clear in Columbia, I am toying with watching from the zoo, or maybe heading a little east to get out of population areas. Either way, will be getting up early on the 21st.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#111 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 14, 2017 9:35 am

We will be driving Southwest (well, final plans depend on the weather) starting around 3am. I'm not worried about getting there, I'm worried about getting home. I'm having fun looking at all the alternate routes and staying away from the main arteries. Both the eclipse and the drive home will be one to remember. :lol:
Last edited by tolakram on Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: SW, not SE!
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#112 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Aug 14, 2017 9:59 am

tolakram wrote:We will be driving Southeast



Thought you were going SW towards Hop'town.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#113 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:01 am

I meant SW. Maybe you should drive, seems like I don't have a good sense of direction. :D
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#114 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:20 am

tolakram wrote: Maybe you should drive,



I ain't drivin' no where. I'll wait for it to come to me and hang out in the back yard with a catcher's mitt hoping for some of the bits of well-done green cheese.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#115 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:24 am

@UWCIMSS
The Great American #Eclipse is 1 week from today! We'll be tracking the shadow via #GOES16. Imagery & info at https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/education/eclipse-2017/


 https://twitter.com/UWCIMSS/status/897102445733490693


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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#116 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Aug 14, 2017 10:36 am

Looking so very forward viewing the Great American Eclipse a week from now. The most awesome spectacle imaginable is upon us!

Watching the weather very closely in the South Carolina area where I will be situated. Making contingency plans if clouds or weather becomes an issue.

Next Monday is going to be a memorable day for sure.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#117 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Aug 14, 2017 2:35 pm

Today, a week almost to the hour before the event, it was 100% overcast. Daylight, but you can't even tell where the Sun should be.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#118 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Aug 14, 2017 3:18 pm

Just looked over the newly released AFDs from NWS Columbia, SC and Charleston ,SC WFOs

Both are stating that the upper ridge that will establish itself across the state by the middle of this week, will weaken as we head into Sunday as a front moves into the area into Sunday into Eclipse Day. As of right now, the indications are for clouds to increase and a chance of showers and thunderstorms on Sunday and Eclipse Day.

Now, we will see if this will change, but that is the thinking right now. So, now is the time to make contingency plans for those like yours truly who will be in South Carolina next Monday. It is a pretty good possibility that any contingency plans you implement may need to be used. Watch the weather extremely close this week.
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#119 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Mon Aug 14, 2017 4:23 pm

Anything for MO and TN?
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Re: Total Solar Eclipse (August 21 1:15 PM EDT) (Totality from Oregon to South Carolina)

#120 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Aug 14, 2017 4:56 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:Anything for MO and TN?


Right now, NWS is mentioning slight chance of thunderstorms for SE Nebraska area and scattered thunderstorms across much of Missouri on Eclpse Day. However, the NWS office in Nashville, TN for the current time is calling for sunny skies there on Eclipse Day as the thinking by their mets is that the EURO will be right in building an upper level ridge across the region. GFS is showing a front and unsettled weather.

There are going to be changes, just as you would expect a week out. But, always plan for contingencies for the weather for everyone along the path of totality and stay on top of the latest forecasts.
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