ATL: IKE Discussion

[AZRainman]

That wind field diagram is 9 hours old.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTERS IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.

[funster]

Here's the latest map of Ike's wind field. Still rather disorganized. Not much hurricane force wind west of the center. Hoping to go through the west side here in Houston:

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/hwind/2 ... tour08.png

TS force winds to 275 miles NE of center!

Yeah, but look at the hurricane force wind field - very disorganized and only right of the center.

What I see is if you draw a line down the middle there are definitely some hurricane winds on the bottom half but its lopsided. If it was a delicious cupcake you would be wise to ask for the top half of the cupcake but the person getting the bottom half would still get a little cake too.

[KWT]

Yeah and Ike has strengthened somewhat since then as well looking at the data, FL winds at 111kts now which is a good 10kts higher then was found at that time of the image wxman57 has put up.

Mind you it probably is still messy given its a cat-2.

[physicx07]

Here's the latest map of Ike's wind field. Still rather disorganized. Not much hurricane force wind west of the center. Hoping to go through the west side here in Houston:

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/hwind/2 ... tour08.png

TS force winds to 275 miles NE of center!

Yeah, but look at the hurricane force wind field - very disorganized and only right of the center.

I'm going off recon that I've been posting for the NE distribution. Yes, westside wind field not as impressive.

[funster]

That wind field diagram is 9 hours old.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTERS IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES.

I think Katrina had a similar hurricane wind field but the tropical storm winds didn't go out as far. Ike is definitely a bigger storm than Katrina but not as strong.

[xironman]

Station 42361 has had nice steady increase in winds, 83.5kt in past hour, though at 400 ft, http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42361. About 70 miles NNW of it.

[KWT]

Anyway looking at the track its still progged to come very close to Galveston, a right jog would do the world of good to Houston/Galveston but obviously put places to the west at much higher threat.

[shah8]

Isn't recon the ultimate bedrock data? Even if Ike's hurricane force winds is displaced to the right and north, it's still a length from the center to the furthest out point, and does not include anything from the left and south, which might have more hurricane force winds. Katrina's entire diameter of hurricane force winds was at most 130-140 miles.

[KWT]

The wave height is really increasing just offshore now, won't be long before we start to see some sort of surge start to push in in front of Ike.

Thats going to be the main issue with Ike you've got to expect, though obviously the buildings are gonig to look a wreck with the glass likely being blown out.

[AZRainman]

Ike verses Katrina IR




Keep in mind we are near full moon tides, whereas katrina was around a half moon phase.

[AZRainman]

Station 42361 has had nice steady increase in winds, 83.5kt in past hour, though at 400 ft, http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42361. About 70 miles NNW of it.

That's pretty high up in the air
Anemometer height: 122 m above site elevation

[KWT]

Not even close, but then again Ike's a 2 so you don't expect perfection I suppose!

Still forecasted to become a 3, probably 50-50 if it makes it or not!

[xironman]

Yeah, 400 ft, that's one big oil platform. Must be a nice place to watch the storm from though.

[Bunkertor]

yesterday afternoon someone posted a link to houston network tv feeds...does anyone still have it...thanks for your help....rich

Houston is KHOU

[AZRainman]

Wonder if they are dropping Dyn-O-Mat in the eye...LOL

[stayawaynow]

yesterday afternoon someone posted a link to houston network tv feeds...does anyone still have it...thanks for your help....rich

Houston is KHOU

http://flhurricane.com/ikecoverage.html

[physicx07]

Looks like the center is exactly SE of GLS. It would have to average NW 315 from now to actually hit there. GFDL 00Z was showing average motion more W of NW ~290-300 for the next 30 hrs. Perhaps future track will get shifted south?

[HouTXmetro]

Looks like the center is exactly SE of GLS. It would have to average NW 315 from now to actually hit there. GFDL 00Z was showing average motion more W of NW ~290-300 for the next 30 hrs. Perhaps future track will get shifted south?

who knows....at the present, NHC doesn't think so,

[Sonica]

Looks like the center is exactly SE of GLS. It would have to average NW 315 from now to actually hit there. GFDL 00Z was showing average motion more W of NW ~290-300 for the next 30 hrs. Perhaps future track will get shifted south?

Models adjusted back east. Where it lands nobody knows...still.

[KWT]

A track slightly SE of Galveston would be even worse as it would bring Houston back towards the eastern side of the hurricane, which we've already established is far stronger then the eastern side.

I suspect this will kill the idea that you don't have to worry its only "a cat-2 so no need to worry", in some ways I hope Ike stays a 2 just prove how deadly they can be...