ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[Bailey1777]

looks west to me.

[stevetampa33614]

Our Katrina experience as a CAT1 in the Lower Keys...


The storm that we were not suppose to get.

Ya well, Katrina and Wilma's florida hits was insignificant in the medias eyes. They were all covering what Katrina did to the people who chose to stay in a city shaped like a Kitchen sink surrounded by water and was built on swamp, im talking about new orleans.

[HouTXmetro]

This is a pretty interesting sat. loop.

What direction does it look like it's moving in?

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

Looks like a NE Jog to me

[funster]

Our Katrina experience as a CAT1 in the Lower Keys...


The storm that we were not suppose to get.

Ya well, Katrina and Wilma's florida hits was insignificant in the medias eyes. They were all covering what Katrina did to the people who chose to stay in new orleans.

Well, some of those people could not afford transportation. I do remember a lot of Katrina and Wilma Florida stories in the news. I think it was what Rita did to TX and LA that got buried by the Katrina -NO story.

[ROCK]

This is a pretty interesting sat. loop.

What direction does it look like it's moving in?

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

Looks like a NE Jog to me

NE? I highly doubt that. LLC is displaced, its barely moving if at all right now.

[Wx_Warrior]

It will start moving soon enough...IMO, Cat 1 just east of Galveston. Here we go again....

[deltadog03]

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

[dixiebreeze]

NRL:


SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD (05L) WARNING NR 003
WTNT01 KNGU 040301
1. TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD (05L) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05L
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z --- NEAR 28.1N 88.2W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N 88.2W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 28.2N 89.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z --- 28.6N 91.9W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z --- 29.3N 94.1W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 30.0N 96.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 31.0N 101.0W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 28.1N 88.5W
OR APPROX 70 NM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
12FT SEAS: 20 NM NE, 30 NM SE.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 040901Z, 041501Z, 042101Z AND 050301Z.//

[cheezyWXguy]

Personally, despite the loss of convection, I think it looks better now than it did before. The big convection blob now seems to be slowly rotating into the storm now, and I dont think it will be long before we see another intensification trend.

[RL3AO]

NRL:


SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD (05L) WARNING NR 003
WTNT01 KNGU 040301
1. TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD (05L) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05L
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

Thats just the NHCs forecast in the different format.

[njweather]

Dmax has yet to occur. So given that and the reduction of shear and dry-air as the hours progress, it may look prettier very soon.

[Bailey1777]

I agree it doesn't have alot of convection which many have said it might not tonight, but after wathing several sat. and radar loops it looks to be wrapping up tighter.IMO

[Ptarmigan]

In 24 hours, SHIP model has Edouard as a hurricane.

[tailgater]

Looks to be just south of the tip of the Delta. per radar
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes
and starting to refire.

[thequeenamom]

Addition to better safe than sorry..
I heard another rule of thumb, repeated after Dolly, always add a Saffir-Simpson category, at least, to official NHC forecast as another course of least regret. If they predict a Cat 1, prepare as if you'd expect at least Cat 2 conditions.

Absolutely! I remember how scared we were during Cindy in '05. She didn't get upgraded to a hurricane til after the fact. So, we thought it wouldn't be much problem through the night as she headed over this way after landfall in LA. I've lived here my entire life, so I've experienced hurricanes. However, Cindy took us by surprise: the wind howled and tornado warnings kept coming out for hours. It certainly wasn't as bad as Hurricane Frederic, but it was worse than we expected. It was a very long night I won't forget! So, yes, prepare for one category higher than predicted--- just in case.
And, on a lighter note, I highly recommend M&M's, Cheez-Its, and Yoo-Hoo as great hurricane food. Comfort foods always help in stressful times.

OK, I think I am in need of good "hurricane food". I have to hit the grocery in the morning and am drawing a blank on what snack type food to get....besides goldfish (ha ha ha no pun intended).

[njweather]

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL

Hmm... The closer it gets to Galveston Bay, the lower the potential pressure (the stronger the cyclone)...

[Aric Dunn]

center ...

[Wx_Warrior]

Still crappy looking

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

center ...

Looks more impressive on the Ir, but the radar shows it to be very unimpressive. We will see if it can wrap around.

[HouTXmetro]

Still crappy looking

My thoughts also....