ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[CronkPSU]

Cool!

You know it could just be a wobble but on that last frame or two there is defiantly a turn to the north.

like another poster said Fay is scared to death of the water...will probably stick here toes in at the Cape and then head straight NW into Alabama

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Any thunderstorms or rain forecasted to move in squalls
towards Tampa Bay? Pretty dry here. The eye can stay away
though.

[paintplaye]

Cool!

You know it could just be a wobble but on that last frame or two there is defiantly a turn to the north.

like another poster said Fay is scared to death of the water...will probably stick here toes in at the Cape and then head straight NW into Alabama

I don't think it is going into Alabama if it does not hit water. I think it will go farther west than that being so far south.

[tolakram]

Convection is starting to break down on the radar, looks like Fay peaked just a bit before the lake.

[CronkPSU]

like another poster said Fay is scared to death of the water...will probably stick here toes in at the Cape and then head straight NW into Alabama

I don't think it is going into Alabama if it does not hit water. I think it will go farther west than that being so far south.[/quote][/quote]

yeah but I don't think it wants to swim in the GOM either

[ColdFusion]

Dare we even say a NNW wobble?

[curtadams]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2008081912&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

Just like the Madagascar Cyclone that made landfall like 6 times or so.

Fay obviously loves Florida, because she's going to visit every place in the state if that verifies!

While having a borderline hurricane wandering around isn't a good thing, it's probably better than the current severe drought, so all things considered, that wouldn't be so bad. The stalls happen over water so probably no extreme flooding.

[Dean4Storms]

She has turned more northerly, not true N but not NNE either.

[AnthraX151]

there was no westward movement in that radar

[paintplaye]

like another poster said Fay is scared to death of the water...will probably stick here toes in at the Cape and then head straight NW into Alabama

I don't think it is going into Alabama if it does not hit water. I think it will go farther west than that being so far south.

[/quote]

yeah but I don't think it wants to swim in the GOM either [/quote]


Haha true true true. I have to agree. This thing likes land more than water. Instead of a tropical system it needs a new name to represent it growing on land

Also no no NNW wobble I don't even think it is fully moving North either.

[SouthFLTropics]

Based on an image from Google Earth with the radar overlay it appears that the City of Okeechobee is getting hammered in the NE quadrant just in the "eyewall" right now.

SFT

[cpdaman]

i think the next hour may tell wether fay is wobbling N or shifted N or will resume (at least short-term) NNE/NE

[SouthFLTropics]

Look at the visible sat loop from the NHC site. It appears that you can see the high pressure pushing down on Fay from the top. During the loop at one point it looks like she gets a flattop. I would not be suprised to see her move back towards the gulf before making it to the East Coast.

SFT

[AdamFirst]

I see a NNE motion again on the radar.

Convection seems to be building on the south side. That's heading this way on the radar.

[cpdaman]

delete

[Sanibel]

Now explain one more time to me how tropical storms don't have eyes... (joking)

[RL3AO]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 843
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA PENINSULA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 340
PM UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF VERO BEACH
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 841...WW 842...

DISCUSSION...A FAVORABLE COLLOCATION OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND
MODEST INSTABILITY WILL PERSIST THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT IN
RIGHT-FORWARD QUADRANT OF TROPICAL STORM FAY. AS SUCH...THE THREAT
FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE WITHIN
PRIMARY SPIRAL BAND WHICH IS BEING MAINTAINED FROM N OF THE CENTER
SSEWD THROUGH THE ERN SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 16035.


...MEAD/HART

[SouthFLTropics]

fort drum to big bend to panhandle anyone

That's a new one...Panhandle via Fort Drum. I wonder if she plans on using the Turnpike. I hope she has her Sunpass paid up...Oh I forgot, they lifted the tolls just for her...LOL

[tolakram]

Okeechobee City stations

[cpdaman]

fort drum to big bend to panhandle anyone

That's a new one...Panhandle via Fort Drum. I wonder if she plans on using the Turnpike. I hope she has her Sunpass paid up...Oh I forgot, they lifted the tolls just for her...LOL

good stuff lol that was big bend /new port richey then wnw thru gulf pure speculation for all i know she could pause, drift SE and start laughing in the lake