ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
cpdaman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3131
Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:44 am
Location: SPB county (gulf stream)

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10121 Postby cpdaman » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:01 pm

i mean are you kidding me! you gotta look at this loop, i might just save it

the close up WV

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-wv.html

batten down the hatches on the NW side of the lake , i would not be surprised to see gusts well above hurricane force Just IMO

yes derek looks likes a surprise surge for sure coming, i mean this thing looks to be intensifying per WV and drifting perfect scenario for surge on N side , no?
0 likes   

User avatar
Jinkers
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 471
Joined: Wed May 23, 2007 10:34 pm
Location: Pembroke Pines, Florida
Contact:

Re: Thanks pro mets

#10122 Postby Jinkers » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:02 pm

Yup, I big thanks from me too, I got alot of info from here during Fay.
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3933
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10123 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:03 pm

looks like we will feel the outer core of Fay here in port st. lucie
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#10124 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:03 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#10125 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:03 pm

when I look at this loop, its almost like the Lake sucks her in or something...she moves NNE then suddenly jumps ENE.

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10126 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:04 pm

cpdaman wrote:RLAO3 what are you thoughts on the steering later today, trough axis lifting east, does the periphery of the ridge become N-S oriented or sw/ne and does the ridge influence bulge west soon or east? does she make it to water, also less influence from the ULL and high interation in the s. plains . lol lots of question but you are a knowledgable kind of guy.,


My thoughts are is that this is a crazy system happening during the middle of a large pattern change and I have no idea what its going to do. I'm really worried about this eyewall surviving to the Atlantic.


PS: We have waterfall on Lake Okeechobbee. :lol:
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34090
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Re:

#10127 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:04 pm

MiamiensisWx wrote:
MiamiensisWx wrote:Station near Moore Haven is reporting sustained wind of 78 mph:

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLMOORE5

78 mph is NOT a typo.

Latest NHC advisory has increased winds to 65 mph (55 kt) based on reliable observations from other stations and instruments in the area.

Bump for others... check the link and you'll see the reading of 78 mph, though it is a personal wx station.


Looking at it, it is coming from an electric company. Has to be quite reliable IMO.
0 likes   

User avatar
TreasureIslandFLGal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1581
Age: 57
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 6:16 pm
Location: Clearwater, Florida ~3 miles from the coast now. We finally moved safely off the barrier island!

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10128 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:06 pm

ENE?! If this thing loops around south enough to clip Miami and then go back out over the southern GOM... then it could have Tampa in its bullseye again! -then she can avoid the Bay Area again...thus proving our force field!
0 likes   

User avatar
eastcoastFL
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3933
Age: 43
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2007 12:29 pm
Location: Palm City, FL

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10129 Postby eastcoastFL » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:09 pm

looks like we will feel the outer core of Fay here in port st. lucie
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20035
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10130 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:10 pm

Okeechobee

here we go

Image

Pressure continuing to drop and winds increasing now that the station is in a band.

Image
Last edited by tolakram on Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re:

#10131 Postby jinftl » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:10 pm

Looks like she has connected a hose to the gulf stream and is boosting herself with that energy

HURAKAN wrote:Image
0 likes   

TCmet
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 106
Age: 44
Joined: Sat Jul 14, 2007 4:00 pm
Location: New York, NY
Contact:

Re:

#10132 Postby TCmet » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:11 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:the population that lives along the north shore of the Lake is right where the lake comes to a head

its where the tidal surge will be highest (and it could be somewhat significant as it is a shallow lake)


especially with the center of fay hugging the western shore of the lake. that's the worst scenario for lake surge.
0 likes   

User avatar
TreasureIslandFLGal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1581
Age: 57
Joined: Sun Aug 15, 2004 6:16 pm
Location: Clearwater, Florida ~3 miles from the coast now. We finally moved safely off the barrier island!

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10133 Postby TreasureIslandFLGal » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:11 pm

sorry all, I'm a bit punchy after no sleep for a few nights. This Fay is quite an interesting storm!
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23015
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10134 Postby wxman57 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:12 pm

I show a 3-hr movement of 25nm over the past 3 hours. Just over 8 kts. Direction is 030 degrees past 3 hours.

1 hr movement 9nm toward 027 degrees.
0 likes   

Clipper96

Re: Re:

#10135 Postby Clipper96 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:12 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
MiamiensisWx wrote:
MiamiensisWx wrote:Station near Moore Haven is reporting sustained wind of 78 mph:

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLMOORE5

78 mph is NOT a typo.

Latest NHC advisory has increased winds to 65 mph (55 kt) based on reliable observations from other stations and instruments in the area.

Bump for others... check the link and you'll see the reading of 78 mph, though it is a personal wx station.
Looking at it, it is coming from an electric company. Has to be quite reliable IMO.
They're on the SW shore of the Lake, right under the right-flank eyewall. If you zoom out the Google map at the site, there are a lot of 75+mph reports.
0 likes   

User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5597
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#10136 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:13 pm

Very Windy on the west side of the waters of the
canals of Tampa Bay, periods
of sustained 40 mph winds with gusts to 50 mph to my untrained
eye. Twigs blowing everywhere. Tropical Storm Conditions occuring
along the open waters!!
0 likes   

User avatar
micktooth
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 391
Joined: Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:47 pm
Location: PreK:New Orleans,PostK:Colorado

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10137 Postby micktooth » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:13 pm

Do you all have any reasonable ideas on why this Storm seems to be intensifying over land?
0 likes   

cpdaman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3131
Joined: Sat Jun 10, 2006 11:44 am
Location: SPB county (gulf stream)

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10138 Postby cpdaman » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:13 pm

NE/NNE palm bay , melbourne heads up should this speed and motion continue
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23015
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: Re:

#10139 Postby wxman57 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:14 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
MiamiensisWx wrote:
MiamiensisWx wrote:Station near Moore Haven is reporting sustained wind of 78 mph:

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLMOORE5

78 mph is NOT a typo.

Latest NHC advisory has increased winds to 65 mph (55 kt) based on reliable observations from other stations and instruments in the area.

Bump for others... check the link and you'll see the reading of 78 mph, though it is a personal wx station.


Looking at it, it is coming from an electric company. Has to be quite reliable IMO.


That was a wind gust of 78mph.
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#10140 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 19, 2008 1:14 pm

Wind Speed: 60.0mph / 96.5km/h /
Wind Gust: 74.0mph / 119.1km/h /
Wind: SSE
Pressure: 29.32in / 992.8hPa

Thats from a NOAA station/buoy in the lake.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=ML005
0 likes   


Return to “2008”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests